Parched-Grain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

193 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.67K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-30 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

65% 93% +$71

Crypto

33% 95% -$7

Politics

2% 78% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-10	-$1	6¢	$-1	+$0	08-30 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	08-27 20:57
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	08-22 21:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	08-25 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	2	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	08-21 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	08-17 20:26
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	08-03 20:11
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	07-25 19:34
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	07-30 10:58
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	07-23 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	08-01 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	08-13 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	08-15 20:08
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	07-07 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	08-07 21:28
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	07-12 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	08-11 21:05
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	07-13 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	08-08 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	07-21 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	07-04 09:22
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	07-05 14:41
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	07-02 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-30 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	07-09 17:12
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	08-10 19:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	2	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	07-17 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	2	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-24 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	1	$77	77	+77	No	+$0	06-20 15:04
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	07-06 21:15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	07-19 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 17:56:42	Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x948fc2…
08-30 17:56:36	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf2348f…
08-27 20:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x47979d…
08-25 16:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x05cf69…
08-22 21:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x33b465…
08-22 14:36:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xae0f1b…
08-21 07:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8062b6…
08-21 07:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x870554…
08-19 06:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	92	21¢	$19	0xe50cee…
08-17 20:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x573c83…
08-16 20:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xffcd52…
08-15 20:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd15e8c…
08-13 21:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbd9642…
08-11 21:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x43b734…
08-11 14:23:06	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7fcacc…
08-10 19:57:12	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bf316…
08-10 19:56:46	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xec90f4…
08-08 18:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf112c9…
08-07 21:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x615a2b…
08-05 20:43:45	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1d0bb3…
08-03 20:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7b494d…
08-01 19:35:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb1fc46…
07-30 10:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2257c9…
07-28 19:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb46401…
07-27 19:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x55fe61…
07-27 19:18:46	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a6725…
07-25 19:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2d7820…
07-23 11:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb0338d…
07-21 11:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0240b1…
07-19 07:45:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x41a25b…
07-17 18:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xebaf6b…
07-16 14:51:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbe65be…
07-16 14:51:34	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf849d7…
07-16 14:50:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x047984…
07-13 21:48:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xcc14c7…
07-12 07:25:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xef8f82…
07-10 20:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1b7c1…
07-09 17:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x380654…
07-09 08:31:32	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x141db4…
07-07 18:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd65593…
07-06 21:15:10	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x09c513…
07-06 21:14:40	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a6f0a…
07-05 14:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x205084…
07-04 19:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1f493a…
07-04 09:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x138fa5…
07-02 18:42:37	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe1ce93…
07-02 05:47:22	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8cad46…
06-30 20:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x3face5…
06-26 11:40:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa139fd…
06-25 21:09:23	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x0c9091…
06-25 21:09:05	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5386c0…
06-25 07:14:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x36a039…
06-25 07:14:05	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x34ce36…
06-24 07:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8adc45…
06-24 07:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x84f55a…
06-22 17:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3c3f4f…
06-20 15:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc82166…
06-18 18:50:35	bitcoin above 68k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7d3946…
06-18 18:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa4da70…
06-17 16:27:04	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76a370…
06-17 06:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96d99a…
06-16 10:45:27	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefeb46…
06-15 21:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x87905f…
06-15 21:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbd032f…
06-15 11:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb5b1a8…
06-15 11:51:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x056392…
06-14 07:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x065b76…
06-14 07:00:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00dcd9…
06-13 20:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda8ca1…
06-12 20:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb2cb3b…
06-12 11:49:58	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43f282…
06-12 11:48:52	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x062fd0…
06-11 21:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc63752…
06-10 21:13:55	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 10	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x643123…
06-10 21:13:10	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c4655…
06-10 21:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x590f66…
06-10 17:04:37	will bitcoin dip to 54k on june 10	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb3431…
06-10 17:04:12	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 10	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0edc11…
06-09 21:10:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x28c225…
06-09 21:10:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb6ddeb…
06-07 19:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e9dfd…
06-07 19:17:21	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x203ff5…
06-07 19:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6178d…
06-07 19:14:16	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2b11bd…
06-06 20:51:37	bitcoin above 70k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcd1dd7…
06-06 20:36:34	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf86fce…
06-04 17:27:09	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x892115…
06-04 17:17:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab4282…
06-04 17:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc92823…
06-01 22:25:09	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a4002…
06-01 22:24:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xad7481…
06-01 22:19:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc8006a…
05-30 14:37:19	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ce4af…
05-29 22:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x638105…
05-29 22:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08a265…
05-29 22:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7ce9a6…
05-28 10:56:08	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccd81e…
05-27 22:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf80f1d…
05-02 04:31:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x874756…
05-02 04:31:10	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5b08e3…