Realized P&L
-$465
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
35.3%
Resolved
26
Trades
181
lifetime
Volume
$1.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$647
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 10-21 00:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
50% 37% -$461
Politics
45% 0% $0
Sports
4% 75% +$3
Crypto
1% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +478 $179 34¢ $165 -$14 10-20 13:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +330 $102 30¢ $99 -$3 10-20 13:39
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +300 $42 15¢ $44 +$2 10-20 13:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +130 $50 32¢ $42 -$8 10-20 13:31
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1,000 $36 4¢ $36 $0 10-20 14:41
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +115 $31 26¢ $29 -$2 10-20 13:32
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No +625 $31 4¢ $28 -$2 10-20 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +60 $20 38¢ $22 +$2 10-20 13:34
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -105 -$16 18¢ $-19 -$3 06-08 14:13
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $19 60¢ $18 -$1 10-20 13:31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $18 56¢ $17 -$1 10-20 13:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +50 $18 34¢ $17 -$1 10-21 00:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $22 34¢ $17 -$6 10-21 00:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +60 $18 22¢ $13 -$5 10-20 13:36
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +70 $13 17¢ $12 -$1 10-20 23:40
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $11 72¢ $11 +$0 10-20 13:34
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +50 $10 20¢ $10 +$0 10-20 13:47
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +80 $15 12¢ $9 -$6 10-20 14:12
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +100 $11 8¢ $8 -$3 10-20 13:45
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $12 8¢ $7 -$5 09-13 13:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75 $11 8¢ $6 -$4 09-13 14:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -43 -$6 10¢ $-4 +$2 06-08 14:13
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $8 20¢ $4 -$4 10-20 13:47
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +86 $4 4¢ $4 $0 10-20 21:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 65¢ $3 -$1 09-13 14:00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +10 $5 30¢ $3 -$2 09-13 13:51
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-20 14:08
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +6 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-06 13:37