Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$987

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-09 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 50% +$28

Other

20% 0% $-1,015

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	9	$1.2K	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	05-01 06:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.1K	8,800	8,800	+0	Yes	+$44	04-30 05:47
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	14	$981	9,290	0	+9,290	Yes	$-981	04-26 06:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$944	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	$-16	05-03 02:49
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	3	$811	1,590	1,590	+0	open	—	05-09 02:17
btc updown 15m 1775250000	1	$37	183	0	+183	open	—	04-03 21:12
btc updown 5m 1775753700	1	$26	125	0	+125	open	—	04-09 16:55
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$14	7,039	13	+7,026	No	$-14	04-22 02:46
btc updown 5m 1775249100	1	$13	38	0	+38	open	—	04-03 20:47
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	3	$13	28	28	+0	open	—	04-09 16:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$12	22	22	+0	open	—	04-08 20:12
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	5,235	0	+5,235	No	$-10	04-19 19:01
btc updown 5m 1775247900	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-03 20:30
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	62	0	+62	No	$-10	03-29 04:02
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$8	75	75	+0	open	—	04-09 16:49
btc updown 5m 1775752800	1	$6	643	0	+643	open	—	04-09 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 02:17:06	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,590	20¢	$318	0x53f4d0…
05-03 02:50:32	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,490	31¢	$462	0x736f3d…
05-03 02:49:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,600	29¢	$464	0xfe962e…
05-03 02:35:34	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x9afd4c…
05-03 02:18:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,600	30¢	$480	0x0bda93…
05-01 06:18:46	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	278	51¢	$142	0x1f3cdf…
05-01 06:01:50	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	196	51¢	$100	0xcc5e71…
05-01 05:31:12	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	137	51¢	$70	0x51b6d9…
05-01 05:11:26	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x7299fa…
05-01 05:11:02	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	51¢	$20	0x8ebe1a…
05-01 05:00:40	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	417	51¢	$213	0x6aabfd…
04-30 20:57:44	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x665b29…
04-30 19:40:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	51¢	$36	0x95b25a…
04-30 17:48:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,190	48¢	$571	0x7a90dd…
04-30 05:47:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,800	6¢	$572	0xf72308…
04-30 02:42:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,354	6¢	$501	0xbad43c…
04-29 21:03:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa8713f…
04-29 20:12:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	6¢	$27	0x51c279…
04-26 06:10:30	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1,523	12¢	$183	0x49dc01…
04-26 06:08:42	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0xa88d2a…
04-26 06:06:18	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x1d3223…
04-26 06:06:02	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	888	12¢	$107	0xd17c9b…
04-26 06:02:58	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x7e800d…
04-26 06:01:14	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x25400f…
04-26 05:54:56	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x6387a2…
04-26 05:54:46	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	89	12¢	$11	0x0e1901…
04-26 05:48:50	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x255ac6…
04-26 05:48:40	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xcdc41d…
04-26 05:48:38	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	5,417	10¢	$520	0xa9c5a0…
04-26 05:48:38	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x159989…
04-24 16:15:46	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	274	11¢	$29	0xd4db85…
04-22 02:46:12	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xe38a29…
04-21 03:50:24	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xf4b0ca…
04-21 01:23:44	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7,039	0¢	$14	0x43231d…
04-19 19:01:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,235	0¢	$10	0xb05bd0…
04-09 16:55:59	btc updown 5m 1775753700	Down	BUY	125	21¢	$26	0x34e1e3…
04-09 16:49:55	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x1c2a21…
04-09 16:45:21	btc updown 5m 1775752800	Down	BUY	643	1¢	$6	0xbceabf…
04-09 16:33:51	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x65d17b…
04-09 16:33:45	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x69baf2…
04-09 15:56:03	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x1c721d…
04-08 20:12:47	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0x0efcd9…
04-03 21:12:01	btc updown 15m 1775250000	Down	BUY	183	20¢	$37	0xde1a07…
04-03 20:47:21	btc updown 5m 1775249100	Down	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0x3547f5…
04-03 20:30:01	btc updown 5m 1775247900	Down	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xdd88ab…
03-29 04:02:18	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1ac568…
03-23 20:55:29	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xbc434f…
03-23 20:55:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xa9ca62…