Identical-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

207

Trades

2,481

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-14 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-5

Other

0% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773826200	5	$84	82	81	+1	open	—	03-18 09:33
btc updown 15m 1770807600	6	$53	38	38	+0	open	—	02-11 11:16
btc updown 5m 1776093600	4	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	6	$48	35	23	+11	open	—	04-26 02:58
btc updown 15m 1776093300	4	$48	60	39	+22	open	—	04-13 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$45	28	28	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 09:50
btc updown 15m 1773932400	10	$45	43	43	+0	open	—	03-19 15:12
btc updown 15m 1770806700	7	$42	36	36	+0	open	—	02-11 10:46
btc updown 15m 1773891900	7	$41	36	39	-3	open	—	03-19 03:55
btc updown 15m 1773904500	7	$39	32	25	+7	open	—	03-19 07:21
btc updown 4h 1768986000	32	$38	34	34	+0	open	—	01-21 10:09
btc updown 15m 1772269200	5	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	02-28 09:03
btc updown 15m 1776790800	4	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 17:12
btc updown 15m 1773933300	9	$34	36	35	+0	open	—	03-19 15:25
btc updown 15m 1773929700	9	$32	38	12	+25	open	—	03-19 14:27
btc updown 15m 1773816300	6	$32	28	27	+0	open	—	03-18 06:56
btc updown 15m 1774236600	8	$32	30	15	+15	open	—	03-23 03:45
bitcoin up or down on january 12	22	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	01-12 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$32	31	15	+16	open	—	04-25 13:14
bitcoin up or down on january 10	14	$29	14	16	-3	open	—	01-10 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-26 05:24
btc updown 4h 1776758400	7	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 10:50
btc updown 15m 1776789000	7	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	05-17 10:32
btc updown 15m 1777052700	2	$27	18	18	+1	open	—	04-24 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 15:44
btc updown 15m 1774431000	11	$27	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:19:30	btc updown 5m 1781414400	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x73a8f1…
06-14 05:16:12	btc updown 5m 1781414100	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x71972f…
06-14 04:59:27	btc updown 5m 1781412900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5dd245…
06-14 04:56:15	btc updown 5m 1781412900	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x816c1c…
06-13 17:52:48	btc updown 5m 1781373000	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x853ba8…
06-13 16:28:58	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe11ca5…
06-13 16:26:52	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x913a83…
06-13 16:23:15	btc updown 5m 1781367600	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x80e430…
06-13 16:21:55	btc updown 5m 1781367600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7dce40…
06-13 16:17:30	btc updown 5m 1781367300	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x390817…
06-13 14:04:06	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe46f1…
06-13 14:02:31	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x950fd6…
06-13 13:03:33	btc updown 5m 1781355600	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x88e9b7…
06-13 12:57:45	btc updown 5m 1781355600	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x35754a…
06-13 12:51:40	btc updown 5m 1781355300	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x60531b…
06-13 12:49:27	btc updown 5m 1781355000	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2061f2…
06-13 12:24:48	btc updown 5m 1781353200	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd356f1…
06-13 11:42:03	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xa524ef…
06-13 11:41:28	btc updown 5m 1781350800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88221b…
06-13 11:35:58	btc updown 5m 1781350500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc4c751…
06-13 11:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781350200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa89faf…
06-13 11:32:52	btc updown 5m 1781350200	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb9b31c…
06-13 11:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xdc5cdd…
06-13 11:26:45	btc updown 5m 1781349900	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb8b51b…
06-13 11:20:10	btc updown 5m 1781349600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5bcdaa…
06-13 03:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781321700	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf65380…
06-13 03:39:37	btc updown 5m 1781321700	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x78775f…
06-12 15:19:52	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3abfa5…
06-12 15:15:55	btc updown 5m 1781277300	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb21ee5…
06-12 15:13:37	btc updown 5m 1781277000	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x837850…
06-12 15:11:31	btc updown 5m 1781277000	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe9a670…
06-09 09:47:30	btc updown 4h 1780992000	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x21c678…
06-09 09:40:04	btc updown 4h 1780992000	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21dff8…
05-19 01:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x04af5b…
05-19 01:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3fc944…
05-18 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x92fc40…
05-18 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xca4a0b…
05-18 13:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0faf77…
05-17 14:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x73d4ef…
05-17 14:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x09e8f6…
05-17 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8c717c…
05-17 14:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x7bbbac…
05-17 14:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xec6761…
05-17 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe947bb…
05-17 11:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xb587b0…
05-17 11:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x76a7da…
05-17 10:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x52f3fe…
05-17 10:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd40100…
05-17 10:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1a06b8…
05-17 10:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfdca69…
05-17 10:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xc3affd…
05-17 10:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xf5583a…
05-17 10:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x74e2fa…
05-17 10:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x40574d…
05-17 10:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa2d374…
05-17 10:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf5755d…
05-17 10:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8752a0…
05-15 13:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe29a12…
05-15 13:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x36c48f…
05-15 13:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb4e2d2…
05-15 13:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1baec4…
05-15 13:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x98f774…
05-15 13:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc23821…
05-15 13:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89e1e4…
05-13 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd421e…
05-13 01:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x13f973…
05-13 01:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb9f45e…
05-13 01:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9351af…
05-12 09:59:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xf4e8ca…
05-12 09:58:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf1efab…
05-12 09:49:27	Tunis: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Harold Mayot	Harold Mayot	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe94e0d…
05-12 09:48:06	Tunis: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Harold Mayot	Harold Mayot	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3668fa…
05-12 09:27:55	Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Nicolas Alvarez Varona	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5aa866…
05-12 09:23:03	Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Nicolas Alvarez Varona	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x328d2f…
05-12 08:36:04	Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar	Manish Sureshkumar	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xc23048…
05-12 08:32:41	Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar	Manish Sureshkumar	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf195a7…
05-12 08:28:04	Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar	Manish Sureshkumar	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x3ae3e2…
05-12 08:27:38	Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar	Manish Sureshkumar	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc3e04e…
05-12 07:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x27d037…
05-12 07:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc334d9…
05-12 07:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7c369b…
05-12 07:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xc09c23…
05-12 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4367c8…
05-12 06:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7ce454…
05-11 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x8f1e4c…
05-11 16:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x39a9ba…
05-11 16:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x0f3fed…
05-11 16:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc9c6d0…
05-11 16:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6605d…
05-11 15:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xe2f09c…
05-11 15:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1adc33…
05-11 15:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e785c…
05-11 14:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x53f5a7…
05-11 14:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa44836…
05-11 13:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x664de5…
05-11 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf81398…
05-11 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x489887…
05-11 10:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2c4342…
05-11 10:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe3f175…
05-11 03:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x7bb442…