Striking-Refusal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

1,180

Trades

9,172

lifetime

Volume

$985.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-28

last 11-13 21:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

92% 33% +$71,377

Sports

7% 50% +$3,689

Politics

1% 0% -$4,896

Crypto

0% 50% +$443

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5	Over	—	+1,052	$53	1¢	$11	-$42	11-14 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	56	$20.2K	20,582	19,551	+1,031	Under	+$4,900	11-12 21:36
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5	60	$15.9K	15,201	15,199	+2	Under	+$2,636	11-07 00:09
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 2.5	71	$14.1K	17,799	10,623	+7,176	Under	+$4,100	11-08 04:28
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?	15	$12.5K	6,625	6,625	-0	Yes	+$512	08-30 18:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	13	$10.5K	11,667	11,667	+0	Yes	+$10,116	07-03 01:02
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	71	$10.1K	8,215	5,715	+2,500	Yes	-$557	06-08 01:34
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 3.5	2	$10.0K	5,050	5,050	+0	Under	+$45	11-05 02:48
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	33	$9.1K	19,389	19,389	+0	Paraguay	+$3,537	06-29 23:26
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	33	$8.0K	7,720	7,720	+0	Under	+$5,213	06-27 04:59
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	17	$7.8K	5,507	5,507	+0	Over	+$3,092	06-15 03:46
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	23	$6.9K	16,667	16,667	+0	Over	+$6,161	06-17 05:36
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	47	$6.7K	9,764	7,194	+2,571	Yes	+$38	06-27 22:58
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5	50	$6.7K	4,477	4,477	+0	Under	+$332	06-07 19:18
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	16	$6.6K	4,158	4,158	+0	Yes	+$1,085	07-04 22:34
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	41	$6.4K	9,203	6,078	+3,125	Under	+$3,024	06-21 18:00
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	8	$6.1K	6,442	6,442	+0	Yes	-$338	06-16 20:25
Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	8	$6.1K	7,477	2,949	+4,528	Over	-$192	11-12 20:12
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	24	$5.7K	8,877	8,877	+0	Under	+$1,481	06-24 03:55
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	46	$5.6K	106,799	6,799	+100,000	Yes	+$256	07-07 19:49
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5	29	$5.4K	4,286	4,286	+0	Under	+$478	06-15 16:49
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: 1st Half O/U 1.5	2	$5.4K	6,250	6,250	+0	Under	+$1,438	11-04 22:56
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-26?	12	$5.4K	9,715	4,715	+5,000	Yes	+$857	08-27 02:28
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	7	$5.4K	11,060	1,060	+10,000	Over	-$10	11-08 19:53
CA Tigre vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5	28	$5.3K	6,954	6,485	+469	Under	+$1,770	11-07 02:51
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5	72	$5.2K	5,013	5,012	+0	Under	+$3,188	07-29 01:03
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	2	$4.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$4,658	06-26 04:00
arg cas riv1 2026 08 03 first half total 1pt5	23	$4.5K	2,982	2,982	+0	Over	+$1,471	08-03 21:19
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	13	$4.4K	3,931	3,931	+0	Knicks	+$1,118	06-11 03:32
uel pao1 and 2026 08 06 first half total 1pt5	34	$4.4K	4,544	4,544	+0	Under	+$2,027	08-06 18:26
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	10	$4.4K	3,165	3,165	+0	Spurs	+$374	06-09 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 03:21:44	Internacional de Bogotá vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,052	5¢	$53	0x994ff0…
11-13 21:39:21	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0x4af097…
11-13 21:39:19	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	390	4¢	$16	0x791f88…
11-13 21:35:04	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x99b9e9…
11-13 21:35:04	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	247	28¢	$69	0x659492…
11-13 21:33:52	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	266	31¢	$83	0xf636b8…
11-13 21:10:46	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	1,805	31¢	$560	0x381f31…
11-13 21:10:43	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x1689fa…
11-13 21:10:40	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xd881f2…
11-13 21:10:40	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x6352bc…
11-13 21:10:40	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	61	31¢	$19	0x3fc2d5…
11-13 21:10:36	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x1561da…
11-13 21:10:31	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x61fe5d…
11-13 21:10:30	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	43	31¢	$13	0x0f5147…
11-13 21:10:28	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	37	31¢	$12	0xedd6bf…
11-13 21:09:31	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,116	17¢	$190	0x6af528…
11-13 21:09:30	Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	902	11¢	$97	0x9d9853…
11-12 21:54:28	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	571	10¢	$58	0x43bf60…
11-12 21:54:21	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	633	12¢	$76	0xb13420…
11-12 21:53:54	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1,204	17¢	$203	0x7ee20d…
11-12 21:50:19	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	581	25¢	$145	0x7675f9…
11-12 21:50:13	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0xa90a25…
11-12 21:50:07	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0xc3042c…
11-12 21:50:07	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0x7fd1a9…
11-12 21:50:06	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	68	27¢	$18	0x4fe34e…
11-12 21:50:04	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	68	27¢	$18	0xa05df6…
11-12 21:50:04	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0x560321…
11-12 21:49:58	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	139	27¢	$37	0x89bb0a…
11-12 21:49:58	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	137	27¢	$37	0x26ff41…
11-12 21:49:52	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	137	27¢	$37	0x9ff421…
11-12 21:48:39	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,333	25¢	$333	0x6282ba…
11-12 21:47:03	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	490	29¢	$143	0xca5424…
11-12 21:46:09	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	491	35¢	$172	0xff2ec2…
11-12 21:40:31	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	83	92¢	$76	0xc3abef…
11-12 21:40:30	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x4be36c…
11-12 21:40:30	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	223	92¢	$206	0x1058e1…
11-12 21:40:28	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	264	93¢	$245	0x872db4…
11-12 21:40:07	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0xc8b904…
11-12 21:40:06	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xfbdea5…
11-12 21:40:06	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xce3833…
11-12 21:40:03	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xa9b9b3…
11-12 21:39:54	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	657	9¢	$59	0x06d9e7…
11-12 21:39:51	Czechia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5481b4…
11-12 21:36:34	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,030	3¢	$30	0xa56c6c…
11-12 21:28:19	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	157	64¢	$101	0xf255eb…
11-12 21:28:19	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	788	64¢	$504	0xb4c028…
11-12 21:28:19	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	55	64¢	$35	0xa2eb8b…
11-12 21:28:19	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	428	64¢	$274	0x898bd0…
11-12 21:28:18	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	156	64¢	$100	0x639745…
11-12 21:28:18	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x073022…
11-12 21:28:16	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	781	64¢	$500	0xc3d447…
11-12 21:28:16	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	638	64¢	$409	0x01dac3…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0xf44beb…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xbc1c5c…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0x9d427e…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	391	64¢	$250	0x4e5f95…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3,125	64¢	$2,000	0x337e90…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	781	64¢	$500	0x2e70a3…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	769	64¢	$492	0x292035…
11-12 21:28:15	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	640	64¢	$410	0x21a29c…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	729	64¢	$467	0x9e69c3…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	753	64¢	$482	0x858a63…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x6f4854…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0x6b9d6d…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	366	64¢	$234	0x562ec0…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0x493fa3…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	769	64¢	$492	0x363ccb…
11-12 21:28:13	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0x0584a1…
11-12 21:28:12	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0xe3d8d4…
11-12 21:28:12	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x981aef…
11-12 21:28:12	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0x3d14ba…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb0c8dc…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x759b8d…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x5e2994…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1,410	65¢	$916	0x19263d…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	75	64¢	$48	0x084d6e…
11-12 21:28:10	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x04bdea…
11-12 21:27:49	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,600	25¢	$400	0x58a1ce…
11-12 21:27:48	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0xe79c93…
11-12 21:27:48	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	342	48¢	$164	0xba18e7…
11-12 21:27:48	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	491	48¢	$236	0x81bdbb…
11-12 21:27:48	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	525	40¢	$210	0x3191be…
11-12 21:27:48	England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,142	35¢	$400	0x13512b…
11-12 20:33:34	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2,525	1¢	$25	0x9fa938…
11-12 20:22:58	England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	204	30¢	$61	0x726d36…
11-12 20:22:48	England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	303	33¢	$100	0x38792d…
11-12 20:22:36	England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	1,158	33¢	$382	0xadfb73…
11-12 20:21:30	England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,666	39¢	$643	0xdf8dd7…
11-12 20:12:18	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2,264	48¢	$1,087	0x5f1cd0…
11-12 20:12:09	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xb996e3…
11-12 20:11:46	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2,272	54¢	$1,227	0x1c0c41…
11-12 20:04:22	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2,172	61¢	$1,325	0xe60f68…
11-12 20:04:22	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	768	61¢	$468	0x776fe8…
11-12 20:03:54	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2,776	66¢	$1,832	0xc14041…
11-12 20:03:52	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xf3e80a…
11-12 20:03:51	Italy vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	156	66¢	$103	0x230ca9…
11-10 21:35:31	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	3,184	54¢	$1,712	0x9b50b7…
11-10 21:35:19	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x36935b…
11-10 21:35:06	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xcc22eb…
11-10 21:33:58	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	36	54¢	$20	0x91add3…