Crazy-Acceptance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$451

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved (30d)

343

Trades (30d)

392

595 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$34.9K

$39.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 11-11 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 75% +$349

Other

13% 69% -$39

Politics

0% 17% +$123

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$524	2,634	263	+2,371	Up	-$76	11-04 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$497	373	373	+0	Up	+$97	11-04 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$422	225	225	+0	Up	+$22	11-04 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$421	235	235	+0	Down	+$21	11-04 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$414	261	261	+0	Down	+$14	11-04 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$400	709	0	+709	Down	+$309	11-03 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$400	556	0	+556	Up	-$400	11-01 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$400	440	0	+440	Up	+$40	11-03 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$393	328	328	+0	Down	-$7	11-04 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$355	486	370	+116	Down	+$72	11-04 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$343	357	357	+0	Down	+$143	11-08 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$306	319	0	+319	Down	+$13	11-05 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$300	506	0	+506	Up	+$206	11-01 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$300	450	0	+450	Down	-$300	11-01 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$300	323	0	+323	Up	+$23	11-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	11-04 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$300	316	0	+316	Up	+$16	11-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$281	271	156	+115	Up	-$79	11-06 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$274	175	175	+0	Down	+$74	11-04 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$270	180	180	+0	Down	+$70	11-04 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$267	177	177	+0	Up	+$67	11-04 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$253	213	213	+0	Down	+$53	11-06 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$240	176	176	+0	Down	+$40	11-06 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$227	148	148	+0	Down	+$27	11-04 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$222	1,266	1,048	+218	Up	-$178	11-08 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$222	163	163	+0	Down	+$22	11-04 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$222	123	123	+0	Down	+$22	11-06 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$215	116	116	+0	Down	+$15	11-04 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$214	152	152	+0	Up	+$14	11-06 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$205	143	143	+0	Up	+$5	11-04 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 20:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5a1c2b…
11-11 20:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x129057…
11-11 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4d5f0c…
11-11 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x112f51…
11-11 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x468978…
11-11 19:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x510789…
11-11 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7fcaa0…
11-11 19:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xefe905…
11-11 19:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe85f91…
11-11 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x842ded…
11-11 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x34bfd9…
11-11 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd46be9…
11-11 19:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x787545…
11-11 19:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6b7851…
11-11 18:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf497e9…
11-11 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb82ed4…
11-11 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x159572…
11-11 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc1f46c…
11-11 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd13ac1…
11-11 06:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0e196e…
11-11 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x64ae86…
11-10 21:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6ac7c8…
11-10 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x52115d…
11-10 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6aae9f…
11-10 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd67a5d…
11-10 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x846a16…
11-10 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7ef17e…
11-10 20:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xf60da4…
11-10 20:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd50f0c…
11-10 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xcb331a…
11-10 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xd04487…
11-10 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc4ba93…
11-10 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xff34c4…
11-10 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf5ecc7…
11-10 20:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xa9d9dd…
11-10 19:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc4e31b…
11-10 19:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc690a2…
11-10 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2274ab…
11-10 18:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x2e2ba4…
11-10 06:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xf4cb90…
11-10 06:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xc23c11…
11-10 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa0f00d…
11-10 05:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xfc4322…
11-09 21:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x892029…
11-09 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xd8fb14…
11-09 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xbf3c37…
11-09 20:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd13ed1…
11-09 20:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x93e7eb…
11-09 20:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x57b486…
11-09 20:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x1e82e2…
11-09 20:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x3b26fb…
11-09 20:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x4d64d2…
11-09 20:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xf2356e…
11-09 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf4c8f1…
11-09 18:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xd10534…
11-09 18:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x17b2a4…
11-09 18:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8fae3b…
11-09 06:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4f2f46…
11-09 06:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x9bbf74…
11-09 06:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x535f8f…
11-08 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0xa5f311…
11-08 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc4108e…
11-08 17:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x034392…
11-08 17:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xba8728…
11-08 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x375dd4…
11-08 14:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5649c9…
11-08 14:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x29206b…
11-08 14:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x92361f…
11-08 14:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7553fa…
11-08 14:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xe3a322…
11-08 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xc26871…
11-08 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xaec023…
11-08 14:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x8b0871…
11-08 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x2f91fe…
11-08 14:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xa6cbbf…
11-08 13:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb6b7a0…
11-08 13:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7d0299…
11-08 13:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xe2248f…
11-08 13:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8280cb…
11-08 13:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbc0611…
11-08 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x89eb1a…
11-08 13:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x95d7d5…
11-08 13:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd32db7…
11-08 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x12122d…
11-08 13:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xabcd49…
11-08 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x0a7e64…
11-08 12:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x81b039…
11-08 12:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd33eab…
11-08 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2dd2a0…
11-08 12:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x28b66b…
11-08 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x77c6d4…
11-08 12:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa929b5…
11-08 12:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xc4408b…
11-08 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x60ff0f…
11-08 11:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ee838…
11-08 11:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x47a0f9…
11-08 11:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xc2fe99…
11-08 11:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa5c7f0…
11-08 11:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xec2593…
11-08 11:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc9ef67…