Simplistic-Waiting — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

6,734 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$170

$40.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 11-03 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 76% -$183

Other

37% 60% -$700

Sports

0% 36% +$5

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin	Leylah Fernandez		+27	$20	74¢	$20	+$0	11-03 22:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$400	465	0	+465	No	-$400	07-03 18:53
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$400	404	0	+404	Yes	+$4	07-02 20:44
wta muchova sawangk 2026 07 03	2	$390	429	0	+429	Karolina Muchova	+$39	07-03 05:23
atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	2	$268	148	148	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$18	07-01 14:41
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$239	310	0	+310	Yes	+$71	06-30 16:08
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$228	245	0	+245	France	+$17	07-04 20:06
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur	3	$209	116	116	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$23	06-13 15:26
atp minaur mannari 2026 07 01	2	$200	204	0	+204	Alex de Minaur	+$4	07-02 11:32
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$196	159	159	+0	England	+$27	07-06 02:30
atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	3	$194	363	363	+0	Arthur Fery	-$186	07-08 16:21
atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	2	$185	108	108	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$15	07-07 15:19
atp fritz sonego 2026 07 03	2	$175	201	0	+201	Taylor Fritz	+$26	07-04 15:09
wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	2	$170	220	0	+220	Marta Kostyuk	+$50	07-08 13:17
wta cirstea raducan 2026 06 10	6	$164	135	135	+0	Emma Raducanu	+$4	06-12 15:16
wta muchova zhang 2026 07 01	1	$160	184	0	+184	Karolina Muchova	+$24	07-01 08:58
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$150	155	0	+155	Yes	+$5	07-07 01:40
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	5	$144	154	154	+0	Karolina Muchova	-$16	07-09 15:08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	3	$144	217	0	+217	Yes	+$73	05-22 16:37
wta tagger gibson 2026 08 14	9	$142	144	120	+24	Talia Gibson	-$20	08-14 20:16
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$138	149	0	+149	No	-$138	06-15 14:31
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$123	81	81	+0	Yes	-$1	06-07 16:04
atp augeral fokina 2026 07 05	2	$121	98	98	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$1	07-05 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:05 UTC	2	$120	123	0	+123	Up	+$3	06-08 12:09
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	1	$119	173	0	+173	Yes	+$54	07-04 00:04
wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08	2	$118	82	82	+0	Linda Noskova	+$18	07-08 13:15
wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07	1	$115	256	0	+256	Karolina Muchova	+$141	07-07 08:19
wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	2	$110	145	145	+0	Linda Noskova	-$50	07-09 17:07
itf seres sakel 2026 08 26	3	$109	55	55	+0	Felix Seres	+$1	08-26 14:32
wta jovic anisimo 2026 06 12	4	$108	94	94	+0	Iva Jovic	+$2	06-12 16:33
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	6	$106	85	85	+0	Victoria Mboko	-$27	05-22 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:28:24	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc78b9d…
11-03 22:05:55	Cali: Julia Grabher vs Laura Pigossi	Laura Pigossi	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2677c6…
11-03 20:45:30	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xf3426d…
11-03 13:33:24	Chennai Open: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x97c26c…
11-03 11:34:03	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x02592a…
11-03 10:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x53d731…
11-03 10:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcfc751…
11-03 10:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef6eb5…
11-03 10:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5d81d2…
11-03 10:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd5790c…
11-03 09:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2d807b…
11-03 09:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb83925…
11-03 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbee6aa…
11-03 09:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfec157…
11-03 09:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x73cf5a…
11-03 07:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6b574a…
11-03 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5f788c…
11-03 06:30:30	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xf5133f…
11-03 05:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc0a337…
11-03 05:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5663f9…
11-03 05:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x77458f…
11-03 05:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c62d9…
11-03 05:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf80f35…
11-03 04:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf64f75…
11-03 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf67e76…
11-03 04:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8ec45b…
11-03 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb38714…
11-03 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf4462b…
11-03 03:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe3dc77…
11-03 03:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfac79f…
11-03 02:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x44806d…
11-03 02:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x94c228…
11-03 02:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4d9766…
11-03 02:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x72d3b7…
11-02 23:23:37	Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x0956ed…
11-02 23:06:07	Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone	Nicolas Mejia	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x764010…
11-02 22:03:30	Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5d78de…
11-02 22:01:13	Cali: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz	Leyre Romero Gormaz	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3a9c38…
11-02 21:51:03	Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x558e8b…
11-02 21:48:46	Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf878ad…
11-02 14:16:24	Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x524d82…
11-02 12:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x85171a…
11-02 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3fc607…
11-02 12:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x481294…
11-02 12:19:34	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone	Luca Van Assche	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x40181e…
11-02 12:18:46	Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x14ae55…
11-02 12:18:18	Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x732f7b…
11-02 08:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8f2fdc…
11-02 07:54:10	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9a09a0…
11-02 07:08:21	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova	Claire Liu	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x96145f…
11-02 06:39:34	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova	Claire Liu	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xf5ff3c…
11-02 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x84779b…
11-02 06:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd3461f…
11-02 05:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeebb4e…
11-02 05:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x95539c…
11-02 05:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb6a647…
11-02 05:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6258f…
11-02 05:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2a5e2d…
11-01 16:09:00	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa26515…
11-01 15:43:58	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe25d6e…
11-01 15:04:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xe87770…
11-01 12:41:52	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac	Sebastian Baez	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe0439b…
11-01 12:20:04	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd40674…
11-01 12:19:12	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xde22c6…
11-01 08:44:03	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1fd482…
11-01 08:31:52	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf1d36a…
11-01 08:29:30	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x87b257…
11-01 08:27:58	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x045562…
11-01 06:49:46	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xab85ba…
11-01 04:49:06	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xc12dea…
11-01 03:53:55	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4d8dce…
11-01 02:46:55	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf6d828…
11-01 01:44:21	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x20b44c…
10-31 16:36:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0xc1265e…
10-31 15:14:18	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x101ff3…
10-31 15:13:48	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x009563…
10-31 15:12:36	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6c722f…
10-31 13:21:13	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xbe9003…
10-31 13:20:33	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xeae711…
10-31 12:28:34	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x58c71b…
10-31 11:01:55	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x4e0a99…
10-31 10:09:15	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7d24ef…
10-31 08:41:27	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x0e7f6c…
10-31 06:18:55	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Diana Shnaider	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfb9dec…
10-31 06:17:24	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Diana Shnaider	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf44768…
10-30 22:39:52	Seoul: Coleman Wong vs Omar Jasika	Coleman Wong	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x7bbbb1…
10-30 22:38:33	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x506f52…
10-30 15:03:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe8f92f…
10-30 13:49:54	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Han Shi	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9b9eb7…
10-30 13:25:16	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x444410…
10-30 12:11:27	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x76dc81…
10-30 12:04:36	Ningbo: Jie Cui vs Petr Bar Biryukov	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x8b30b3…
10-30 10:41:52	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc6f946…
10-30 10:37:00	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0xbcd6d0…
10-30 07:54:30	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x30e1ca…
10-30 04:41:45	Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks	Mia Pohankova	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x67112d…
10-30 03:54:04	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9478db…
10-30 02:00:57	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe592b3…
10-29 23:39:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Jerome Kym	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x10a01d…
10-29 23:36:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Jerome Kym	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x642727…