Gigantic-Piccolo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

144

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-03 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

65% 35% +$52

Politics

19% 36% -$53

Sports

11% 43% +$70

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$100

Tech

2% 50% +$9

Crypto

2% 50% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	-20	-$27	98¢	$-20	+$7	05-31 08:58
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+100	$16	20¢	$19	+$3	10-24 03:34
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	80¢	$8	+$1	10-16 00:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$436	750	750	+0	Yes	+$19	06-08 21:32
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	7	$321	223	223	+0	No	+$51	04-15 13:15
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 2pt5	2	$198	120	120	+1	Club Atlético de Madrid	-$1	04-14 18:41
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	12	$178	290	210	+80	open	—	10-15 15:32
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$165	229	195	+35	No	-$55	03-15 21:21
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	5	$117	200	200	+0	No	+$62	09-05 19:17
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	6	$113	162	100	+62	Yes	+$7	10-18 02:38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$105	150	150	+0	Yes	-$31	10-04 22:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	4	$105	60	80	-20	open	—	05-31 08:58
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$100	141	0	+141	No	-$100	02-01 23:38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	10-15 06:23
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	8	$91	100	100	+0	Mbappé	+$1	10-26 22:54
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	09-17 19:19
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-19 15:25
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	4	$74	119	100	+19	open	—	10-30 08:28
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	4	$72	50	50	+0	Real Madrid CF	+$14	10-25 20:51
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-20 02:49
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	4	$67	100	100	-0	Yes	+$4	05-08 04:33
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$67	50	50	+0	No	+$33	07-31 19:58
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	5	$63	80	80	+0	No	+$1	10-15 17:10
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	3	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	+$11	08-27 16:46
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	2	$60	49	49	+0	Yes	$0	06-08 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 04:45 UTC	2	$59	43	43	+0	Down	+$25	08-14 04:50
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$53	164	164	+0	open	—	10-17 12:37
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$50	80	80	+0	No	-$1	05-31 11:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$47	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	08-06 15:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	08-01 00:51
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$6	05-19 18:43
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	3	$42	150	150	+0	Yes	+$33	09-10 05:18
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	6	$41	170	120	+50	Yes	-$13	08-03 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:02:16	Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4773e…
11-03 05:46:39	Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x36bf2e…
11-03 05:32:00	Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8f2cd3…
10-31 15:16:25	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x34affd…
10-31 15:15:49	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2dae6e…
10-30 08:28:25	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x2f8aaa…
10-29 23:01:48	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc10376…
10-29 14:26:29	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	24	27¢	$7	0x734f2c…
10-29 14:24:59	Will Elena Rybakina be Number 1 on the End of Year WTA Rankings	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbbe756…
10-29 03:48:29	Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x45395d…
10-28 21:59:07	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x981819…
10-28 16:20:53	Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa01c84…
10-27 15:35:29	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x80a214…
10-27 08:03:17	will rockstar release gta vi on pc after march 2027 20261021185317733	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x04971e…
10-26 22:54:38	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb26d8d…
10-26 22:54:02	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8abed9…
10-26 18:20:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x635233…
10-26 17:28:17	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x079463…
10-26 03:09:08	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xb290d7…
10-25 20:51:06	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x6ecf05…
10-25 20:48:21	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xf82a22…
10-25 19:12:26	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x6b4158…
10-24 22:03:47	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	501	1¢	$6	0x473c85…
10-24 22:00:59	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa7efb9…
10-24 21:16:20	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4051f9…
10-24 08:43:02	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x39e6bc…
10-24 03:34:02	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xcbdb3a…
10-24 03:34:02	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x598603…
10-20 20:48:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x8e2944…
10-20 20:32:00	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9e1089…
10-20 19:40:53	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x979241…
10-19 03:45:44	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcfaf1c…
10-18 12:15:11	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x83859e…
10-18 02:38:33	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x561246…
10-18 02:34:18	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x13e070…
10-18 02:33:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc25b49…
10-18 02:33:06	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x193cd8…
10-18 02:26:35	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde9b15…
10-18 01:33:26	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xa19366…
10-17 22:20:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0e0555…
10-17 21:55:59	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x444ff9…
10-17 12:37:08	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	164	11¢	$18	0x65260c…
10-17 01:34:36	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 34 and 36 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x463fc9…
10-17 01:34:29	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 34 and 36 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x38c864…
10-17 01:33:12	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 34 and 36 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x06aa8a…
10-16 12:48:40	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x99e7cd…
10-16 12:48:06	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x319f50…
10-16 11:21:39	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xf0bc93…
10-16 00:41:55	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb28c0f…
10-15 17:31:22	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x85e9b7…
10-15 17:10:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0xf0c5e7…
10-15 16:41:20	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0b3ab5…
10-15 16:22:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xeb0a76…
10-15 16:21:22	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7effde…
10-15 16:17:53	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x71edc5…
10-15 15:32:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xe45b78…
10-15 15:27:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x08467f…
10-15 06:23:31	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x98e298…
10-14 20:26:45	will trump say shit during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7834e6…
10-14 05:14:35	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x732170…
10-14 04:25:32	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	160	34¢	$55	0x53f9ff…
10-11 09:27:28	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xad1729…
10-11 04:31:53	Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2c17b0…
10-11 04:26:24	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd178ee…
10-10 08:14:10	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xa58275…
10-10 08:14:10	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8cab19…
10-10 04:31:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x1d4e74…
10-09 08:40:18	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa3aa09…
10-09 08:35:01	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x38464e…
10-09 08:32:45	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xcbd2d2…
10-09 06:37:13	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaeef35…
10-08 11:07:51	Will Elena Rybakina be Number 1 on the End of Year WTA Rankings	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6e939c…
10-07 04:55:56	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa19e8b…
10-05 16:52:19	Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xbf83c4…
10-05 04:51:46	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x3cb60c…
10-05 04:02:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfa91d4…
10-04 22:24:40	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x2be21f…
10-04 06:44:52	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x87f773…
10-04 06:44:40	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4f80f9…
10-03 22:58:26	Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe61835…
10-03 22:55:04	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x3835c7…
09-30 09:38:20	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x8205bb…
09-29 21:45:00	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x8781fe…
09-29 12:21:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x5f1ec6…
09-28 21:44:44	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x1ae81e…
09-27 12:49:50	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x8caa20…
09-26 06:45:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xf6e412…
09-25 15:35:53	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x37f1a1…
09-24 13:11:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x42cd45…
09-24 12:38:38	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x05d68d…
09-24 06:52:53	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x4ce0f3…
09-24 04:53:08	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xc7fc47…
09-22 15:02:24	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc7ceea…
09-22 11:15:12	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x53b07e…
09-22 08:16:30	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x896cde…
09-21 10:50:32	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xbc678f…
09-21 10:41:35	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x10fbed…
09-21 06:34:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe57d32…
09-21 04:58:24	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x899138…
09-20 18:37:34	Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xd1fe94…