Surprised-Offset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

1,161

Trades

1,427

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-08 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 16% -$1,045

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:55 UTC	2	$217	222	221	+1	Down	+$138	03-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$140	228	228	+0	Down	+$100	05-15 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 00:15 UTC	2	$137	140	140	+0	Down	+$117	03-16 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 02:55 UTC	2	$129	123	123	+0	Down	+$115	03-14 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:50 UTC	2	$124	105	105	+1	Up	+$85	03-12 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$116	125	125	+0	Down	+$106	06-02 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:35 UTC	3	$112	153	96	+57	Up	+$43	03-10 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:25 UTC	2	$109	91	90	+1	Down	+$70	03-10 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:15 UTC	2	$107	99	98	+0	Down	+$88	03-13 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$107	143	143	+0	Down	+$87	05-14 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 20:10 UTC	2	$105	87	86	+1	Up	+$66	03-10 20:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:35 UTC	2	$98	79	79	+1	Down	+$58	03-12 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:05 UTC	2	$93	74	73	+1	Down	+$53	03-05 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 16:15 UTC	1	$90	381	0	+381	Down	-$90	03-05 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$87	83	83	+0	Down	+$78	05-13 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:15 UTC	2	$87	83	83	+0	Up	+$78	03-17 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 11:05 UTC	3	$87	73	73	+0	Up	+$58	03-12 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	3	$84	62	62	+0	Down	+$40	03-10 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$82	121	121	+0	Up	+$65	05-15 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 10:50 UTC	2	$81	72	71	+0	Up	+$61	03-12 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:20 UTC	2	$78	59	59	+1	Up	+$39	03-05 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$78	200	200	+0	Down	+$58	05-14 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 11:50 UTC	1	$75	371	0	+371	Down	-$75	03-12 11:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:10 UTC	2	$71	53	52	+1	Down	+$32	03-10 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC	2	$71	56	55	+1	Up	+$39	03-10 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:35 UTC	2	$67	64	64	+0	Up	+$58	03-13 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:15 UTC	2	$66	52	51	+1	Up	+$36	03-05 07:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 18:15 UTC	2	$65	55	55	+0	Down	+$44	03-10 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:35 UTC	2	$64	45	45	+1	Down	+$25	03-10 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$64	454	454	+0	Up	+$9	06-03 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x2eea6a…
06-08 20:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x929cb5…
06-08 20:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4a03f5…
06-08 20:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x344a13…
06-08 20:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa57100…
06-08 20:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe001e6…
06-08 20:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd3a9f8…
06-08 19:59:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xaf9791…
06-08 19:52:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbf4f7d…
06-08 19:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0x336422…
06-08 19:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xdf752c…
06-08 16:33:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	340	5¢	$17	0x47d6b9…
06-08 16:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xabaaa4…
06-08 16:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xde8183…
06-08 16:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2c933f…
06-08 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xd9c252…
06-08 15:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x34cc0e…
06-08 15:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x578f6a…
06-08 15:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1e7c66…
06-08 15:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x1f9e14…
06-08 15:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x936905…
06-08 15:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdcd39d…
06-08 15:09:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x462238…
06-08 14:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf30da5…
06-08 14:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x11a5c7…
06-08 14:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6d68a6…
06-08 14:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x095a24…
06-08 02:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	134	7¢	$9	0x73501d…
06-08 02:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x959d7d…
06-08 01:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6af239…
06-08 01:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x0af2a3…
06-08 01:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe927c5…
06-08 01:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x092fad…
06-08 01:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6a9a59…
06-08 01:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa1f03a…
06-08 00:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x85e5a0…
06-08 00:48:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x784f71…
06-08 00:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x58a667…
06-07 07:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x806858…
06-07 07:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa8c0b2…
06-07 07:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x27c343…
06-07 07:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x66e9d9…
06-07 07:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x067d71…
06-07 07:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdfc230…
06-07 06:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x56028d…
06-07 06:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4d1bde…
06-07 06:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x97100e…
06-07 06:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x12adff…
06-07 06:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x06385d…
06-04 01:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe75efb…
06-04 01:48:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1bf13a…
06-04 01:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xe81205…
06-04 01:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	Down	SELL	167	22¢	$37	0x9b4fde…
06-04 01:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe2c094…
06-04 01:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x66fce4…
06-04 01:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x993b11…
06-04 01:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd613cd…
06-03 23:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1fbf02…
06-03 23:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe824fe…
06-03 05:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	364	8¢	$30	0x0d04f7…
06-03 05:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xba7ca4…
06-03 04:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xa9b469…
06-03 04:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	283	6¢	$17	0x647289…
06-03 04:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x1c582a…
06-03 04:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x31193e…
06-03 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x1013a2…
06-03 03:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd89f13…
06-03 02:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe87518…
06-03 01:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	454	8¢	$36	0x3665ba…
06-03 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	454	6¢	$28	0x97e752…
06-03 01:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xaa5c4b…
06-03 01:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xe8f578…
06-03 01:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2a202a…
06-03 01:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xcbfc2c…
06-03 01:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x65be97…
06-03 01:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x9e1cc2…
06-03 01:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	165	16¢	$26	0xf0b3c6…
06-03 01:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x2abf5c…
06-03 01:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x60c61f…
06-03 01:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x636945…
06-03 01:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4ab96e…
06-03 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe73a81…
06-03 00:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x721412…
06-03 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	233	17¢	$40	0x94cc7e…
06-03 00:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xaeea96…
06-03 00:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0xd80026…
06-03 00:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xca6720…
06-03 00:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x68319e…
06-03 00:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe882d3…
06-03 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0xfb1a89…
06-03 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x45bc22…
06-03 00:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x8a473c…
06-02 23:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x13946d…
06-02 23:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x58bd98…
06-02 23:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6d3ab4…
06-02 01:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xa198d7…
06-02 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0xdf6d17…
06-02 01:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x128fcc…
05-19 07:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x7f433b…
05-19 07:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x95793f…