Distorted-Speaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

272

19,362 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.87K

$149.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$2,457

Politics

0% 0% -$328

Other

0% 58% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 449 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 02:00 UTC	20	$1.5K	1,095	1,084	+11	Down	-$73	02-07 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:30 UTC	16	$1.5K	1,006	997	+10	Down	+$1	02-06 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	12	$1.1K	3,095	2,835	+260	Up	+$103	10-07 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:45 UTC	12	$1.1K	828	608	+220	Down	+$14	02-06 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:15 UTC	12	$906	543	540	+3	Down	+$18	02-05 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 03:15 UTC	13	$844	459	458	+1	Down	+$23	01-16 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:00 UTC	18	$826	749	536	+213	Down	+$33	02-06 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:45 UTC	16	$824	556	552	+5	Up	-$8	02-05 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:45 UTC	17	$773	669	660	+9	Up	-$36	01-08 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:00 UTC	19	$771	877	104	+773	Down	+$6	01-15 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	10	$769	505	501	+4	Down	+$11	02-05 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:45 UTC	29	$767	1,008	9	+1,000	Down	+$8	01-15 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:30 UTC	12	$752	561	555	+6	Down	+$21	02-05 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	8	$723	487	482	+5	Down	+$12	02-06 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:00 UTC	10	$720	490	486	+4	Down	-$11	02-06 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:00 UTC	11	$705	400	399	+1	Up	-$14	02-05 23:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 18:15 UTC	13	$677	462	357	+105	Down	+$26	01-15 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 00:30 UTC	10	$662	508	481	+27	Down	+$25	02-07 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 03:15 UTC	10	$646	401	399	+2	Up	-$29	02-06 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	7	$620	428	423	+5	Down	+$16	10-26 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:15 UTC	7	$607	367	360	+7	Up	+$15	02-06 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 23:00 UTC	20	$606	800	564	+236	Up	-$569	01-15 23:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 02:30 UTC	6	$595	333	331	+2	Down	+$55	01-16 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:30 UTC	6	$593	451	445	+6	Down	+$17	02-06 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 19:45 UTC	15	$584	614	21	+593	Up	+$24	01-15 19:59
bitcoin up or down january 2 6am et	16	$559	298	298	+0	Down	+$9	01-02 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:45 UTC	8	$558	355	352	+3	Down	+$21	02-05 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:30 UTC	6	$554	333	332	+2	Up	+$1	02-06 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:00 UTC	6	$547	449	443	+6	Up	-$2	02-06 04:13
bitcoin up or down january 2 9am et	9	$537	308	265	+43	Up	-$1	01-02 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0x4161ed…
11-08 22:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xa0c4ee…
11-08 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	37	93¢	$35	0xd7e4ab…
11-08 22:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	85¢	$32	0xdc6ca8…
11-08 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	44	76¢	$33	0xfe931a…
11-08 22:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0xa53cda…
11-08 22:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xfde952…
11-08 22:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	36	79¢	$28	0xb743e0…
11-08 22:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x6e7f5f…
11-08 22:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x16bbb0…
11-08 22:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x8ac058…
11-08 22:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x777f7a…
11-08 22:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x6bd845…
11-08 22:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3e1ce0…
11-08 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xd79554…
11-08 22:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x6b5e98…
11-08 22:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xf8ffed…
11-08 22:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd086c5…
11-08 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x2ffc71…
11-08 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x705e6e…
11-08 22:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x519701…
11-08 22:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbc5c5a…
11-08 22:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0x73c72b…
11-08 22:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0xd7029a…
11-08 22:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xd568b1…
11-08 22:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	87	34¢	$29	0x09276a…
11-08 22:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	73	71¢	$51	0xb6a3c9…
11-08 22:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0x84ca99…
11-08 22:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	164	34¢	$56	0x82eafc…
11-08 22:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	164	84¢	$139	0x2a62c2…
11-08 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	143	99¢	$142	0x4b8665…
11-08 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	143	76¢	$109	0x51c537…
11-08 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x757cc1…
11-08 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	107	74¢	$79	0xe18038…
11-08 21:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc48cf5…
11-08 21:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0x116d68…
11-08 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	194	42¢	$82	0xdb8760…
11-08 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	81¢	$59	0xdf9473…
11-08 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xedb74a…
11-08 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x83c5da…
11-08 21:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7d3bdf…
11-08 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0x35270e…
11-08 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0161f0…
11-08 21:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$99	0x04906c…
11-08 21:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	190	81¢	$153	0xa40c61…
11-08 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	190	78¢	$148	0x9d3151…
11-08 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xfbe199…
11-08 21:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa31286…
11-08 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x842365…
11-08 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x703c05…
11-08 21:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf1ef54…
11-08 21:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x85b908…
11-08 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x413687…
11-08 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73d4e1…
11-08 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd4a67c…
11-08 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x72f868…
11-08 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9550ae…
11-08 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcf7c89…
11-08 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x470df3…
11-08 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xafe2c3…
11-08 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa5890d…
11-08 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1e7676…
11-08 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1665e1…
11-08 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc9ddbc…
11-08 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09a4b0…
11-08 21:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3db665…
11-08 21:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x57854d…
11-08 20:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x05463e…
11-08 20:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x92ee36…
11-08 20:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x067f86…
11-08 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8ab8db…
11-08 20:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xba07f9…
11-08 20:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x893440…
11-08 20:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2ee050…
11-08 20:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc6dc41…
11-08 20:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe9857f…
11-08 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe91226…
11-08 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5314ee…
11-08 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbd83f0…
11-08 20:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa4b8e…
11-08 20:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3d9813…
11-08 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd951c0…
11-08 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4ddb14…
11-08 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfe2147…
11-08 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba3854…
11-08 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5fa3ef…
11-08 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8445ca…
11-08 20:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7da9e0…
11-08 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe232be…
11-08 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf43dd8…
11-08 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe3f0e9…
11-08 20:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e197d…
11-08 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x49eb5f…
11-08 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x059f17…
11-08 20:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb934b0…
11-08 20:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x638c56…
11-08 20:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4e498e…
11-08 20:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xff1d90…
11-08 20:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x777513…
11-08 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x051f8b…