Knotty-Bat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-17 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

43% 40% +$14

Politics

34% 0% -$1

Sports

23% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$586	294	294	+0	open	—	05-08 23:15
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$584	292	292	+0	No	$0	05-13 03:50
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$580	291	291	+0	No	$0	05-13 23:19
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$580	291	291	+0	No	$0	05-10 03:48
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$576	289	289	+0	No	$0	05-13 22:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$564	282	282	+0	No	$0	05-05 03:57
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$550	276	276	+0	No	$0	05-10 04:46
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$522	262	262	+0	open	—	05-08 23:43
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$520	260	260	+0	No	$0	05-13 04:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	2	$520	261	261	+0	No	$0	05-07 07:12
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$452	227	227	+0	No	$0	05-05 04:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	2	$430	215	215	+0	No	$0	05-07 07:29
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$404	202	202	+0	No	$0	05-15 22:38
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	$0	05-15 23:17
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	05-15 22:56
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$380	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-11 05:14
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$380	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-14 23:01
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$380	191	191	+0	open	—	05-11 04:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$378	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-14 23:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$354	177	177	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 05:39
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$316	158	158	+0	No	$0	05-14 23:27
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	05-17 01:43
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$178	90	90	+0	open	—	05-17 01:47
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$176	89	89	+0	open	—	05-07 06:53
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$172	87	87	+0	open	—	05-10 01:33
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$170	86	86	+0	open	—	05-17 01:44
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	05-17 05:34
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	1	$102	103	0	+103	No	+$1	05-10 04:49
Will ALO be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	05-07 07:31
Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$1	05-13 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:34:17	Will Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x531b48…
05-17 05:34:00	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x335d29…
05-17 01:47:50	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xe7f331…
05-17 01:44:20	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x3703bc…
05-17 01:43:47	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x5c2d17…
05-15 23:19:11	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xdd12dd…
05-15 23:19:01	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x115fb7…
05-15 23:17:18	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xe54a0c…
05-15 22:57:31	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xc6dbb7…
05-15 22:56:37	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xf50b50…
05-15 22:38:37	Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x622677…
05-15 22:38:14	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xbeee6a…
05-15 21:59:02	Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x6cd348…
05-14 23:48:50	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x1f7790…
05-14 23:46:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x566828…
05-14 23:29:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xb4ab4f…
05-14 23:27:43	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xb6364c…
05-14 23:02:08	Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xafa6aa…
05-14 23:01:42	Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x69cf5d…
05-14 21:45:03	Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x26876d…
05-13 23:23:27	Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x89cbc8…
05-13 23:19:41	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0xee522d…
05-13 22:43:48	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xe08e22…
05-13 22:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0x085126…
05-13 22:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0xf01899…
05-13 04:41:05	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xa7a9a1…
05-13 03:51:04	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x39e38f…
05-13 03:50:41	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$292	0x085b49…
05-13 03:31:42	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xe58f34…
05-11 05:39:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xd74b3e…
05-11 05:15:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xa2d0da…
05-11 05:14:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xd7a8f4…
05-11 04:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x0a0c71…
05-11 04:48:45	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	191	99¢	$190	0xaefab1…
05-11 04:12:05	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x109ade…
05-10 04:49:10	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x759336…
05-10 04:46:36	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$275	0xc3e08d…
05-10 03:49:09	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$275	0xbe461b…
05-10 03:48:44	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x1540c2…
05-10 01:35:11	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xdedb7c…
05-10 01:33:57	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xd27010…
05-08 23:44:13	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x69474c…
05-08 23:43:05	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	262	99¢	$261	0x3ca1be…
05-08 23:16:09	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xed5f12…
05-08 23:15:45	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$293	0x6659c5…
05-08 22:49:32	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x6556c5…
05-08 21:46:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x4cda8d…
05-07 07:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xeee908…
05-07 07:31:20	Will ALO be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x90fc6b…
05-07 07:29:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xcf849e…
05-07 07:13:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x14cec8…
05-07 07:12:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0xe71f06…
05-07 06:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x485b03…
05-07 06:53:56	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x7aa76b…
05-05 04:34:06	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x06b07a…
05-05 04:33:04	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x658a3f…
05-05 04:10:48	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xf61f44…
05-05 03:57:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0xccbb6a…
05-05 03:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x1ededb…