Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$43,593
Trades
4,626
Unique wallets
825
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
71¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 18:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 72% YES on $16.1K
vs crowd: 76% YES on $37.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 162 | $16.6K | $5.5K | +$11.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 217 | $7.8K | $2.4K | +$5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 238 | $3.2K | $781 | +$2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 208 | $955 | $505 | +$450 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 167 | $11.6K | $4.4K | +$7.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 93 | $4.1K | $504 | +$3.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 44 | $897 | $373 | +$524 |
| Median | 52 | $375 | $44 | +$331 |
| Below median | 188 | $1.6K | $317 | +$1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 115 | $2.7K | $320 | +$2.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 115 | $2.2K | $597 | +$1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 51 | $5.0K | $2.6K | +$2.4K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expensive-Arrest 0xb407…252c | Down | +1,996 | $700 | $700 | 7 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1ab…c079 | Down | +1,642 | $700 | $700 | 3 | 10-04 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,564 | $384 | $384 | 79 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,464 | $1,022 | $1,022 | 62 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Up | +1,464 | $1,449 | $1,449 | 1 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +1,239 | $1,092 | $1,092 | 13 | 10-04 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +1,190 | $387 | $387 | 42 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +1,172 | $799 | $799 | 30 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Down | +1,115 | $111 | $139 | 3 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +1,069 | $326 | $326 | 60 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf363…c197 | Up | +951 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 10-04 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +844 | $190 | $190 | 47 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Up | +726 | $214 | $3,041 | 19 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +702 | $144 | $144 | 28 | 10-04 18:04 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +680 | $113 | $113 | 28 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +664 | $466 | $466 | 26 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +618 | $154 | $340 | 47 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6a6…7971 | Up | +604 | $550 | $550 | 11 | 10-04 18:04 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +600 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3dd…c91c | Down | +593 | $150 | $150 | 4 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Up | +581 | $454 | $454 | 29 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +570 | $338 | $338 | 20 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +567 | $423 | $423 | 23 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | +523 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +520 | $360 | $360 | 20 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3 | Up | +501 | $491 | $491 | 2 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +455 | $176 | $176 | 16 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Pointed-Shack 0xb676…7fb8 | Down | +445 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 10-04 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +444 | $333 | $333 | 6 | 10-04 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +433 | $80 | $80 | 35 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +431 | $107 | $107 | 34 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +422 | $381 | $381 | 7 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +418 | $301 | $301 | 37 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +403 | $149 | $149 | 16 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 17 | 10-04 18:04 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | +400 | $396 | $396 | 4 | 10-04 18:04 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +400 | $82 | $82 | 39 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2678…56ca | Down | +391 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-04 15:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +377 | $263 | $263 | 27 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +369 | $279 | $279 | 9 | 10-04 18:04 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +368 | $271 | $271 | 24 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +359 | $199 | $199 | 11 | 10-04 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +356 | $266 | $266 | 23 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +341 | $237 | $237 | 40 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +327 | $282 | $282 | 4 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | +300 | $297 | $297 | 5 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 24 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa6d…7761 | Up | +294 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-04 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +291 | $236 | $236 | 2 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +289 | $146 | $146 | 13 | 10-04 18:01 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +270 | $150 | $150 | 9 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +268 | $15 | $15 | 9 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +262 | $131 | $131 | 12 | 10-04 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +255 | $110 | $217 | 14 | 10-04 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +255 | $251 | $251 | 4 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d01…7137 | Down | +251 | $125 | $125 | 25 | 10-04 18:01 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +251 | $56 | $56 | 56 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +243 | $67 | $67 | 24 | 10-04 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +242 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Safe-Veldt 0x54c8…3b7e | Down | +240 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 10-04 18:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:04:52 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x59f01b… |
| 10-04 18:04:52 | Organic-Cherry 0x50ea…5963 | Up | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x59f01b… |
| 10-04 18:04:43 | Private-Doctrine 0x37de…6fab | Down | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf86175… |
| 10-04 18:04:43 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xf86175… |
| 10-04 18:04:31 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x56048c… |
| 10-04 18:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xe820…ff42 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x56048c… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | Canine-Mining 0x483d…be07 | Up | SELL | 321 | 99¢ | $317 | 0x9eb4c9… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x497d0e… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x497d0e… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x9eb4c9… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x9eb4c9… |
| 10-04 18:04:25 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $157 | 0x9eb4c9… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 82 | 99¢ | $81 | 0xabc4b8… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xabc4b8… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x60908c… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | Last-Television 0x85b3…0b2e | Up | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x60908c… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Up | BUY | 205 | 99¢ | $203 | 0xed3dea… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | Loathsome-Restroom 0xbaf8…7f77 | Up | SELL | 205 | 99¢ | $203 | 0xed3dea… |
| 10-04 18:04:23 | (anonymous) 0x5c47…8a42 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xabc4b8… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Cultivated-Premium 0xf944…ef91 | Up | SELL | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa59669… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x9fa796… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xd77d…cfb8 | Up | SELL | 204 | 99¢ | $202 | 0xf25d92… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x5916…2a0b | Down | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf25d92… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Vibrant-Ladle 0x1529…c927 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Wiry-Talking 0xd5f8…385c | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 56 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6aec72… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xbeb1…a6ad | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Up | BUY | 1,464 | 99¢ | $1,449 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 92 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1256…7d53 | Down | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa59669… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x2ea6…25ea | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x9fa796… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x5916…2a0b | Down | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6aec72… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x8fa9…5e3d | Up | SELL | 376 | 99¢ | $372 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x2ba1…311d | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x7cde…bf7b | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1b0195… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Wonderful-Squirrel 0x8dbb…f8f0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x4f40…4f77 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6aec72… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 195 | 99¢ | $193 | 0xf25d92… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Far-Gavel 0x684e…55d2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Nervous-Metallurgist 0x26d0…68d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x66746a… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x8695…e44d | Up | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x2844e9… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b0195… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 600 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x0ab9…41b7 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd02…e59f | Up | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x2792…9a7e | Up | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Private-Doctrine 0x37de…6fab | Down | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2844e9… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x52b3…dc62 | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab7d95… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfdbc0b… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3ca143… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Up | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x609c0e… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x609c0e… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdbc0b… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x99f0…0e77 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0891eb… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2d07d1… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ca143… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d07d1… |
| 10-04 18:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0891eb… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x701ea9… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x84b4…b0b2 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x176abb… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xb864c6… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x7401…fe3c | Up | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd0d203… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27f705… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x46aada… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Down | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b60da… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0xf879…b41d | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x27f705… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Down | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0d203… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xb864c6… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46aada… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | Fat-Indicator 0x8b30…72f0 | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb864c6… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | Fluffy-Eye 0xdc3d…498a | Up | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x1b60da… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x373b…c855 | Down | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b60da… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x701ea9… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x176abb… |
| 10-04 18:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Down | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb864c6… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5b5be9… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Simple-Director 0x17aa…ba4f | Up | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb05d38… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Distorted-Speaker 0xa467…05d7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9ffdcf… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a8066… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Down | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd3ed77… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21cc6e… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x1a8066… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd3ed77… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Passionate-Drawbridge 0xcdc3…a71f | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x0d396c… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d396c… |
| 10-04 18:04:17 | Turbulent-Gravy 0x91ff…84c7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x21cc6e… |