Earnest-Oat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$439

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% +$0

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	01-31 00:50
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	01-30 01:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	No	+$1	01-29 01:09
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	01-28 03:43
ethereum above 2500 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	Yes	+$1	01-27 00:23
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	01-26 01:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	No	+$3	01-24 01:29
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	01-23 01:26
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-25 02:32
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-22 01:51
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$2	01-21 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	05-30 23:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	Yes	+$2	05-30 12:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	No	+$2	05-28 01:04
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	Yes	+$2	05-29 00:55
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$2	05-27 00:26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	1	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	No	+$2	05-26 00:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	1	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	Yes	+$2	05-25 00:49
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	No	+$2	05-24 01:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$1.0K	1,038	0	+1,038	Yes	+$2	05-22 01:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	2	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	Yes	+$1	05-23 01:20
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-21 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:10
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:51
bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	08-18 01:56
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-08 02:26
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$6	1,070	0	+1,070	Yes	-$6	02-12 02:56
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-14 08:14
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-03 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:26:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x328c76…
08-18 01:56:58	bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3552c7…
08-06 02:51:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa05242…
07-29 02:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdcf8fe…
07-21 03:13:24	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x827907…
07-14 08:14:28	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac7d7e…
07-09 04:16:19	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9813bd…
07-03 08:53:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd27e87…
06-15 01:18:55	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$2	0xf69f6c…
06-06 00:29:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	972	0¢	$2	0xb275e7…
06-02 06:48:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd33a2d…
05-30 23:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x807431…
05-30 12:46:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,053	0x373f5b…
05-29 00:55:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,051	0x7f13bf…
05-28 01:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,051	0x163af2…
05-27 00:26:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0xd43668…
05-26 00:50:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,049	100¢	$1,046	0xbb945b…
05-25 00:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0xe7e384…
05-24 01:26:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,044	100¢	$1,041	0xe2b3b3…
05-23 01:20:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	511	100¢	$510	0xfc57de…
05-23 01:18:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x7978d9…
05-22 01:57:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,038	100¢	$1,036	0xa1b173…
05-21 09:44:36	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xffa024…
05-18 00:54:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,067	0¢	$2	0xea577c…
05-08 02:04:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$3	0x66566d…
05-06 06:14:10	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x709280…
04-29 02:02:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x2aae09…
04-18 02:09:54	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$3	0x02a57c…
04-14 02:35:29	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x168da4…
04-09 03:32:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0x58b9ac…
04-06 11:40:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x75e9c5…
03-31 01:54:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$3	0x81b605…
03-22 02:13:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$2	0x98b1f8…
03-11 02:15:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$3	0xa1488d…
02-27 09:18:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$3	0x05af5d…
02-12 02:56:49	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	No	BUY	1,070	1¢	$6	0x77ab17…
02-05 02:53:29	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x42d80a…
02-02 05:11:48	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ab427…
01-31 00:50:14	ethereum above 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,081	0x93956a…
01-30 01:15:52	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0xc68e1c…
01-29 01:09:30	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0x06a533…
01-28 03:43:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x14c3a7…
01-27 00:23:31	ethereum above 2500 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x81d4b6…
01-26 01:18:30	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0xc37015…
01-25 02:32:36	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x924956…
01-24 01:29:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,072	0x2be918…
01-23 01:26:30	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xced927…
01-22 01:51:42	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x9f0556…
01-21 00:44:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 21	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x3c4f04…
01-19 09:18:48	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc77f18…
01-18 09:25:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4f76f…