Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$524

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-04 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% -$31

Politics

23% 60% +$26

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes		-6	$0	4¢	$-0	+$0	11-04 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$138	181	92	+89	Down	+$78	11-04 06:43
Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	6	$110	353	49	+304	Up	-$60	11-04 06:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$102	62	62	+0	Yes	+$22	11-04 06:15
Gold Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$71	147	0	+147	Down	-$71	11-04 07:00
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	-$2	08-24 23:13
Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	11-04 06:22
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	1	$19	42	0	+42	No	+$23	08-24 23:13
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	01-20 08:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	-$3	01-20 08:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	01-20 08:31
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	01-20 08:34
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	11-04 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:28:48	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xc54566…
11-04 07:00:54	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	147	48¢	$71	0xd16c2b…
11-04 06:54:37	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd08012…
11-04 06:52:07	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x1685bf…
11-04 06:51:43	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf6e3fb…
11-04 06:49:06	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x517aa5…
11-04 06:46:27	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0xb08e6d…
11-04 06:43:22	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7853e2…
11-04 06:40:06	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4fd91b…
11-04 06:39:58	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xf6ab71…
11-04 06:39:25	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7d2ce9…
11-04 06:39:21	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfac2fc…
11-04 06:38:58	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	86	69¢	$59	0xf3ef99…
11-04 06:35:04	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xda491a…
11-04 06:34:57	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x56b1b1…
11-04 06:32:39	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0abf53…
11-04 06:30:51	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc856ab…
11-04 06:22:25	Gold Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd7bdb1…
11-04 06:15:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xeb0e6d…
10-19 18:33:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xf01b40…
08-24 23:13:30	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x90be25…
08-24 23:13:13	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x41cd69…
08-24 23:12:52	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4a688c…
01-20 08:34:56	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x30fb25…
01-20 08:34:48	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x44761b…
01-20 08:31:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x817e51…
01-20 08:31:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x150441…