Little-Nuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

2,953

Trades

12,648

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-04 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$96

Other

0% 22% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 1280 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 4 5am et	27	$382	274	251	+23	Down	+$119	03-04 10:56
bitcoin up or down march 7 2am et	11	$330	422	279	+143	Up	-$178	03-07 07:38
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	20	$294	280	278	+2	Down	+$14	03-06 12:50
bitcoin up or down march 4 11am et	23	$270	200	180	+20	Down	+$86	03-04 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	18	$206	140	140	+0	Up	+$65	03-06 06:57
bitcoin up or down march 1 2am et	16	$188	135	125	+10	Up	+$57	03-01 07:40
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	20	$175	151	148	+2	Up	+$38	03-06 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 17:45 UTC	8	$170	90	90	+0	Up	+$8	03-10 17:58
bitcoin up or down march 4 4am et	7	$163	248	248	+0	Up	-$94	03-04 09:36
bitcoin up or down march 14 5am et	12	$145	118	93	+25	Down	-$25	03-14 10:05
bitcoin up or down march 3 10am et	10	$142	90	85	+5	Up	+$30	03-03 15:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 06:00 UTC	19	$138	91	89	+1	Up	-$4	04-20 06:15
bitcoin up or down march 6 8am et	15	$134	193	80	+113	Down	-$38	03-06 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	7	$132	200	200	+0	Up	-$76	03-04 08:47
bitcoin up or down february 28 6am et	21	$129	124	114	+10	Down	+$37	02-28 11:59
bitcoin up or down february 28 9am et	22	$124	92	92	+0	Down	+$31	02-28 14:51
bitcoin up or down march 2 12pm et	12	$118	80	80	+0	Down	+$36	03-02 17:59
bitcoin up or down march 5 1pm et	17	$118	80	80	+0	Up	+$34	03-05 18:56
bitcoin up or down march 5 9am et	10	$117	79	79	+0	Up	+$33	03-05 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 7 10am et	6	$116	117	115	+2	Down	-$4	03-07 15:09
bitcoin up or down march 5 6am et	8	$114	80	75	+5	Down	+$36	03-05 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3PM ET	64	$109	146	93	+53	Down	-$1	06-14 20:01
bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	9	$108	90	90	+0	Up	+$13	03-04 12:58
bitcoin up or down march 6 5pm et	5	$102	100	98	+2	Up	-$1	03-06 22:01
bitcoin up or down february 27 4pm et	13	$100	80	80	+0	Down	+$25	02-27 21:55
bitcoin up or down march 8 7am et	10	$99	70	65	+5	Down	+$29	03-08 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 07:00 UTC	27	$99	133	127	+6	Up	-$2	04-15 07:08
bitcoin up or down february 27 8am et	8	$95	65	65	+0	Up	+$28	02-27 13:55
bitcoin up or down march 1 5am et	22	$92	65	65	+0	Up	+$25	03-01 11:05
bitcoin up or down march 3 5am et	21	$92	80	80	+0	Up	+$19	03-03 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 21:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xaee06f…
10-04 21:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb3fb8e…
10-04 20:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcb0f28…
10-04 20:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x562c1b…
10-04 20:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x776ecf…
10-04 20:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbd1f31…
10-04 20:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ccb9d…
10-04 20:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x22f7c4…
10-04 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xde750f…
10-04 20:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3fe24b…
10-04 20:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4dc775…
10-04 20:34:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x47f809…
10-04 20:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6998b1…
10-04 20:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0b52dc…
10-04 20:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2645ff…
10-04 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e2eea…
10-04 20:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x489f5e…
10-04 20:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x57c5ac…
10-04 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5bd52d…
10-04 19:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f9226…
10-04 18:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5f60fe…
10-04 18:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa19622…
10-04 18:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdf7701…
10-04 18:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa75bb0…
10-04 18:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e650c…
10-04 18:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0c28cb…
10-04 18:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7143c6…
10-04 18:07:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x69e388…
10-04 18:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x83fe37…
10-04 18:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x75df93…
10-04 18:03:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x165fe2…
10-04 18:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb13936…
10-04 18:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa86a01…
10-04 18:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x1a49e6…
10-04 17:58:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x95c733…
10-04 17:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9d1e76…
10-04 17:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7c8b85…
10-04 17:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1da06a…
10-04 17:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd30405…
10-04 17:56:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2cf30f…
10-04 17:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2f5d4a…
10-04 17:56:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd4389b…
10-04 17:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x885a1a…
10-04 17:56:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd8ade8…
10-04 17:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x207617…
10-04 17:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3f5bd1…
10-04 17:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xea32bf…
10-04 17:52:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xab7dae…
10-04 17:52:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9fb202…
10-04 17:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xae60ce…
10-04 17:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xef19ea…
10-04 17:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1dd2b0…
10-04 17:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8eda7e…
10-04 17:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdde887…
10-04 17:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x91ce2c…
10-04 17:50:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x60b43e…
10-04 17:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x63ba84…
10-04 17:49:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4e8c62…
10-04 17:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb5a57b…
10-04 17:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3dfccd…
10-04 17:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4b37d5…
10-04 17:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd373f3…
10-04 15:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbbcb4f…
10-04 15:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x656061…
10-04 15:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6c05b1…
10-04 15:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1a8a35…
10-04 15:02:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe88e4a…
10-04 15:02:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd401de…
10-04 15:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5c8bbe…
10-04 15:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc54466…
10-04 15:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdba182…
10-04 15:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5b8ff9…
10-04 14:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4c75fc…
10-04 14:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad3d60…
10-04 14:56:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfe63ac…
10-04 14:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc13169…
10-04 14:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4b0605…
10-04 14:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x18cfd7…
10-04 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe3bffa…
10-04 14:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa4cd05…
10-04 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x962939…
10-04 14:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x813df8…
10-04 14:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x647f79…
10-04 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd3af9f…
10-04 14:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0b82f5…
10-04 14:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x479d68…
10-04 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa3d1ad…
10-04 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x11edc2…
10-04 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf7d3e4…
10-04 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd90344…
10-04 14:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xabec74…
10-04 14:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1788a9…
10-04 14:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf127f2…
10-04 14:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x993231…
10-04 14:42:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x08c7bc…
10-04 14:42:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x162fc4…
10-04 14:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe93c7c…
10-04 14:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfc6379…
10-04 14:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbd4585…
10-04 14:41:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x39bf44…