Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$170,360

Trades

14,962

Unique wallets

1,949

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-13

First seen

2026-03-13

last 03-13 18:41

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +15,107 (anon) +5,695 (anon) +4,672 (anon) +4,404 (anon) +3,850 (anon) +3,731 (anon) +3,349 (anon) +3,030

NO holders

(anon) +11,714 Regal-Macaw +10,000 (anon) +6,519 (anon) +3,773 (anon) +3,049 Humble-Outcome +3,000 (anon) +2,898 (anon) +2,554

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +9.0¢ (top1%: 64% YES on $94.0K vs crowd: 55% YES on $149.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	158	$58.4K	$38.9K	+$19.4K
🐬 Dolphin	404	$16.4K	$13.0K	+$3.4K
🐟 Fish	750	$6.1K	$11.5K	$5.5K
🦐 Shrimp	637	$1.9K	$3.2K	$1.3K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	159	$60.5K	$33.5K	+$27.1K
🏆 Top 5%	162	$3.8K	$6.0K	$2.2K
✅ Top 10%	98	$433	$684	$250
Median	128	$468	$827	$358
Below median	632	$2.1K	$3.4K	$1.3K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	348	$3.1K	$4.8K	$1.7K
🔻 Bottom 5%	300	$4.2K	$6.2K	$2.0K
💀 Bottom 1%	122	$8.1K	$11.3K	$3.3K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x3361…4363	Up	+15,107	$14,954	$14,954	23	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x0999…016e	Down	+11,714	$117	$117	1	03-13 18:40
Regal-Macaw 0x9480…6797	Down	+10,000	$100	$100	1	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0xf248…72bf	Down	+6,519	$3,000	$3,000	3	03-13 18:36
(anonymous) 0xc9b2…ce1f	Up	+5,695	$5,633	$5,633	1	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x89bf…65c1	Up	+4,672	$4,625	$4,625	78	03-13 18:41
(anonymous) 0x46e6…4587	Up	+4,404	$4,360	$4,360	26	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Up	+3,850	$1,321	$1,321	144	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Down	+3,773	$2,443	$2,443	119	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xd05e…369e	Up	+3,731	$3,694	$3,694	13	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+3,349	$1,071	$1,071	107	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+3,049	$2,013	$2,013	51	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x97e1…88bf	Up	+3,030	$3,000	$3,000	1	03-13 18:40
Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1	Up	+3,027	$2,361	$2,361	1	03-13 18:40
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	Down	+3,000	$870	$870	40	03-13 18:40
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	Up	+3,000	$600	$1,800	194	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+2,898	$1,391	$1,391	101	03-13 18:38
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+2,655	$663	$663	139	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+2,554	$1,806	$1,806	146	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+2,478	$1,078	$1,078	139	03-13 18:38
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+2,034	$1,379	$1,379	202	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x437b…83b2	Down	+2,016	$1,491	$1,491	77	03-13 18:39
Dense-Semantics 0x00e0…8a94	Down	+2,000	$800	$800	53	03-13 18:40
Dense-Semantics 0x00e0…8a94	Up	+2,000	$800	$800	61	03-13 18:37
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+1,681	$465	$465	154	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+1,632	$695	$873	61	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x7c4b…ee55	Down	+1,600	$954	$954	1	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0xb6e9…3008	Up	+1,598	$672	$672	29	03-13 18:38
(anonymous) 0x437b…83b2	Up	+1,587	$773	$773	74	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Up	+1,522	$340	$340	102	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Down	+1,438	$1,025	$1,025	82	03-13 18:39
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+1,433	$821	$821	37	03-13 18:39
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+1,422	$774	$774	49	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Down	+1,395	$951	$951	113	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x4ee6…4594	Down	+1,326	$478	$478	2	03-13 18:36
Lonely-Dresser 0x3b84…f487	Up	+1,300	$702	$702	21	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Down	+1,240	$801	$801	77	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Up	+1,231	$411	$411	76	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x8648…bd2f	Down	+1,210	$839	$839	88	03-13 18:40
0x52d8da46bcc56e3d9f9b2099ad16904fb0b599ae 0x52d8…99ae	Up	+1,200	$600	$600	57	03-13 18:35
(anonymous) 0x08ea…9984	Up	+1,172	$686	$686	52	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0xf4fe…ebac	Up	+1,164	$367	$367	44	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x7298…54d7	Down	+1,111	$902	$902	1	03-13 18:38
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Down	+1,108	$729	$729	54	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xdc24…4ab5	Down	+1,100	$680	$680	58	03-13 18:37
(anonymous) 0x8648…bd2f	Up	+1,095	$414	$414	77	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xf4fe…ebac	Down	+1,091	$724	$724	54	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Up	+1,091	$366	$366	22	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x571c…a61f	Up	+1,038	$374	$374	66	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,028	$327	$411	37	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xf19e…9394	Up	+1,009	$973	$973	1	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+988	$597	$597	70	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0xdc24…4ab5	Up	+982	$636	$636	65	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	Up	+968	$515	$515	51	03-13 18:38
Admirable-Representation 0x310b…87ae	Down	+934	$591	$591	217	03-13 18:38
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+872	$548	$1,086	101	03-13 18:39
(anonymous) 0x0d05…4518	Down	+837	$454	$600	11	03-13 18:40
Open-Location 0x90c9…7e8b	Down	+800	$10	$10	4	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x538e…b077	Down	+799	$8	$8	1	03-13 18:40
(anonymous) 0x571c…a61f	Down	+799	$488	$488	71	03-13 18:39