Neighboring-Instrumentalist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$97

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-21 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 33% $-5

Politics

17% 100% +$1

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$14	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	04-18 01:15
btc updown 5m 1776833400	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 04:54
btc updown 5m 1776447900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 20:55
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 05:08
btc updown 5m 1776836400	2	$4	33	0	+33	open	—	04-22 05:43
btc updown 5m 1776834300	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 05:11
btc updown 5m 1776456000	1	$3	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776468900	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-17 23:35
btc updown 5m 1776457800	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-17 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	$-3	05-05 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 21:25
btc updown 5m 1776834900	2	$2	150	0	+150	open	—	04-22 05:18
btc updown 5m 1776447600	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	04-17 17:44
btc updown 5m 1776461400	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-17 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776833700	2	$2	102	0	+102	open	—	04-22 05:00
btc updown 5m 1776835500	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-02 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 04:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	04-22 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-10 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 21:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2cb2e1…
05-21 21:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4ac7b…
05-21 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x76a2e5…
05-21 21:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34c685…
05-21 21:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x799620…
05-20 00:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x638b0f…
05-17 05:08:41	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x304176…
05-17 01:10:18	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb0739f…
05-17 01:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8a8116…
05-16 14:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3491aa…
05-10 13:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5bde54…
05-10 13:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf5c619…
05-05 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5d7b97…
05-05 21:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xea4998…
05-05 21:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9eb189…
05-05 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c6cf8…
05-05 20:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x890d5c…
05-05 20:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb3038e…
05-05 20:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x94da82…
05-03 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x17c2f0…
05-03 12:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb723ce…
05-03 05:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0cefe4…
05-03 05:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5b559…
05-03 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf0efc3…
05-03 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe474e7…
05-02 23:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x87231f…
05-02 04:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3873be…
05-02 04:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc5b6b8…
05-02 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x40153d…
05-02 03:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xedd0b5…
04-22 05:43:24	btc updown 5m 1776836400	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xcb0e48…
04-22 05:40:38	btc updown 5m 1776836400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd6c26b…
04-22 05:37:38	btc updown 5m 1776836100	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeba605…
04-22 05:28:28	btc updown 5m 1776835500	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a8ea0…
04-22 05:25:50	btc updown 5m 1776835500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc4ae55…
04-22 05:18:46	btc updown 5m 1776834900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf49267…
04-22 05:18:22	btc updown 5m 1776834900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x85c60f…
04-22 05:13:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd96da4…
04-22 05:13:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7c380e…
04-22 05:11:30	btc updown 5m 1776834300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa418ab…
04-22 05:06:56	btc updown 5m 1776834300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x99dea5…
04-22 05:00:04	btc updown 5m 1776833700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x973612…
04-22 04:57:40	btc updown 5m 1776833700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbdd1d2…
04-22 04:54:30	btc updown 5m 1776833400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4fd9b0…
04-22 04:53:12	btc updown 5m 1776833400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41e63d…
04-18 01:15:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xc2f798…
04-17 23:35:34	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf889ed…
04-17 21:32:10	btc updown 5m 1776461400	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x33a550…
04-17 20:30:38	btc updown 5m 1776457800	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x3c5f4a…
04-17 20:03:12	btc updown 5m 1776456000	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbcdd5d…
04-17 18:51:20	btc updown 5m 1776451800	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0f3015…
04-17 17:47:22	btc updown 5m 1776447900	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3d8868…
04-17 17:44:10	btc updown 5m 1776447600	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2c599d…
04-17 02:47:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xa58b6e…