Candid-Capacity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$307

Unrealized P&L

-$229

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

185

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$1.89K

16 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-11 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Sports

82% 55% +$211

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-543	-$511	99¢	$-539	-$28	06-05 15:07
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+469	$300	94¢	$443	+$143	05-23 03:40
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+2,084	$500	16¢	$323	-$177	06-05 15:08
Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	+462	$300	45¢	$208	-$92	10-06 03:33
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	+287	$200	57¢	$165	-$35	10-05 07:10
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	+200	$100	32¢	$65	-$35	10-05 07:09
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)	Lakers	+29	$15	56¢	$16	+$1	11-11 12:31
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Grizzlies	+31	$15	48¢	$15	+$0	11-11 12:32
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	+29	$15	50¢	$15	$0	11-11 12:31
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	+31	$15	48¢	$15	$0	11-11 12:33
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)	Wizards	+31	$15	48¢	$15	$0	11-11 12:29
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)	Thunder	+30	$15	48¢	$14	-$1	11-11 12:33
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Spurs	+29	$15	48¢	$14	-$1	11-11 12:31
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)	Pelicans	+29	$15	48¢	$14	-$1	11-11 12:32
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	+31	$15	44¢	$14	-$1	11-11 12:29
Spread: Magic (-4.5)	Magic	+31	$15	44¢	$14	-$1	11-11 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$696	405	405	+0	Yes	+$96	04-07 23:03
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	2	$680	413	413	+0	open	—	11-06 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$511	0	543	-543	open	—	06-05 15:07
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$505	312	312	+0	Spurs	+$105	05-16 02:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$500	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	06-05 15:08
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$377	0	589	-589	No	+$377	06-01 10:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	469	0	+469	open	—	05-23 03:40
Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	2	$300	462	0	+462	open	—	10-06 03:33
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	4	$300	543	0	+543	Cavs	-$300	05-16 01:01
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$300	793	0	+793	No	-$300	04-22 05:11
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$271	175	175	+0	Yes	+$71	05-24 07:03
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	1	$221	0	239	-239	No	-$19	06-01 10:02
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$200	287	0	+287	open	—	10-05 07:10
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$145	152	152	+0	Yes	+$45	04-06 02:26
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	10-05 07:09
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	1	$100	263	0	+263	open	—	10-08 07:13
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$100	154	0	+154	Over 5.5	+$54	05-18 10:54
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	2	$75	102	0	+102	Over 5.5	-$75	05-03 01:34
NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5	2	$61	42	41	+1	Over 5.5	+$22	05-01 12:22
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	2	$59	43	42	+1	Yes	+$19	04-27 02:55
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	1	$50	64	0	+64	Yes	+$14	04-05 12:58
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	2	$47	32	32	+0	Lakers	+$17	10-29 05:16
nba cha bos 2026 04 07 rebounds jayson tatum 8pt5	2	$20	45	0	+45	No	-$20	04-07 06:26
NBA Playoffs: 76ers vs. Celtics Total Games O/U 4.5	2	$20	49	0	+49	Over 4.5	-$20	04-21 13:03
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$17	353	353	+0	No	-$3	05-02 03:55
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	1	$15	29	0	+29	Jazz	-$15	10-28 11:48
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	1	$15	29	0	+29	Nuggets	+$14	10-30 08:18
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	1	$15	29	0	+29	Pelicans	-$15	10-21 14:12
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	1	$15	29	0	+29	Kings	-$15	11-06 13:09
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	1	$15	30	0	+30	Celtics	+$15	11-06 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 12:33:25	Spread: Thunder (-1.5)	Thunder	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x8f3999…
11-11 12:33:03	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xfdec73…
11-11 12:32:51	Spread: Magic (-4.5)	Magic	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xee830e…
11-11 12:32:25	Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)	Pelicans	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0bace3…
11-11 12:32:00	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5a6094…
11-11 12:31:37	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Spurs	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x5639eb…
11-11 12:31:27	Spread: Lakers (-12.5)	Lakers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd6e082…
11-11 12:31:13	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4ebc19…
11-11 12:29:54	Spread: Pacers (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x2d435a…
11-11 12:29:40	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x205abe…
11-10 10:28:36	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Thunder	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd98f6b…
11-10 10:28:28	Spread: Magic (-6.5)	Kings	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe33a3a…
11-10 10:26:45	Spread: Suns (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x503a5a…
11-10 10:26:36	Spread: Heat (-9.5)	Heat	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb1933b…
11-10 10:26:24	Spread: Celtics (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x47a11f…
11-10 10:26:03	Spread: Knicks (-15.5)	Bucks	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9ae021…
11-09 12:10:46	Spread: Warriors (-9.5)	Warriors	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xed57a8…
11-09 12:09:57	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xa9c128…
11-09 12:09:22	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Nuggets	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xe84742…
11-09 12:08:48	Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)	Mavericks	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb78e4b…
11-09 12:08:06	Spread: Raptors (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x041728…
11-09 12:07:36	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x87def0…
11-09 12:06:54	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4f9b81…
11-09 12:06:01	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9164de…
11-08 07:48:55	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb1a69c…
11-08 07:48:45	Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)	Pelicans	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x5f8a73…
11-08 07:48:34	Spread: Celtics (-12.5)	Celtics	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x1b8f80…
11-08 07:48:22	Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)	Mavericks	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbceee0…
11-08 07:48:10	Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x7d8d13…
11-08 07:48:00	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x16128a…
11-08 07:47:45	Spread: 76ers (-9.5)	76ers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbf0ecd…
11-07 07:27:51	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xe9ab52…
11-07 07:27:27	Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Rockets	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x97f585…
11-07 07:26:58	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Warriors	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4a3746…
11-07 07:26:31	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Wizards	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4eee57…
11-07 07:26:03	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x8929c1…
11-07 07:25:46	Spread: Hawks (-6.5)	Hawks	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xac99d3…
11-07 07:25:10	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3847fb…
11-06 13:10:06	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6208ff…
11-06 13:09:55	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Spurs	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x73416d…
11-06 13:09:27	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3e4b5a…
11-06 13:09:16	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x114bc0…
11-06 13:09:06	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xf811bd…
11-06 13:08:52	Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)	Mavericks	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf084d2…
11-06 13:08:36	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x96d679…
11-06 13:08:24	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	Celtics	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbb104c…
11-06 13:08:15	Spread: Hawks (-6.5)	Hawks	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x116701…
11-06 13:07:25	Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	413	92¢	$380	0x2956d2…
11-04 15:22:03	Spread: Heat (-5.5)	Heat	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x4779e8…
11-04 15:21:49	Spread: Lakers (-12.5)	Lakers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x425dcc…
11-04 15:21:36	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Spurs	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x166cd5…
11-04 15:21:19	Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x0c3b67…
11-04 15:21:04	Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x5ed0b5…
11-04 15:20:24	Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x29eff6…
11-04 15:20:10	Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)	Jazz	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xb13401…
11-04 15:19:48	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x64d9fa…
11-04 15:19:34	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Thunder	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x0c7d95…
11-04 15:19:19	Spread: Knicks (-11.5)	Bulls	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4af88a…
11-04 15:18:57	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x09232e…
11-04 15:18:43	Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Hornets	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xfbfb35…
11-04 15:18:28	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Hawks	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf31717…
11-04 15:18:13	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xaad7e5…
11-02 09:26:27	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe7ef2f…
11-02 09:26:19	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x257751…
11-02 09:26:04	Spread: Warriors (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xc9775c…
11-02 09:25:48	Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x10213b…
11-02 09:25:31	Spread: Spurs (-16.5)	Jazz	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe2f6be…
11-02 09:25:09	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x35a776…
11-02 09:24:52	Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe33ef8…
11-02 09:24:34	Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)	Kings	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xea7199…
11-02 09:24:21	Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb5e4f4…
11-02 09:23:58	Spread: Hawks (-5.5)	Hawks	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x2129d3…
11-02 09:23:45	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5b220b…
11-02 09:23:33	Spread: Knicks (-14.5)	Nets	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe9de50…
11-02 09:23:21	Spread: 76ers (-11.5)	76ers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xb1fb40…
11-02 09:23:00	Spread: Magic (-2.5)	Wizards	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x8759f9…
11-02 09:22:49	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Thunder	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x023dfc…
11-01 11:10:45	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x16702a…
11-01 11:10:33	Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Warriors	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa8d58b…
11-01 11:10:16	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xfc87a8…
11-01 11:09:58	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x31c410…
10-31 15:07:58	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x518c42…
10-31 15:07:45	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xaab10e…
10-31 15:07:34	Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd8fd1a…
10-31 15:07:22	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Bucks	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc475a7…
10-31 15:06:24	Spread: Hawks (-4.5)	Hawks	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb3ff3c…
10-31 15:06:13	Spread: 76ers (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x541977…
10-31 15:06:01	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xb1881f…
10-30 08:18:33	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Nuggets	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x51c0f6…
10-30 08:18:22	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe517fc…
10-30 08:18:13	Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8e3962…
10-30 08:18:01	Spread: Heat (-7.5)	Heat	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe9b1ac…
10-30 08:17:21	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xd2ae0d…
10-30 08:17:12	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Pistons	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8b8a32…
10-30 08:17:00	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x010355…
10-30 08:16:37	Spread: Celtics (-15.5)	Bulls	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9a8461…
10-30 08:15:46	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xfc0c48…
10-30 08:15:34	Spread: Wizards (-1.5)	Wizards	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6f0f61…
10-29 05:20:04	Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe9153a…
10-29 05:19:52	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xac7222…