Quarterly-Heart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-02 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$32

Politics

28% — —

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$759	443	443	+0	open	—	04-26 14:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$756	406	404	+2	open	—	04-18 09:12
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	4	$689	418	411	+8	open	—	04-14 17:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$603	313	313	+0	open	—	04-12 10:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	6	$557	472	472	+0	open	—	04-21 20:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$500	641	0	+641	open	—	05-01 23:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$458	245	245	+0	open	—	05-24 10:45
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	1	$453	646	0	+646	open	—	04-26 15:07
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$390	527	0	+527	open	—	04-18 09:13
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?	2	$326	367	0	+367	open	—	05-14 14:09
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	2	$322	170	169	+1	open	—	04-22 04:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$300	345	0	+345	open	—	06-01 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?	1	$300	305	0	+305	open	—	06-01 20:23
eth updown 5m 1773681600	2	$265	169	167	+2	open	—	03-16 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	2	$252	131	131	+0	No	+$6	05-12 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$244	145	145	+0	open	—	04-24 09:38
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$240	619	0	+619	open	—	05-24 11:33
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	2	$227	122	121	+1	open	—	04-21 04:14
eth updown 15m 1773680400	2	$227	128	127	+1	open	—	03-16 17:15
btc updown 5m 1774030500	3	$226	137	117	+20	open	—	03-20 18:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 12	2	$224	126	124	+2	open	—	04-12 17:18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$220	281	0	+281	open	—	04-27 05:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$219	120	120	+0	open	—	04-22 22:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$215	118	118	+0	open	—	04-26 16:07
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 19	2	$208	109	108	+1	open	—	04-20 03:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$205	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 00:26
eth updown 5m 1774029900	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-20 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	1	$200	255	0	+255	open	—	05-15 09:18
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 23	1	$181	229	0	+229	open	—	04-23 14:15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$178	188	0	+188	open	—	04-27 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:05:28	Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	109	53¢	$58	0x9506c7…
06-01 20:23:59	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x6329f6…
06-01 15:46:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x0e0546…
06-01 15:46:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x8f29af…
05-24 11:33:39	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	619	39¢	$240	0xa5673b…
05-24 10:45:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$243	0x97771b…
05-23 14:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xcbdc21…
05-19 16:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x96b7c2…
05-19 16:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0b58d3…
05-18 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3eeefb…
05-18 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3cd5ba…
05-15 09:18:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0x5fc465…
05-14 14:12:49	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	134	65¢	$87	0x237176…
05-14 14:11:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb7cb86…
05-14 14:09:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x77676c…
05-14 06:34:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	152	83¢	$126	0x17edeb…
05-14 06:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x6d88c3…
05-13 09:22:48	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	140	92¢	$129	0x45ac32…
05-12 16:07:39	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$129	0x33475c…
05-12 12:28:03	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0x1341d8…
05-11 18:22:04	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	124	88¢	$109	0xb0851a…
05-02 17:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x44117b…
05-02 17:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xba329c…
05-01 23:35:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	245	88¢	$215	0x098c7f…
05-01 23:32:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0xa8addc…
05-01 18:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb36bd4…
05-01 16:26:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9d1c79…
05-01 15:52:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x73e658…
05-01 15:50:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xfc3bcf…
04-29 11:48:00	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbe1298…
04-29 04:10:54	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0x8764c0…
04-29 03:54:46	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x70e74c…
04-28 19:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f3953…
04-27 19:54:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$178	0x581477…
04-27 19:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf59737…
04-27 05:49:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	132	92¢	$121	0x4d9c02…
04-26 16:18:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0xbf4f3a…
04-26 16:07:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x43ad28…
04-26 15:07:44	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	646	70¢	$453	0x11747c…
04-26 14:35:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x666a81…
04-26 14:35:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	443	100¢	$441	0x27d5ab…
04-26 02:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	149	66¢	$98	0xe39e18…
04-25 13:42:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xd59651…
04-25 13:41:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x607b57…
04-25 05:44:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	199	74¢	$147	0x67388d…
04-25 05:43:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7621e2…
04-25 00:29:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	244	70¢	$171	0x9a0de5…
04-25 00:26:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	115	91¢	$105	0x521dc6…
04-25 00:26:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	109	61¢	$66	0x2e57cd…
04-24 09:39:48	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	190	76¢	$144	0x480ac1…
04-24 09:38:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0x356b54…
04-24 09:28:46	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	159	79¢	$126	0x62a1aa…
04-23 14:15:42	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 23	No	BUY	229	79¢	$181	0xa5aeae…
04-22 22:45:14	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 22	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0xadba23…
04-22 22:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x77b4fc…
04-22 14:38:32	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 22	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x4330c9…
04-22 14:25:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0d32c9…
04-22 10:58:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7fbf05…
04-22 10:58:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd1ea33…
04-22 10:39:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x21fdd7…
04-22 04:20:50	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x68232f…
04-21 21:11:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x388d07…
04-21 20:44:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc13f22…
04-21 20:10:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0x3b8d28…
04-21 13:39:30	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	No	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0xa8627a…
04-21 08:34:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7f1560…
04-21 04:25:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	173	25¢	$43	0x81aabc…
04-21 04:14:46	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	No	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xcd28ee…
04-20 21:49:56	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	No	BUY	122	88¢	$107	0x8da6e7…
04-20 21:45:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	173	26¢	$45	0x279a58…
04-20 05:26:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	107	48¢	$51	0x9c9e0a…
04-20 03:35:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	171	63¢	$108	0x81bda9…
04-20 03:34:50	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 19	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x4127c3…
04-20 02:41:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x682edd…
04-19 22:53:08	btc updown 5m 1776639000	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7b75db…
04-19 21:17:20	eth updown 5m 1776633300	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xebe39f…
04-19 21:16:48	ethereum up or down april 19 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa38928…
04-19 20:39:44	ethereum up or down april 19 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x0e074e…
04-19 20:32:38	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 19	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xdd8346…
04-19 20:01:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	34	15¢	$5	0x24b2e3…
04-19 20:00:50	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x1fb295…
04-18 09:13:26	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	527	74¢	$390	0xd8ba17…
04-18 09:12:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	404	97¢	$391	0x11fa00…
04-14 20:27:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0xbbe7f2…
04-14 20:26:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x007dd9…
04-14 20:26:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xadc5db…
04-14 20:09:08	eth updown 5m 1776197100	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4ff399…
04-14 17:32:46	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	SELL	372	100¢	$372	0x3af767…
04-14 17:28:42	btc updown 15m 1776186900	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc3f308…
04-14 17:21:32	btc updown 15m 1776186900	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x186d68…
04-14 17:18:24	eth updown 5m 1776186900	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x15204c…
04-14 17:07:34	eth updown 5m 1776186300	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x96b99e…
04-14 17:07:24	eth updown 5m 1776186300	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf788a2…
04-14 05:27:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$7	0x593be3…
04-14 05:26:47	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	BUY	378	79¢	$300	0x8008eb…
04-14 05:21:03	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x02e48c…
04-13 19:10:43	sol updown 5m 1776107400	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5ad68c…
04-13 19:03:37	btc updown 5m 1776106800	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa85b0f…
04-13 19:02:41	btc updown 5m 1776106800	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x82c0fb…
04-13 18:51:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x82a5b9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	133	$14.8K	1,974	05-19 16:09
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	132	$36.1K	3,792	05-19 16:09
(anonymous) 0x70be…d900	132	$20.2K	1,869	04-19 22:50
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	119	$927	195	04-19 21:19
(anonymous) 0xd045…a1ff	112	$56.1K	6,771	03-26 00:20
(anonymous) 0x2037…efb1	112	$12.1K	1,162	03-26 00:20
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	111	$625	1,452	04-19 22:54
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	108	$69.3K	13,665	03-26 00:19