Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

337

Trades

743

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$209

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 11-12 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 48% -$113

Politics

19% 33% +$3,524

Other

14% 60% +$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	—	+100	$45	98¢	$98	+$54	11-12 03:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+794	$100	10¢	$77	-$23	11-10 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	—	+100	$45	34¢	$33	-$11	11-12 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	23	$6.2K	9,730	0	+9,730	Yes	+$3,535	10-30 06:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$5.4K	27,110	27,110	+0	open	—	10-06 14:44
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	1	$1.9K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$600	09-17 05:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.4K	1,688	1,683	+4	No	-$759	10-15 05:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	2,039	0	+2,039	Yes	+$983	09-12 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	9	$485	708	386	+322	Up	-$115	11-06 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$246	292	195	+97	Up	-$54	11-06 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$150	291	0	+291	Down	+$141	11-05 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$149	196	98	+98	Up	-$51	11-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$148	196	98	+98	Up	-$52	11-09 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$147	196	96	+100	Down	+$47	11-09 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$100	194	0	+194	Up	+$94	11-05 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$100	197	0	+197	Down	+$97	11-05 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	171	0	+171	Up	-$100	11-05 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	11-05 18:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$100	794	0	+794	open	—	11-10 14:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	5	$79	49	49	+0	open	—	11-10 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$75	281	0	+281	Down	+$206	11-05 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$75	163	0	+163	Up	-$75	11-05 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	4	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-10 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	12	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	11-11 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	11-10 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-10 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-11 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Down	+$50	11-10 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xbd39bd…
11-12 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8028bc…
11-12 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x451c3d…
11-12 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x19ba77…
11-12 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x036987…
11-12 03:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5f5d09…
11-12 03:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5cb95a…
11-12 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x17afd5…
11-12 03:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfa504c…
11-12 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xb1b36f…
11-12 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	45¢	$31	0x04e09d…
11-12 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf92d0…
11-12 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x6de194…
11-12 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0x1c329d…
11-12 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa5aec2…
11-12 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x94a626…
11-12 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x6c89bc…
11-12 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x95c98a…
11-12 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x3f6eea…
11-12 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x3bfce2…
11-12 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbbe15a…
11-12 02:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x9613d8…
11-12 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xe92816…
11-12 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x88858f…
11-12 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x02a630…
11-12 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf81d5f…
11-12 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7a8eab…
11-12 02:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xccf553…
11-12 02:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x7d358d…
11-12 02:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdcf87d…
11-12 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2c4ef…
11-12 02:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x328c4e…
11-12 02:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa1e2f4…
11-12 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfa4e12…
11-12 02:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x89cf2a…
11-12 02:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x601ce6…
11-12 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x086e29…
11-12 02:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x8c292b…
11-12 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xca8d99…
11-12 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0x8addbc…
11-12 01:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x192c7b…
11-12 01:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xb7d4b5…
11-12 01:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x521461…
11-12 01:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x36dc2a…
11-12 01:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8048e0…
11-12 00:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6f7166…
11-12 00:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0xf08e1b…
11-12 00:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd06bb7…
11-12 00:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7fcf6c…
11-12 00:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x7646d3…
11-12 00:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xae658b…
11-12 00:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x3679c2…
11-12 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x912c83…
11-12 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	95	45¢	$43	0x7438f1…
11-12 00:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x888c3b…
11-12 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0xf24f45…
11-12 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd91b36…
11-12 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x34c751…
11-11 23:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xef88d5…
11-11 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7cf4bb…
11-11 23:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x66b4eb…
11-11 22:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd69c21…
11-11 22:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xedab10…
11-11 22:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0xd89bb4…
11-11 22:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa2c724…
11-11 22:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0x066f95…
11-11 22:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x62833e…
11-11 22:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93f5ad…
11-11 22:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0x7780fe…
11-11 22:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xb5d2bb…
11-11 22:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6ca290…
11-11 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x512894…
11-11 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6b77e3…
11-11 21:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0xead882…
11-11 21:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd12772…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xc6aa15…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc3edb0…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbcda84…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x90d530…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7f33b6…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x47545d…
11-11 21:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x213043…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe2edf7…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xcd6525…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93399b…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x8aa952…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x429f59…
11-11 21:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x32fbae…
11-11 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x81d0fa…
11-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x28ed9a…
11-11 20:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x1678a1…
11-11 20:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x826db2…
11-11 20:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x229017…
11-11 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8b2da4…
11-11 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	45¢	$16	0xafacd4…
11-11 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0x4c73e8…
11-11 19:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x2df562…
11-11 19:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	45¢	$28	0x4b5d0a…
11-11 19:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xb17545…
11-11 19:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x2af4e3…