Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$306

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

64% 51% +$364

Other

30% 57% -$406

Sports

5% 40% -$16

Crypto

1% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+200	$148	74¢	$148	$0	11-09 03:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,600	$102	6¢	$102	-$1	11-09 03:09
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,571	$63	4¢	$57	-$5	11-09 03:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$1.8K	1,073	1,073	+0	Yes	+$129	04-12 17:54
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	12	$1.2K	864	864	+0	Yes	+$12	01-13 21:07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.2K	730	730	+0	No	-$48	10-22 20:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$1.1K	719	900	-182	Yes	-$132	11-02 14:47
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$90	11-02 14:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	6	$968	1,300	0	+1,300	Yes	+$332	10-22 20:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$914	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$170	01-25 21:02
Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?	3	$914	459	459	+0	Yes	-$1	01-14 10:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$875	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$65	01-15 15:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$850	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-16 16:39
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	2	$769	400	400	+0	No	-$9	10-02 18:31
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	16	$723	8,100	1,000	+7,100	Yes	-$503	02-02 18:01
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	4	$661	568	100	+468	No	+$1	03-31 20:55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$618	370	570	-200	Yes	-$31	02-18 15:59
will 8 judges rule in favor of trumps tarriffs	3	$593	300	300	+0	No	-$1	01-10 09:32
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	3	$592	320	320	+0	Yes	+$40	03-30 10:19
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$573	200	400	-200	No	-$4	01-16 16:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$512	726	726	+0	Yes	-$48	10-22 20:30
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	27	$493	557	650	-93	No	+$25	01-14 11:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$492	700	700	+0	Yes	-$38	01-18 08:50
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$480	244	244	+0	No	+$2	01-24 17:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$402	350	150	+200	open	—	11-09 03:20
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-13 20:41
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	8	$397	655	655	+0	No	+$34	02-08 14:14
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	18	$394	1,690	1,890	-200	No	-$83	01-17 11:35
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	1	$384	400	0	+400	No	+$16	09-27 04:51
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?	3	$380	192	192	+0	No	+$4	03-04 07:25
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$371	200	200	+0	Yes	+$27	03-04 07:25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$341	577	577	+0	Yes	-$6	10-21 18:08
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for germany by feburary 1	19	$326	205	205	+0	No	+$27	01-21 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 04:39:25	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x25d0a5…
11-09 04:33:06	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb7fe51…
11-09 03:46:22	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x08fdc7…
11-09 03:30:48	Spread: Bears (-7.5)	Bears	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x9af5d9…
11-09 03:20:18	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xc0d865…
11-09 03:19:04	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe15d20…
11-09 03:18:21	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x632a80…
11-09 03:10:54	Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,500	4¢	$60	0xfee6cc…
11-09 03:10:18	Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0x839cc9…
11-09 03:09:22	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,600	6¢	$102	0x9f9ba7…
11-02 14:47:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	719	72¢	$518	0x171af1…
11-02 14:46:15	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	53¢	$530	0x0d6301…
10-22 20:36:39	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	82¢	$291	0x6a7998…
10-22 20:36:29	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	82¢	$275	0xd5413a…
10-22 20:35:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	730	78¢	$566	0x432196…
10-22 20:35:17	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x60b203…
10-22 20:31:15	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	671	31¢	$208	0x09f66b…
10-22 20:30:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	726	32¢	$232	0xa82aa4…
10-21 18:11:35	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	79¢	$166	0x57d30e…
10-21 18:08:57	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	577	29¢	$167	0x02a0c1…
10-09 20:10:38	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	326	38¢	$124	0xdcb19e…
10-09 20:08:26	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	150	85¢	$127	0x4f2fd1…
10-09 03:44:56	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	577	30¢	$173	0xc7778b…
10-09 03:43:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xbca446…
10-09 03:43:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x551876…
10-05 00:57:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	730	84¢	$615	0xdfd511…
10-02 18:36:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x5d254a…
10-02 18:31:11	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0x193aab…
09-27 22:01:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0xaec0af…
09-27 04:51:18	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0x78217c…
09-27 04:51:03	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x818a01…
09-26 16:33:54	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	89	83¢	$74	0x7cf420…
09-26 15:46:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe8edf…
09-26 15:46:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x807a9c…
09-26 15:31:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x4c9e68…
09-26 00:36:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x918e06…
09-25 19:14:06	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x9727a7…
09-25 19:05:57	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	900	63¢	$567	0x84d0bc…
08-29 10:46:15	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	54¢	$69	0x5d5df9…
08-29 08:25:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$127	0xc6cb9a…
08-28 21:36:18	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0xe62c3d…
08-27 18:45:01	trump renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x2f09be…
04-15 17:08:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdccef0…
04-14 12:52:39	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0d8265…
04-12 17:54:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,073	88¢	$944	0x7d1aec…
04-12 07:58:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	140	79¢	$111	0x6e0d80…
04-12 07:54:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0x112429…
04-12 07:50:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	279	79¢	$220	0x735ee2…
04-12 07:50:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0x008b47…
04-11 16:07:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	146	72¢	$105	0x872f97…
04-11 16:06:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	317	72¢	$228	0xfe7082…
03-31 20:55:03	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ba6c6…
03-31 08:09:43	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0xb670b4…
03-30 10:19:38	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	320	99¢	$316	0xfe9687…
03-24 21:21:33	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x047053…
03-17 12:36:41	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xcd2eef…
03-04 07:26:59	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xa47321…
03-04 07:25:35	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xf372aa…
03-04 07:25:05	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x1b1cca…
03-03 14:03:55	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x4bd22c…
03-03 14:03:17	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x11ce1e…
03-03 14:00:33	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd6b4e7…
03-03 14:00:17	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xeb2922…
03-02 07:06:17	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xa066ec…
03-01 00:59:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	290	3¢	$10	0xd126bd…
02-28 12:22:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	96	90¢	$87	0xdc69c3…
02-28 12:22:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x0c29f6…
02-28 12:21:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0x667c66…
02-28 12:19:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0x60e0f5…
02-20 08:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf4c7c1…
02-20 08:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x07f801…
02-20 08:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0782f6…
02-20 07:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb8d57a…
02-20 07:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc656b9…
02-20 07:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x002e8c…
02-20 07:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4c84cf…
02-18 23:58:10	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x873fb0…
02-18 15:59:34	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	69¢	$393	0xcfd1ac…
02-11 10:43:17	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	21¢	$45	0xcbd462…
02-11 10:39:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	340	5¢	$16	0x669030…
02-08 14:14:49	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	149	19¢	$28	0xbabfbc…
02-08 14:13:57	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x8205c0…
02-02 18:01:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xe2a8a1…
02-02 18:01:04	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	760	1¢	$10	0x6abcb7…
02-02 18:00:30	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x1dbfe0…
02-02 18:00:22	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0xf0a8e4…
02-01 18:33:00	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x783e4a…
02-01 18:29:56	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	486	37¢	$180	0x498914…
02-01 15:03:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xa73ff8…
02-01 14:56:10	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0xd30677…
02-01 14:55:54	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x857912…
02-01 14:55:24	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	800	10¢	$80	0xc322b6…
02-01 14:54:48	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	273	27¢	$73	0xfcb479…
02-01 14:53:46	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	2,000	11¢	$218	0x9ed109…
02-01 14:52:40	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	15¢	$148	0x35e4f8…
02-01 09:44:36	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd53d28…
02-01 09:44:04	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	230	28¢	$63	0x72e51b…
02-01 09:40:50	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x48b6aa…
02-01 09:38:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe82334…
02-01 09:32:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	340	2¢	$5	0x598d34…