Experienced-Authority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-09 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 5% -$3,213

Other

2% 2% +$217

Politics

1% 0% -$18

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	2	$2.0K	13,790	0	+13,790	Up	-$1,996	01-06 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	1	$747	1,560	0	+1,560	Up	-$747	01-06 18:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:00 UTC	1	$199	687	0	+687	Up	-$199	01-06 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 00:00 UTC	2	$167	557	0	+557	Down	-$167	01-12 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:30 UTC	2	$56	35	35	+0	Down	+$14	01-06 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:45 UTC	1	$35	253	0	+253	Down	-$35	01-06 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:15 UTC	1	$27	162	0	+162	Up	-$27	03-22 22:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:15 UTC	1	$17	81	0	+81	Up	-$17	01-06 17:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	5	$13	654	0	+654	Down	-$13	03-22 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$10	87	0	+87	Up	-$10	05-09 10:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$10	05-09 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	05-09 10:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$2	667	0	+667	No	-$2	01-12 09:59
highest temperature in seoul on january 7 5corhigher	1	$2	275	0	+275	Yes	+$273	01-06 17:19
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$2	286	0	+286	No	-$2	01-11 23:50
highest temperature in atlanta on january 11 56forhigher	2	$2	579	0	+579	No	-$2	01-11 23:55
will medline not ipo by december 31 2025 483 294	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	01-11 23:55
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	250	0	+250	No	-$1	05-09 10:26
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in november	1	$1	171	0	+171	No	-$1	01-11 23:54
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 10:24
highest temperature in toronto on january 11 3corhigher	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-11 23:55
will leonard gates win the pdc world darts championship	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-11 23:54
will xrp reach 2pt8 january 5 11	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-11 23:51
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-11 23:49
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 10:24
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 9?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-09 10:28
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$1	568	0	+568	No	-$1	05-09 10:25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 9?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-09 10:27
will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 12	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-11 23:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0xb984db…
05-09 10:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf77af1…
05-09 10:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x667d72…
05-09 10:28:32	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x740776…
05-09 10:27:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc2a7a8…
05-09 10:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x185cd2…
05-09 10:26:33	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1f2c79…
05-09 10:25:49	Will Raissa Butkowski win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6ec8e5…
05-09 10:25:44	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$1	0x16e3a5…
05-09 10:25:41	Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x96d81a…
05-09 10:25:11	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf6ab54…
05-09 10:25:06	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c35ab…
05-09 10:25:00	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4dbe5c…
05-09 10:24:55	Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d7081…
05-09 10:24:52	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ff7f0…
05-09 10:24:43	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x559b3a…
05-09 10:24:38	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xabfa45…
05-09 10:24:32	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x412738…
05-09 10:24:29	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb21b25…
05-09 10:24:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5d003…
05-09 10:24:18	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x84fe5f…
05-09 10:24:06	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6824f8…
05-09 10:23:57	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4fbac0…
05-09 10:23:54	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7bcd3d…
05-09 10:23:50	Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf11dce…
05-09 10:23:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b2fec…
05-09 10:23:42	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7c3c8…
05-09 10:23:36	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc77937…
05-09 10:23:33	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdbad6c…
05-09 10:23:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x89d02e…
05-09 10:23:17	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa14ceb…
05-09 10:23:14	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x833966…
05-09 10:23:08	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4929cc…
05-09 10:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc0aa62…
05-09 10:21:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x7c8413…
03-22 22:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	162	17¢	$27	0x3a1072…
03-22 22:12:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0xe1888c…
03-22 22:12:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	204	2¢	$4	0xb32731…
03-22 22:12:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x883b7b…
03-22 22:12:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	206	2¢	$4	0x817e11…
03-22 22:12:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x155ec6…
01-12 09:59:06	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6df21a…
01-12 00:01:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	483	30¢	$143	0xf04ebd…
01-12 00:01:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0x7e29bb…
01-11 23:56:14	chubb and aig merger announced by january 31	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x4ca976…
01-11 23:55:46	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9e3d5d…
01-11 23:55:32	will medline not ipo by december 31 2025 483 294	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa0be34…
01-11 23:55:24	highest temperature in toronto on january 11 3corhigher	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x42b1f1…
01-11 23:55:16	highest temperature in nyc on january 11 48 49f	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2c0f8d…
01-11 23:55:10	highest temperature in atlanta on january 11 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x06c432…
01-11 23:54:52	highest temperature in toronto on january 7 4c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x60c4c3…
01-11 23:54:48	highest temperature in nyc on january 8 41forbelow	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf28262…
01-11 23:54:36	will leonard gates win the pdc world darts championship	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c1813…
01-11 23:54:08	highest temperature in toronto on december 17 3c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33aa47…
01-11 23:54:00	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in november	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x7d561a…
01-11 23:53:58	will medline not ipo by december 31 2025 483 294	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x582d4b…
01-11 23:53:56	highest temperature in nyc on december 17 40 41f	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x441340…
01-11 23:52:08	highest temperature in london on january 12 9corbelow	Yes	BUY	252	0¢	$1	0xed4ebd…
01-11 23:52:02	highest temperature in buenos aires on january 11 36c	Yes	BUY	503	0¢	$1	0x73023d…
01-11 23:51:54	maduro trial scheduled by january 31	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xfa5d0f…
01-11 23:51:40	will xrp reach 2pt8 january 5 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x669421…
01-11 23:51:36	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x6136d7…
01-11 23:51:26	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x366d86…
01-11 23:51:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 12	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6d22bc…
01-11 23:51:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x49a7a6…
01-11 23:51:10	will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xab43e6…
01-11 23:51:02	highest temperature in atlanta on january 11 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	329	0¢	$1	0x10570d…
01-11 23:50:34	elon musk of tweets january 2026 800 839	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd678e9…
01-11 23:50:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x97568e…
01-11 23:50:08	will 2025 be the hottest year on record	Yes	BUY	207	0¢	$1	0x0e7e9f…
01-11 23:50:02	will mrbeasts next video get less than 60 million views on week 1 212	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0d792e…
01-11 23:49:58	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x41cbe2…
01-11 23:49:46	Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd70709…
01-11 23:49:40	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7a81b7…
01-11 23:49:36	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 200 219	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd29115…
01-11 23:49:16	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe8dea5…
01-06 18:57:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7,224	17¢	$1,257	0x438194…
01-06 18:57:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6,567	11¢	$739	0x065fec…
01-06 18:18:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,560	48¢	$747	0x456e4a…
01-06 18:04:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	687	29¢	$199	0xf9bb99…
01-06 17:50:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	253	14¢	$35	0xb33d08…
01-06 17:45:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xe85c50…
01-06 17:32:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x347fb8…
01-06 17:24:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	81	21¢	$17	0x5a0042…
01-06 17:22:23	trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xab474d…
01-06 17:20:13	fact check is the epstein video real	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xda57a2…
01-06 17:19:33	highest temperature in seoul on january 7 5corhigher	Yes	BUY	275	1¢	$2	0x06f037…
01-06 17:18:33	highest temperature in seoul on january 7 neg 1corbelow	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x90e290…
01-06 17:13:29	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt40 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6e77ca…
01-06 17:13:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe635b4…
01-06 17:10:21	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb5aeb0…
01-06 17:09:29	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x437149…
01-06 17:08:47	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 180 199	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe9b93…
01-06 17:06:59	maduro in us custody by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7c3057…