Unequaled-Glow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.83K

Unrealized P&L

+$874

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

960

lifetime

Volume

$615.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$642

Open exposure

$55.3K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

51% 62% -$8,687

Other

43% 73% +$3,357

Sports

6% 55% +$487

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+39,834	$37,362	97¢	$38.7K	+$1,297	10-26 22:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-7,978	-$7,328	98¢	$-7823	-$495	09-14 09:04
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,600	$4,376	93¢	$4.3K	-$110	10-14 22:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	+4,500	$3,935	92¢	$4.1K	+$182	10-15 16:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+400	$296	70¢	$278	-$18	09-24 08:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	+201	$143	80¢	$160	+$17	08-15 08:39
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$26	26¢	$26	$0	10-05 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	138	$67.1K	20,745	48,216	-27,471	No	-$735	03-19 03:29
netanyahu out by march 31 854	47	$59.1K	29,964	29,964	+0	No	+$746	04-04 01:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	74	$51.9K	25,746	26,802	-1,056	No	+$313	06-23 17:26
Trump out as President by April 30?	12	$51.5K	25,999	25,999	+0	No	+$309	04-25 07:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	85	$41.4K	41,954	2,120	+39,834	open	—	10-26 22:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$38.6K	34,515	5,050	+29,465	No	+$583	02-28 05:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	51	$33.5K	34,983	0	+34,983	Yes	+$1,530	01-19 01:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$21.5K	10,846	10,846	+0	No	+$84	04-27 03:46
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	24	$21.2K	10,823	10,823	+0	No	+$299	09-21 14:00
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	21	$19.8K	10,038	10,038	+0	No	+$155	08-28 01:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	45	$18.8K	9,440	9,440	+0	No	+$56	06-28 08:00
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	89	$16.4K	8,429	8,429	+0	No	+$487	07-06 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	29	$15.1K	7,147	8,147	-1,000	No	+$169	05-25 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	51	$15.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$358	06-23 15:57
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$15.1K	7,596	7,596	+0	No	+$94	04-30 00:20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$14.9K	16,050	0	+16,050	Yes	+$1,109	02-26 05:02
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	5	$14.1K	7,076	7,076	+0	No	+$42	07-18 09:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	7	$13.9K	3,674	11,652	-7,978	open	—	09-14 09:04
Trump out as President by May 31?	18	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$77	05-05 14:34
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	15	$13.1K	6,662	6,662	+0	No	+$205	10-01 09:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	18	$10.9K	11,432	11,432	+0	Yes	-$10,791	03-01 01:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	28	$8.4K	4,805	4,804	+0	open	—	08-29 19:58
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$7.6K	3,867	3,867	+0	No	+$146	07-07 04:58
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5.8K	2,986	2,986	+0	No	+$12	07-04 08:58
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	7	$4.4K	4,600	0	+4,600	open	—	10-14 22:49
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$24	07-28 18:09
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	2	$3.9K	4,500	0	+4,500	open	—	10-15 16:18
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$5	06-27 11:16
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$3.1K	1,593	1,593	+0	No	+$44	01-26 14:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	7	$2.1K	1,123	1,123	+0	No	+$99	08-31 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:58:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	551	95¢	$526	0x44c877…
10-17 20:42:41	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa0e15e…
10-15 16:18:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2,500	87¢	$2,175	0x73cb4e…
10-14 22:49:04	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	95¢	$2,378	0x24e4a4…
10-14 18:50:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	446	95¢	$425	0x383a78…
10-13 16:58:42	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xf61710…
10-13 02:24:47	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xa4ad02…
10-12 23:20:09	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	810	95¢	$771	0x98b139…
10-09 12:21:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	321	97¢	$311	0x81542d…
10-09 12:12:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	4,001	97¢	$3,865	0x5fc37a…
10-05 17:46:23	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xe6fee0…
10-01 09:10:36	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	526	100¢	$525	0xe55554…
10-01 08:28:11	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc0a1a3…
10-01 07:24:44	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,476	100¢	$1,473	0x573b87…
10-01 00:57:06	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x68adaf…
10-01 00:16:26	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x843c54…
09-30 23:19:15	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4,629	100¢	$4,620	0x7993ca…
09-26 03:09:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x65fbaf…
09-24 08:06:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0xef5ca8…
09-21 14:00:26	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,411	100¢	$5,405	0x520ade…
09-17 06:55:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	388	95¢	$370	0x8d7367…
09-17 06:55:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4182dd…
09-16 22:30:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x92c698…
09-16 22:11:54	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,001	99¢	$1,989	0x7955e7…
09-16 22:11:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,681	95¢	$2,555	0x0b9969…
09-16 22:10:30	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,471	99¢	$2,456	0x12a469…
09-16 21:59:30	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x2b916f…
09-14 20:46:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	120	96¢	$116	0xde05bc…
09-14 09:04:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0xd59105…
08-31 12:43:04	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	729	98¢	$717	0xa34c1e…
08-31 12:03:12	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x18023b…
08-31 11:52:33	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x214ec1…
08-31 06:03:28	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x3624d0…
08-31 03:34:36	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	227	98¢	$223	0x17d4c8…
08-31 03:32:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,123	100¢	$1,117	0xb7bca8…
08-29 23:07:42	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$998	0x8a9a8a…
08-29 19:58:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,450	88¢	$2,156	0x6b4214…
08-28 23:26:54	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	959	97¢	$930	0x2a5146…
08-28 22:17:45	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x6e7d3d…
08-28 22:17:31	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x97d6ba…
08-28 21:17:03	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	614	98¢	$604	0x81da29…
08-28 19:55:00	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	386	98¢	$379	0x3739f9…
08-28 19:53:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,354	88¢	$2,072	0x9496de…
08-28 02:02:45	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,021	98¢	$1,986	0xcef893…
08-28 01:56:10	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,954	100¢	$1,950	0x2368ab…
08-25 23:14:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	306	90¢	$276	0xf05897…
08-25 23:00:31	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,007	100¢	$1,003	0x24b760…
08-24 02:32:55	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,229	96¢	$2,142	0x75697b…
08-24 02:32:34	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	256	96¢	$246	0xcd7afd…
08-24 02:21:39	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	353	96¢	$340	0x5371e7…
08-24 02:19:22	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,733	100¢	$2,722	0x08631d…
08-23 17:57:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x40f213…
08-23 17:57:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x04f1e7…
08-23 17:51:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x5b826d…
08-23 17:51:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x37f671…
08-23 17:51:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x0da9cc…
08-23 17:51:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xc39c2b…
08-23 17:51:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x1d70e9…
08-23 17:51:31	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xf0ff22…
08-23 17:46:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0xe35c08…
08-23 17:46:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0xa8ecc2…
08-23 17:46:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0x8ed69c…
08-23 17:46:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0xaa9069…
08-23 17:46:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	135	95¢	$129	0x7b5cd6…
08-23 17:46:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0x0f1ae2…
08-23 17:46:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	185	95¢	$175	0x50c380…
08-23 17:46:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$110	0x340913…
08-23 16:34:45	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,085	100¢	$1,080	0x6ebab1…
08-23 16:34:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,368	95¢	$2,252	0x62be6f…
08-23 16:34:00	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,260	100¢	$2,251	0xac1b46…
08-22 02:37:55	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x0cf634…
08-22 02:32:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$995	0x6fa38d…
08-22 02:24:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	92¢	$78	0x4d9d6d…
08-20 15:28:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	739	88¢	$650	0x24cb78…
08-15 08:39:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x751c41…
08-15 08:31:25	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2dcc21…
08-12 22:22:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x48de24…
08-10 15:52:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x3ba22a…
08-10 15:25:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,443	88¢	$1,270	0xab2def…
08-10 15:22:30	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,057	88¢	$930	0x16abff…
08-10 12:28:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,910	0x59eb00…
08-10 11:43:51	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	800	98¢	$781	0xfa3eec…
08-07 17:58:42	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xdbb3ee…
08-05 16:26:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	2,300	95¢	$2,192	0x62f367…
08-05 12:27:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbb0a80…
08-05 12:08:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb70bdb…
08-05 12:08:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x71a406…
08-05 12:08:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe03352…
08-05 12:08:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa5086c…
08-05 12:08:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc62a7e…
08-05 12:08:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x351357…
08-05 11:48:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe269e6…
08-05 11:37:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4a9b2b…
08-05 11:23:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x10e654…
08-05 11:22:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0xa51970…
08-05 11:22:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	152	95¢	$145	0xf46be7…
08-05 11:22:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x80e02d…
08-05 11:21:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0x4e0b8a…
08-05 11:21:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	157	95¢	$150	0x0e2340…
08-05 11:21:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	153	95¢	$146	0x056be8…