Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

108

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$62.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$211

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 10-29 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

93% 95% +$7,540

Tech

7% 86% +$1,085

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in August?	3	$5.6K	5,578	+5,578	Yes	+$13	09-30 12:30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,453	+4,453	Yes	+$430	10-13 13:08
What will be the next Fed rate change?	1	$3.7K	3,817	+3,817	Hike	+$76	09-16 18:00
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	4	$3.6K	3,630	+3,630	Yes	+$4	10-02 13:08
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$3.1K	3,082	+3,082	Yes	+$22	10-28 13:45
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	1	$2.9K	3,010	+3,010	No	+$81	09-11 12:30
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	3	$2.8K	2,893	+2,893	No	+$123	10-14 12:30
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2.7K	2,720	+2,720	No	+$3	09-10 12:15
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,479	+2,479	Yes	+$239	10-13 13:08
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,708	+2,708	Yes	+$654	09-22 15:42
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	2	$2.0K	2,028	+2,028	Yes	+$61	10-29 12:30
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	2	$2.0K	5,337	+5,337	Yes	+$3,376	10-14 12:30
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	1	$1.3K	1,350	+1,350	No	+$1	10-28 18:00
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?	1	$1.3K	1,298	+1,298	No	+$13	09-11 12:30
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	1	$1.3K	3,286	+3,286	Yes	+$2,027	09-01 17:09
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	1	$1.2K	1,221	+1,221	No	+$2	10-28 18:00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,231	+1,231	No	+$170	09-22 15:42
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	2	$1000	1,111	+1,111	Yes	+$111	09-04 19:00
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?	5	$945	965	+965	No	+$20	09-05 16:01
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$939	940	+940	No	+$1	10-28 13:45
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$861	892	+892	Yes	+$31	09-02 10:41
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	1	$758	980	+980	Yes	+$222	09-22 15:42
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	1	$709	710	+710	No	+$2	10-28 18:00
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?	6	$679	680	+680	No	+$1	09-05 16:02
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	1	$636	650	+650	No	+$14	09-16 18:00
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	2	$622	646	+646	Yes	+$24	09-02 13:33
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	1	$619	620	+620	No	+$1	10-28 18:00
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	1	$569	570	+570	No	+$1	10-28 18:00
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	6	$558	561	+561	No	+$3	09-05 16:00
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	1	$529	530	+530	No	+$1	10-28 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:30:10	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	2,022	97¢	$1,961	0x5c1052…
10-29 12:30:08	Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8a00d5…
10-28 18:03:16	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x47e01b…
10-28 18:02:59	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4b1b01…
10-28 18:02:55	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1e069…
10-28 18:02:52	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd893a1…
10-28 18:02:46	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x93d81f…
10-28 18:02:28	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe05b0c…
10-28 18:02:20	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf605a5…
10-28 18:02:16	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x73da18…
10-28 18:01:58	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xaac846…
10-28 18:01:49	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x52a501…
10-28 18:01:46	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x432ddd…
10-28 18:01:26	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffb863…
10-28 18:01:26	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xff3fe9…
10-28 18:01:26	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x682698…
10-28 18:01:26	Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x513127…
10-28 18:01:23	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1dc0c…
10-28 18:01:23	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9eadb4…
10-28 18:01:23	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b6922…
10-28 18:01:19	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd66500…
10-28 18:01:19	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa227df…
10-28 18:01:19	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ee8fa…
10-28 18:01:19	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x57fbf9…
10-28 18:01:14	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5803a…
10-28 18:01:14	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7bd836…
10-28 18:01:14	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ed36a…
10-28 18:01:14	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x347732…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	1,350	100¢	$1,349	0xe5541f…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	1,221	100¢	$1,219	0xd1227f…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0xa33972…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	570	100¢	$569	0x569453…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0x1f3314…
10-28 18:00:23	Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0x040c67…
10-28 13:45:05	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	940	100¢	$939	0xecce69…
10-28 13:45:05	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	2,062	99¢	$2,041	0xa4abeb…
10-28 13:45:05	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0x5351b1…
10-26 17:53:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7c0b31…
10-26 17:53:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x29796e…
10-23 10:30:05	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0xbaabbc…
10-23 10:30:03	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	94¢	$169	0xcd09bd…
10-23 10:30:03	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0x7c2559…
10-15 12:31:16	Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52e1a8…
10-15 12:31:16	Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x371cd0…
10-15 12:30:10	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x398168…
10-14 12:30:14	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	823	93¢	$762	0x4c4c12…
10-14 12:30:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	5,332	37¢	$1,956	0xebe621…
10-14 12:30:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	1,973	97¢	$1,921	0x9b9922…
10-14 12:30:09	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0x2311aa…
10-14 12:30:08	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x82375e…
10-13 13:08:38	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,479	90¢	$2,240	0xf9162e…
10-13 13:08:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,453	90¢	$4,023	0x737597…
10-13 10:05:50	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x966392…
10-13 10:05:50	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x067593…
10-13 10:05:49	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30aafd…
10-12 09:48:38	Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	50¢	$56	0x985520…
10-12 09:48:16	Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	34¢	$90	0x93f456…
10-12 09:48:14	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	154	84¢	$130	0x6311f3…
10-10 16:03:03	Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd98e86…
10-10 16:00:24	Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdca4d1…
10-10 16:00:19	Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0872b1…
10-10 16:00:18	Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf48665…
10-10 16:00:15	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe7e05b…
10-10 16:00:13	Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeeee5a…
10-10 16:00:13	Will MrBeast say "Race" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x757c46…
10-10 16:00:13	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4a61a9…
10-10 16:00:13	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x19e96a…
10-10 16:00:10	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc61153…
10-10 16:00:10	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb865de…
10-10 16:00:10	Will MrBeast say "Hide" or "Find" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8a4823…
10-10 16:00:10	Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2668f0…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Race" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf03a0e…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xdf17fe…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Hide" or "Find" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xd56aeb…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc5209c…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xb18eb0…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x9ce079…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9524d0…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x79386e…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7283e4…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x6e0d7d…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Chameleon" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5e1bdb…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x47a71c…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Dream" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x457946…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Dream" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x3a0283…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x39509f…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x38b456…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x3256a5…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x2feca4…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2aa3c6…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x1f3ea8…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0x1d329d…
10-10 16:00:07	Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0eaa1c…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Build" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0xd0abf9…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Fight" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0xcbcd1e…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0xa7daaa…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Hide" or "Find" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x6d63dc…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Race" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x6a4c4e…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next gaming YouTube video?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x5b6644…
10-10 16:00:06	Will MrBeast say "Minecraft" during his next gaming YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x43bc95…