Distorted-Speaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

2,624

Trades

19,090

lifetime

Volume

$146.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$2,340

Politics

0% 0% -$328

Other

0% 58% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 1109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 02:00 UTC	20	$1.5K	1,095	1,084	+11	Down	-$73	02-07 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:30 UTC	16	$1.5K	1,006	997	+10	Down	+$1	02-06 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	12	$1.1K	3,095	2,835	+260	Up	+$103	10-07 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	12	$1.1K	828	608	+220	Down	+$14	02-06 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:15 UTC	12	$906	543	540	+3	Down	+$18	02-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 03:15 UTC	13	$844	459	458	+1	Down	+$23	01-16 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:00 UTC	18	$826	749	536	+213	Down	+$33	02-06 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:45 UTC	16	$824	556	552	+5	Up	-$8	02-05 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:45 UTC	17	$773	669	660	+9	Up	-$36	01-08 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:00 UTC	19	$771	877	104	+773	Down	+$6	01-15 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	10	$769	505	501	+4	Down	+$11	02-05 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:45 UTC	29	$767	1,008	9	+1,000	Down	+$8	01-15 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:30 UTC	12	$752	561	555	+6	Down	+$21	02-05 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	8	$723	487	482	+5	Down	+$12	02-06 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:00 UTC	10	$720	490	486	+4	Down	-$11	02-06 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:00 UTC	11	$705	400	399	+1	Up	-$14	02-05 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 18:15 UTC	13	$677	462	357	+105	Down	+$26	01-15 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 00:30 UTC	10	$662	508	481	+27	Down	+$25	02-07 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:15 UTC	10	$646	401	399	+2	Up	-$29	02-06 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	7	$620	428	423	+5	Down	+$16	10-26 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:15 UTC	7	$607	367	360	+7	Up	+$15	02-06 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 23:00 UTC	20	$606	800	564	+236	Up	-$569	01-15 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 02:30 UTC	6	$595	333	331	+2	Down	+$55	01-16 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:30 UTC	6	$593	451	445	+6	Down	+$17	02-06 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 19:45 UTC	15	$584	614	21	+593	Up	+$24	01-15 19:59
bitcoin up or down january 2 6am et	16	$559	298	298	+0	Down	+$9	01-02 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:45 UTC	8	$558	355	352	+3	Down	+$21	02-05 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	6	$554	333	332	+2	Up	+$1	02-06 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:00 UTC	6	$547	449	443	+6	Up	-$2	02-06 04:13
bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	9	$537	308	265	+43	Up	-$1	01-02 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa89f3d…
10-26 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x47a16b…
10-26 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	84¢	$59	0x5c0b08…
10-26 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x028344…
10-26 18:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0xaa2571…
10-26 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x121fad…
10-26 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x3b80c3…
10-26 17:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x637426…
10-26 17:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x30157b…
10-26 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x8eaf26…
10-26 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0xf1c242…
10-26 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xdc89ae…
10-26 17:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x212695…
10-26 17:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	152	19¢	$30	0x240238…
10-26 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x26806c…
10-26 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	112	87¢	$97	0x047182…
10-26 17:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x99ca19…
10-26 17:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	222	89¢	$198	0x7b791d…
10-26 17:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd37419…
10-26 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	244	94¢	$229	0x61f183…
10-26 17:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	239	83¢	$198	0x4547e6…
10-26 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x746310…
10-26 17:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	218	98¢	$213	0xc3e356…
10-26 17:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	218	91¢	$198	0x2f69fa…
10-26 17:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0x1b95ee…
10-26 17:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$99	0x611bdc…
10-26 17:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	119	19¢	$23	0xec6b24…
10-26 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0xdf42e6…
10-26 17:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xee08fb…
10-26 17:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8c224f…
10-26 17:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0377f7…
10-26 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	113	98¢	$110	0x04b3c5…
10-26 17:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0xe24a0c…
10-26 17:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2d4576…
10-26 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd6b2f7…
10-26 17:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe183bf…
10-26 17:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x28f90f…
10-26 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x55c1eb…
10-26 17:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf5c00f…
10-26 17:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x355915…
10-26 17:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	118	97¢	$115	0xd254bd…
10-26 17:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	113	87¢	$99	0xb598d8…
10-26 17:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3f2a90…
10-26 16:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2452a3…
10-26 16:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x18e8c5…
10-26 16:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6ecef0…
10-26 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8225f0…
10-26 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x08f889…
10-26 16:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa6988c…
10-26 16:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x29c2c8…
10-26 16:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x18d2a8…
10-26 16:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf1e3d6…
10-26 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e67b7…
10-26 16:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd14c56…
10-26 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xff6886…
10-26 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdcf52b…
10-26 16:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x654337…
10-26 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xab4314…
10-26 16:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xeb4dcf…
10-26 16:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0x71ea39…
10-26 16:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0x2d00ae…
10-26 16:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1a8479…
10-26 16:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa27833…
10-26 16:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	270	91¢	$246	0xb65098…
10-26 16:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$99	0x264d57…
10-26 16:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	134	74¢	$99	0xe1352d…
10-26 16:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	153	45¢	$69	0x34d2b2…
10-26 16:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$99	0x7419de…
10-26 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x423291…
10-26 16:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x0ec41f…
10-26 16:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	109	91¢	$99	0x15012a…
10-26 16:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0xf5d7ff…
10-26 16:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	122	81¢	$99	0xe79f9e…
10-26 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe4d137…
10-26 16:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0xab325c…
10-26 16:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	118	84¢	$99	0x650d05…
10-26 16:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xe0a009…
10-26 16:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x76b75d…
10-26 16:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbe1733…
10-26 16:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	126	89¢	$112	0x003b5c…
10-26 16:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x36ba19…
10-26 16:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x466fea…
10-26 16:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	115	86¢	$99	0x1999d7…
10-26 16:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	130	67¢	$87	0x73e9af…
10-26 16:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x8a459b…
10-26 16:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb064fe…
10-26 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1962e8…
10-26 15:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	124	87¢	$108	0x2c59b5…
10-26 15:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	119	83¢	$99	0x7d9597…
10-26 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaa14c5…
10-26 15:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xb85e16…
10-26 15:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x92c369…
10-26 15:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x54f4a3…
10-26 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xd91314…
10-26 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdbca90…
10-26 15:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xcd947b…
10-26 15:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3f763b…
10-26 15:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2d52bc…
10-26 15:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	121	91¢	$111	0x2bea2b…
10-26 15:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	116	85¢	$99	0x7cb07a…