Likely-Disdain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.77K

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$2.20K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-30 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 34% -$1,639

Other

41% 20% -$180

Politics

0% 0% -$45

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+42,741	$6,411	4¢	$1.7K	-$4,702	05-21 08:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-500	-$425	97¢	$-485	-$60	05-21 04:14
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$10	0¢	$2	-$8	05-20 20:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	12	$6.4K	42,741	0	+42,741	open	—	05-21 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:00 UTC	5	$1.0K	651	633	+18	Down	+$244	04-11 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:55 UTC	4	$762	481	468	+13	Up	+$177	04-11 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:35 UTC	8	$695	465	450	+15	Up	+$210	04-15 00:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$425	0	500	-500	open	—	05-21 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:45 UTC	4	$405	243	237	+5	Up	+$70	04-14 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:15 UTC	2	$313	858	0	+858	Down	-$313	04-11 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:05 UTC	2	$281	222	213	+9	Up	+$90	04-15 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC	3	$276	10,139	132	+10,006	Up	-$18	04-15 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:30 UTC	179	$272	4,536	0	+4,536	Up	-$272	04-11 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:40 UTC	14	$272	523	0	+523	Up	-$272	04-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:25 UTC	4	$260	535	0	+535	Down	-$260	04-12 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:35 UTC	3	$250	574	0	+574	Down	-$250	04-12 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:45 UTC	3	$240	10,294	0	+10,294	Up	-$240	04-17 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:50 UTC	4	$232	206	194	+12	Down	+$164	04-15 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:15 UTC	6	$232	525	0	+525	Down	-$232	04-12 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:50 UTC	2	$200	489	0	+489	Up	-$200	04-17 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:20 UTC	6	$180	371	0	+371	Down	+$191	04-14 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:35 UTC	1	$175	400	0	+400	Down	-$175	04-11 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:40 UTC	4	$170	349	0	+349	Up	+$179	04-12 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:20 UTC	36	$169	500	0	+500	Down	-$169	04-11 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:40 UTC	3	$152	107	103	+4	Up	+$56	04-15 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:35 UTC	3	$150	406	0	+406	Down	-$150	04-15 01:36
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$142	900	0	+900	Yes	-$142	04-11 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:25 UTC	6	$130	526	0	+526	Down	-$130	04-14 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:55 UTC	4	$129	80	80	+0	Up	+$29	04-11 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:35 UTC	4	$127	284	269	+15	Down	-$13	04-14 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC	3	$120	401	0	+401	Down	-$120	04-11 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	4	$120	231	0	+231	Up	+$111	04-15 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:55 UTC	2	$110	341	0	+341	Down	-$110	04-12 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 18:12:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x533cb7…
05-21 08:34:21	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	741	15¢	$111	0x8b83ce…
05-21 08:13:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0x7427e1…
05-21 08:12:21	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	980	15¢	$147	0x555931…
05-21 08:10:05	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	9,340	15¢	$1,401	0x9ce807…
05-21 04:16:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	2,679	15¢	$402	0x829639…
05-21 04:14:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x1d9813…
05-21 04:10:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2a29f0…
05-20 22:42:07	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	SELL	5,044	0¢	$7	0xd47b0f…
05-20 21:19:47	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x91b7c8…
05-20 20:51:48	Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa67bab…
05-20 20:49:07	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x8845b0…
05-20 20:48:59	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0f5af7…
05-20 20:48:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfa027b…
05-20 20:48:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1f2da4…
05-20 20:48:48	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7dcb1d…
05-20 20:48:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x991f96…
05-20 20:48:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x7ebf40…
05-20 20:48:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7b9928…
05-20 20:48:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x77dad1…
05-20 20:48:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x47db6a…
05-20 20:48:29	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x9b6e33…
05-20 20:48:22	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	174	0¢	$1	0xf25243…
05-20 20:48:15	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x293242…
05-20 20:48:11	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x976bd6…
05-20 20:48:06	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0xae9de4…
05-20 20:48:06	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x482cbe…
05-20 20:48:06	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x31ee48…
05-20 20:48:06	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1bce9a…
05-20 20:47:45	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x919ac8…
05-20 20:47:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0xa6ae65…
05-20 20:47:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x83849d…
05-20 20:47:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x8038b6…
05-20 20:47:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x48d6a9…
05-20 20:46:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc6b8f4…
05-20 20:46:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0xaf3b38…
05-20 20:46:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8b0d8a…
05-20 20:46:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x5cd81c…
05-20 20:46:33	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x254753…
05-20 20:46:25	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	1,413	0¢	$6	0x50c299…
05-20 20:46:21	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbdace8…
05-20 20:46:16	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xd7e494…
05-20 20:46:16	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd362b6…
05-20 20:46:16	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$1	0x5c166f…
05-20 20:46:09	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x12d61f…
05-20 20:46:05	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdf80f7…
05-20 20:45:58	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0xfb7c6e…
05-20 20:45:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x553f41…
05-20 20:45:57	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x19a62d…
05-20 20:45:50	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x40b525…
05-20 20:45:48	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xb007ed…
05-20 20:45:48	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x508a42…
05-20 20:45:48	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3debc2…
05-20 20:45:46	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0xae07b1…
05-20 20:45:46	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9bdd23…
05-20 20:45:44	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0x8cbc09…
05-20 20:45:44	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x3839fe…
05-20 20:45:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xccc441…
05-20 20:45:36	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x148ebe…
05-20 20:45:34	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa21526…
05-20 20:45:34	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x516765…
05-20 20:45:30	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x83f8f0…
05-20 20:45:30	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x4947c4…
05-20 20:09:31	Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	204	7¢	$14	0x3523fe…
05-20 18:23:30	Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x3cd501…
05-20 18:22:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x6a4531…
05-20 11:09:42	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	5,001	15¢	$750	0x97861c…
05-20 08:07:59	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	8,544	15¢	$1,282	0xe639dd…
05-19 20:15:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	1,456	15¢	$218	0x14f882…
05-19 09:06:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	6,500	15¢	$975	0xba0911…
05-18 15:32:40	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	3,500	15¢	$525	0x9564b1…
04-17 12:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x34f440…
04-17 12:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xd7a1d4…
04-17 12:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xacfb9a…
04-17 12:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x5f5605…
04-17 12:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x89eef9…
04-17 12:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x8e780d…
04-16 12:32:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x61bd88…
04-16 12:31:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x210f51…
04-16 12:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xd8ff03…
04-16 12:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xae7934…
04-16 12:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	76	31¢	$24	0x31d310…
04-16 11:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x247c34…
04-16 11:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x89e3b6…
04-16 11:47:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x4276f9…
04-16 11:47:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xc066db…
04-16 11:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x395c03…
04-16 11:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x0a6c1b…
04-16 11:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x6549e7…
04-16 11:36:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xccc1a0…
04-16 11:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x3d9fbe…
04-15 01:36:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0x2333de…
04-15 01:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xcdd8a5…
04-15 01:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc06b6f…
04-15 01:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0xf21be1…
04-15 01:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x48fcd2…
04-15 01:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xfa2e1b…
04-15 01:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x98a4ad…
04-15 01:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x159d4a…
04-15 01:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x330cc4…