Accomplished-Scheme-Weird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$950

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

3,513

Trades

8,358

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-28 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

47% 39% -$1,015

Crypto

45% 43% +$216

Politics

4% 12% -$94

Tech

3% 0% -$44

Sports

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+13	$5	96¢	$13	+$8	08-23 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	60	$623	645	645	+0	open	—	09-01 16:18
Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	51	$546	549	491	+58	Yes	-$18	08-15 18:46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	51	$476	485	477	+8	No	-$44	08-25 13:11
Over $2M committed to the Multipli public sale?	44	$471	459	459	+0	No	-$22	08-24 15:57
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	45	$424	428	428	+0	No	-$29	08-23 14:07
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	48	$414	457	457	+0	open	—	08-31 12:51
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	40	$393	480	355	+125	No	-$28	08-26 03:43
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	28	$391	771	0	+771	Yes	-$24	08-07 01:43
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	35	$360	375	375	+0	No	-$81	08-24 18:52
Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	16	$340	357	307	+50	No	-$9	08-26 14:50
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	26	$279	282	281	+1	Yes	-$42	08-25 09:11
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	29	$277	300	280	+20	No	-$50	08-19 20:02
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	29	$275	295	275	+20	No	-$8	08-26 22:53
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	29	$260	267	250	+17	No	-$6	08-27 19:55
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	23	$255	245	245	+0	open	—	09-05 22:12
cambria listed on bybit within 30 days of tge	12	$216	210	210	+0	open	—	08-27 02:00
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	26	$213	244	208	+36	No	-$11	08-19 08:22
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	18	$193	190	180	+10	Yes	+$9	08-27 00:35
Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	14	$193	220	200	+20	open	—	09-02 11:12
will heidi overton be confirmed as fda commissioner by october 31	16	$156	159	159	+0	open	—	08-27 21:50
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?	12	$142	140	140	+0	open	—	08-23 17:55
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?	18	$137	200	173	+27	Yes	-$7	08-25 10:41
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?	7	$137	170	170	+0	open	—	08-25 14:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	17	$132	130	130	+0	open	—	09-01 13:28
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	19	$128	157	137	+19	No	-$8	08-17 11:23
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?	15	$127	126	125	+1	open	—	08-27 14:20
Linera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	11	$123	136	136	+0	open	—	09-07 01:36
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	15	$122	140	131	+9	open	—	08-27 06:53
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	13	$120	124	111	+13	open	—	08-24 19:47
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	10	$118	120	115	+5	open	—	08-26 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:47:19	Will DeVonta Smith have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x542395…
09-28 21:24:24	GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x4808ab…
09-27 16:42:06	Will De'Von Achane have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xab22e4…
09-18 02:27:36	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xcb3fe5…
09-18 02:27:31	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xde4d55…
09-18 02:27:31	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd66733…
09-16 05:25:01	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	41	33¢	$14	0x1de047…
09-15 18:27:30	Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xfce3ec…
09-12 22:17:21	Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xf69580…
09-12 22:12:15	Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x1bfb9f…
09-08 22:57:01	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x5e3d31…
09-07 10:09:45	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x8f6b83…
09-07 01:36:45	Linera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	39	32¢	$12	0x290989…
09-06 01:08:31	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	43	31¢	$13	0xf816f6…
09-05 22:12:49	Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x5cf1e4…
09-05 20:26:19	Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x270465…
09-04 12:35:15	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xd01bbd…
09-04 10:25:09	Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x914d02…
09-03 01:29:36	Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x97018c…
09-02 11:14:48	Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x6517ec…
09-02 11:12:27	Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0x2b4471…
09-01 19:47:04	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xfe9ab9…
09-01 16:18:49	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa99878…
09-01 13:28:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xe09eaa…
09-01 09:49:01	Will Rico Dowdle have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x447001…
08-31 16:30:57	Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?	No	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x88cde7…
08-31 12:51:57	Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	Yes	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x852f04…
08-31 00:44:40	Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	No	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x5a29ce…
08-30 19:29:09	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3f7abc…
08-29 20:38:42	Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x81c5cf…
08-29 11:44:36	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x160c12…
08-29 02:34:51	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xe442cc…
08-28 17:52:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xa7e8ac…
08-28 17:52:55	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xf605a7…
08-28 16:44:06	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x94d0b0…
08-28 08:57:42	Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xa3c7d9…
08-28 08:57:21	Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x488804…
08-28 02:12:34	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa35463…
08-27 21:50:06	Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?	No	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0xde8afa…
08-27 19:55:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x9639cb…
08-27 19:55:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x1f8813…
08-27 15:05:19	Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xee09f8…
08-27 14:20:43	Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x37f95a…
08-27 09:27:10	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xd147e6…
08-27 06:53:09	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x52b512…
08-27 02:00:45	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x0e0daf…
08-27 01:50:24	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0xed5e15…
08-27 01:01:10	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x5d8f18…
08-27 00:36:57	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x197cc0…
08-27 00:35:16	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xce60ca…
08-26 22:53:48	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xf00e91…
08-26 22:40:52	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x1c8bcc…
08-26 22:40:49	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6686f0…
08-26 21:38:55	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x615eec…
08-26 21:26:51	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0816b8…
08-26 21:25:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf0f292…
08-26 21:22:19	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3225ea…
08-26 21:20:58	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x31cd56…
08-26 20:48:40	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xcc9311…
08-26 19:58:28	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x100604…
08-26 19:21:48	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xce5bae…
08-26 18:55:19	Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x459715…
08-26 18:20:51	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x85ce17…
08-26 18:18:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x2174dc…
08-26 18:08:13	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x339b2c…
08-26 18:04:16	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x64b38e…
08-26 17:32:40	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$9	0x04335d…
08-26 17:07:04	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6cea81…
08-26 16:55:36	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x43fb2d…
08-26 16:44:04	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x0b1411…
08-26 16:34:01	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe6b820…
08-26 16:33:45	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd5e7c1…
08-26 16:17:40	Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xcfaa9f…
08-26 15:29:10	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1507fb…
08-26 15:24:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x736621…
08-26 14:55:45	Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb8a2e1…
08-26 14:50:57	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc3ac88…
08-26 14:50:57	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc3ac88…
08-26 14:49:16	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x343da5…
08-26 14:47:46	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc5999c…
08-26 14:47:46	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc5999c…
08-26 14:44:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x862b03…
08-26 14:30:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9a7b7c…
08-26 14:30:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x9a7b7c…
08-26 14:22:52	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0ed42f…
08-26 14:22:52	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x0ed42f…
08-26 14:22:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5fa19e…
08-26 14:20:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x63daae…
08-26 14:20:16	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd6cd2b…
08-26 13:11:22	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xfdac68…
08-26 13:11:22	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xfdac68…
08-26 12:48:16	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	70	85¢	$60	0xa63d2c…
08-26 12:48:16	Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa63d2c…
08-26 12:37:51	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x700277…
08-26 12:34:18	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xadfb66…
08-26 11:53:36	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x1dda89…
08-26 11:53:28	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x716098…
08-26 11:40:15	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbda208…
08-26 11:40:15	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xbda208…
08-26 11:29:28	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa45d5e…