Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$24

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-14 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

49% 38% -$270

Crypto

26% 57% +$71

Politics

18% 50% -$37

Sports

5% 50% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	-32	-$7	48¢	$-15	-$8	09-24 07:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+32	$10	24¢	$8	-$2	09-30 04:34
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+67	$20	2¢	$2	-$18	08-20 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	2	$150	254	0	+254	No	-$150	06-14 11:04
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$110	61	61	+0	Yes	+$10	03-17 13:45
will trump say transgender this week february 15	2	$63	45	45	+0	No	+$23	02-16 02:41
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$55	35	35	+0	Yes	+$15	02-16 04:13
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	2	$52	33	33	+0	No	+$12	09-30 16:13
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$51	32	32	+0	Yes	+$11	02-17 09:19
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 21	1	$50	104	0	+104	Yes	+$54	02-16 03:03
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 22	1	$50	76	0	+76	No	+$26	02-16 02:31
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$49	32	32	+0	Yes	+$9	05-19 06:45
ethereum up or down on february 16	2	$48	39	39	+0	Down	+$8	02-16 09:18
will trump say six seven this week february 15	2	$43	24	24	+0	No	+$3	02-16 02:41
us strike on somalia by february 14	2	$41	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	02-12 09:14
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$30	158	0	+158	Yes	-$30	09-16 15:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?	2	$30	33	33	+0	No	+$10	09-30 15:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$26	143	143	+0	open	—	09-22 09:23
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$20	8,991	0	+8,991	No	-$20	03-08 15:56
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	09-24 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?	1	$20	80	0	+80	No	-$20	08-20 08:13
solana up or down on september 26 2026	1	$20	46	0	+46	Up	-$20	09-26 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	1	$20	54	0	+54	No	-$20	10-14 01:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$20	43	0	+43	No	-$20	02-10 01:37
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 15	1	$20	49	0	+49	No	-$20	02-11 13:15
will trump say shit or ass this week february 22	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	02-14 10:42
trump approval up or down this week 155	1	$20	35	0	+35	Up	-$20	02-16 06:10
Discord IPO before 2027?	1	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	08-20 01:11
will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	1	$20	44	0	+44	No	-$20	02-11 16:25
will trump say sleepy joe this week february 15	1	$20	49	0	+49	Yes	-$20	02-11 13:14
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	1	$20	46	0	+46	Yes	+$26	08-20 08:10
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	1	$20	37	0	+37	No	-$20	02-12 02:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$20	70	0	+70	No	-$20	08-20 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 01:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x204a36…
10-06 07:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xebe392…
09-30 16:13:03	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xa84b45…
09-30 15:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	33	59¢	$20	0xeea75c…
09-30 04:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4789b5…
09-30 04:34:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x78967d…
09-26 07:40:35	solana up or down on september 26 2026	Down	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x651d7f…
09-24 12:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x925895…
09-24 12:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe56e3c…
09-24 12:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x42670b…
09-24 07:39:59	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0x28a705…
09-24 06:47:05	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x569c92…
09-24 06:44:14	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x9c46b2…
09-22 09:29:28	Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao	Linang Xiao	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x7c27fd…
09-22 09:27:24	HYPE Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x52b716…
09-22 09:23:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$6	0x8cbf83…
09-16 15:12:02	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0xfecd50…
08-20 08:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x536b47…
08-20 08:10:03	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xfee547…
08-20 08:08:00	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x11c5bf…
08-20 01:11:37	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x98136b…
08-20 01:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xfe0729…
08-20 00:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x20a52e…
06-14 11:04:07	Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x713c1d…
06-02 10:01:35	Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x8e1279…
05-19 06:50:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x0d6bc3…
05-19 06:45:54	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0xfb91f8…
03-17 13:45:51	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x3b0a81…
03-08 15:56:39	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	8,991	0¢	$20	0x004753…
02-17 09:19:13	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xcac936…
02-16 09:18:27	ethereum up or down on february 16	Down	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0xc3ff42…
02-16 07:53:33	nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	Blue Jackets	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x87d71e…
02-16 07:48:21	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xb8da2b…
02-16 06:10:59	trump approval up or down this week 155	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x6a5bd3…
02-16 04:13:25	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xb33d2c…
02-16 03:03:53	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 21	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xa0d2b5…
02-16 02:41:29	will trump say six seven this week february 15	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x6e2e14…
02-16 02:41:11	will trump say transgender this week february 15	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0x674176…
02-16 02:31:19	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 22	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xcd6256…
02-15 13:03:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 16	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x661986…
02-15 12:58:39	ethereum up or down on february 16	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc92188…
02-14 10:42:05	will trump say shit or ass this week february 22	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa2dc70…
02-13 02:10:37	Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf39765…
02-13 02:09:35	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x05604a…
02-12 09:14:07	us strike on somalia by february 14	Yes	SELL	32	64¢	$21	0x8b70b2…
02-12 09:09:11	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x0a4242…
02-12 09:05:05	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd9d8ef…
02-12 08:49:13	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x922d57…
02-12 07:34:27	will trump say transgender this week february 15	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x17bc43…
02-12 07:33:59	will trump say six seven this week february 15	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7fb985…
02-12 02:21:01	highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8ef368…
02-11 16:25:41	will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xbf0066…
02-11 13:15:07	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 15	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x59f066…
02-11 13:14:45	will trump say sleepy joe this week february 15	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x50c80d…
02-11 06:28:05	us strike on somalia by february 14	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xae1fd3…
02-10 08:34:43	will trump say b2 or f35 during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xdb4883…
02-10 01:40:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xd31111…
02-10 01:37:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf88343…