Scared-Behest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$44.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$282

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-03 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Tech

34% 79% +$1,625

Politics

24% 71% +$226

Other

21% 83% +$163

Crypto

21% 60% -$4,315

Sports

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-299	-$140	94¢	$-282	-$142	06-24 06:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	14	$6.8K	3,630	3,630	+0	Yes	+$202	05-14 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 29?	51	$5.3K	3,725	3,725	+0	No	+$1,417	04-29 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	2	$3.7K	9,068	0	+9,068	Yes	-$3,733	09-21 08:44
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	19	$3.7K	5,850	278	+5,572	Yes	-$3,519	07-07 20:43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$2.9K	3,783	0	+3,783	No	+$839	05-17 09:47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?	1	$2.6K	3,869	0	+3,869	No	+$1,238	09-11 19:53
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$2.5K	2,590	0	+2,590	Yes	+$47	06-15 10:53
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	26	$2.3K	968	1,507	-539	No	+$147	04-27 17:26
will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	2	$1.6K	2,671	0	+2,671	No	+$1,068	08-06 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?	38	$1.5K	3,070	3,070	+0	Yes	-$1,443	04-29 17:13
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	1	$1.5K	1,654	0	+1,654	Yes	-$1,456	08-04 13:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$12	04-27 11:11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	3	$1.3K	692	692	+0	No	-$10	09-21 08:44
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$1.0K	538	538	+0	No	+$26	07-14 05:34
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	2	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$30	06-14 11:52
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$955	500	500	+0	No	+$5	02-28 18:39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?	11	$719	2,755	0	+2,755	No	+$2,036	07-22 08:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	6	$699	412	412	+0	open	—	09-21 08:43
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	4	$595	700	0	+700	No	+$105	03-01 23:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	3	$513	961	0	+961	No	+$448	07-14 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	50	$398	538	0	+538	No	+$140	04-30 10:47
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	1	$343	347	0	+347	No	+$4	07-18 12:12
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$294	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$14	04-22 16:18
no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by june 30	3	$260	289	0	+289	No	+$29	06-05 00:21
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	3	$140	228	94	+134	Yes	-$3	06-24 06:11
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$140	0	299	-299	open	—	06-24 06:08
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	2	$127	240	0	+240	No	+$113	07-18 07:52
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by february 28	1	$84	85	0	+85	No	+$2	02-01 07:51
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$1	02-28 21:06
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$41	56	0	+56	No	-$41	10-03 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 20:13:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	56	73¢	$41	0x5a8626…
10-02 06:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x88de21…
09-21 09:40:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0xfcbe92…
09-21 08:44:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	4,068	23¢	$933	0x0ac493…
09-21 08:44:08	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	SELL	692	95¢	$660	0x526fca…
09-21 08:43:44	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	412	82¢	$337	0xfbe1e5…
09-20 19:55:58	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$149	0x5225e0…
09-20 19:54:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	No	BUY	538	97¢	$521	0x7acc9c…
09-20 19:52:44	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	217	89¢	$193	0x83b10b…
09-20 19:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	5,000	56¢	$2,800	0x5686ad…
09-20 19:50:23	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x605695…
09-20 19:35:31	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0xf1097b…
09-20 19:35:22	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	86¢	$54	0x8bcbd1…
09-12 06:45:45	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x26fac9…
09-11 19:53:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?	No	BUY	3,869	68¢	$2,631	0xcff70a…
08-24 16:03:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	BUY	54	58¢	$31	0x93a19b…
08-24 15:38:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcedb75…
08-06 14:47:21	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	2,634	60¢	$1,581	0x641f0e…
08-06 14:46:09	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xb3bc4d…
08-04 13:44:41	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,654	88¢	$1,456	0x621ed1…
07-22 08:33:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x3cc1eb…
07-21 22:34:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	295	25¢	$74	0xa32c13…
07-21 20:16:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x40a1b6…
07-21 19:22:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x0ea9b5…
07-21 19:22:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	195	25¢	$49	0x0f3869…
07-21 19:22:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	387	25¢	$97	0x5e7730…
07-21 11:06:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xa6a21b…
07-18 12:12:06	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	347	99¢	$343	0x487598…
07-18 09:01:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xf7ec75…
07-18 09:01:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	131	28¢	$37	0x6ec351…
07-18 09:01:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xa3ab43…
07-18 09:01:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	1,157	26¢	$301	0x90539a…
07-18 07:52:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbc8517…
07-18 07:51:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	220	53¢	$117	0x41ef36…
07-14 05:55:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	331	60¢	$199	0xc3125a…
07-14 05:36:02	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	107	50¢	$53	0x94a55c…
07-14 05:35:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	No	BUY	523	50¢	$262	0x7b18f1…
07-14 05:34:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	538	97¢	$524	0x668a0a…
07-07 20:43:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	56	56¢	$32	0xc25e53…
07-07 18:31:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	1,786	50¢	$893	0x2e2d2a…
07-07 17:16:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x47139b…
07-07 17:12:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	209	50¢	$105	0x7f60e1…
07-07 08:42:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	1,191	70¢	$834	0x69c5d2…
07-07 08:40:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	205	70¢	$144	0x7bd3f2…
07-07 08:24:59	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x3fe55f…
07-07 05:42:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0xf75134…
07-06 16:13:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9a5d02…
07-06 16:02:14	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf4378d…
07-06 16:00:23	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x651aa3…
07-06 16:00:14	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	494	92¢	$457	0x8eae69…
07-05 04:52:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	179	76¢	$136	0xe909cb…
07-04 17:53:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x00d1ae…
07-04 14:27:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2f8746…
07-04 14:26:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	1,260	71¢	$891	0xc09bbf…
07-04 08:07:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	278	32¢	$90	0x15f27d…
07-03 14:43:02	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xc4c413…
07-02 13:43:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	179	60¢	$108	0xffdce2…
07-01 17:28:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x6b6ff9…
07-01 12:49:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	103	54¢	$56	0x717c85…
07-01 12:46:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	278	53¢	$147	0xdcca72…
06-24 06:11:29	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0x44d3af…
06-24 06:08:02	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	284	47¢	$134	0x537738…
06-24 06:06:32	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0xf5865f…
06-19 05:57:19	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	No	BUY	94	7¢	$6	0xd37d9e…
06-19 05:55:59	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xafdb50…
06-15 10:53:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,590	98¢	$1,561	0x7aaf5a…
06-15 10:45:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$982	0x3ab89f…
06-14 15:19:07	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xf07af6…
06-14 11:52:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	667	97¢	$647	0xdf25bb…
06-14 11:51:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	333	97¢	$323	0x831450…
06-05 00:21:48	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by june 30	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x9c1a3b…
06-03 20:15:45	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by june 30	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xae1bdf…
06-03 13:57:55	No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x375c14…
05-17 09:47:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x21e475…
05-16 09:09:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3,762	78¢	$2,927	0x493b47…
05-14 18:35:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,029	99¢	$2,990	0xcb4333…
05-01 08:49:38	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb2a24c…
04-30 20:37:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xec4d23…
04-30 20:13:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,188	95¢	$2,079	0x53d00f…
04-30 10:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xbbc98d…
04-30 10:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$9	0x848531…
04-30 10:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0x5be47d…
04-30 10:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$36	0xc2b1d0…
04-30 03:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x0c1fbf…
04-30 02:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xb4ee0b…
04-30 01:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x718fd5…
04-30 01:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x5e4e13…
04-30 01:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2bd7ff…
04-30 01:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x907615…
04-30 01:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xcb0751…
04-30 01:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa81e12…
04-30 01:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$11	0x213b37…
04-30 01:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x975997…
04-30 01:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xdadf02…
04-30 01:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xcb4c90…
04-30 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xda94a8…
04-30 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xca3717…
04-30 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9abec9…
04-30 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x975da7…
04-30 01:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3eebf6…