(anonymous) 0x675ae4…ec304f Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
21
Trades
333
lifetime
Volume
$5.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.19K
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-03 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
46% 71% +$35
Politics
40% — —
Sports
13% 67% -$48
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +996 $993 100¢ $993 $0 10-31 09:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +591 $508 86¢ $511 +$3 11-02 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +308 $284 100¢ $307 +$24 11-01 05:09
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +311 $304 98¢ $304 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +203 $185 100¢ $203 +$18 11-01 17:49
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +200 $168 81¢ $162 -$6 11-01 16:58
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas? No +107 $106 100¢ $106 +$0 11-02 22:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +106 $106 100¢ $106 $0 11-02 22:58
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +105 $104 98¢ $103 -$1 11-02 02:42
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $89 99¢ $89 $0 11-03 09:14
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 $0 10-30 22:38
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +47 $43 100¢ $47 +$4 11-01 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +30 $27 98¢ $29 +$2 11-01 13:05
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +18 $17 100¢ $18 +$2 11-01 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No — +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 10-30 16:34
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +40 $18 44¢ $18 +$0 11-02 23:02
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-30 22:09
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +63 $55 22¢ $14 -$42 11-02 18:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +14 $12 82¢ $12 +$0 11-01 20:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 11-02 23:02
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 $0 11-02 03:13
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 10-30 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 11-01 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-01 19:28