Frilly-Behold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

1,502

Trades

14,175

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-29 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Other

55% 70% +$792

Sports

45% 67% +$447

Politics

0% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	+23	-$6	40¢	$9	+$16	10-27 05:58
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+116	$7	5¢	$6	-$1	10-09 23:15
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	+45	$4	6¢	$3	-$2	10-17 22:53
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+174	$7	1¢	$2	-$5	10-03 21:44
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+0	-$5	94¢	$0	+$5	07-05 03:29
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	+50	$0	0¢	$0	+$1	10-29 00:31
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	+1	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	09-22 07:01
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+0	-$3	68¢	$0	+$3	10-22 01:01
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+0	-$2	13¢	$0	+$2	10-25 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	104	$663	2,478	2,478	+0	No	+$51	08-31 22:19
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half	143	$653	708	708	+0	Yes	+$90	06-16 01:10
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	107	$555	1,806	1,799	+8	No	+$44	08-31 15:42
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	99	$524	893	893	+0	No	+$35	08-06 14:26
Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?	75	$482	672	672	+0	Yes	+$89	06-22 22:33
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	71	$466	957	908	+48	No	+$69	08-15 18:56
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	69	$411	697	655	+42	Yes	+$39	08-31 05:50
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	85	$403	1,091	980	+111	Yes	+$29	09-01 15:46
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?	187	$324	2,407	2,407	+0	No	+$29	06-13 16:14
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?	47	$323	322	322	+0	No	+$39	06-22 22:33
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	99	$314	1,703	1,703	+0	Yes	+$21	07-22 06:55
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	105	$304	1,382	1,382	+0	No	+$17	07-13 04:35
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	65	$297	852	852	+0	No	+$18	07-21 13:34
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?	138	$293	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$29	06-13 14:23
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?	87	$281	1,309	1,309	+0	No	+$20	08-23 02:55
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?	46	$281	502	502	+0	No	+$69	06-17 23:34
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	52	$272	385	330	+55	No	+$5	08-31 15:35
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	47	$270	326	282	+44	No	+$11	08-06 18:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	45	$265	257	257	+0	No	+$15	07-19 22:30
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	52	$251	324	324	+0	Yes	+$27	06-29 19:04
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	50	$247	640	640	+0	Yes	+$26	06-28 00:08
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	46	$243	1,126	1,126	+0	open	—	08-17 02:11
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	81	$243	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$26	06-08 06:24
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	77	$240	1,118	1,118	+0	open	—	10-29 01:18
Will Liquid Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	46	$230	1,245	1,125	+120	No	+$4	07-29 20:15
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	52	$226	1,363	1,094	+269	No	-$7	10-18 23:15
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	28	$216	345	311	+35	Yes	+$19	08-04 10:56
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	32	$215	295	295	+0	Yes	+$14	08-06 08:59
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	28	$208	250	250	+0	Yes	+$21	08-28 04:39
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	32	$205	257	240	+16	No	+$19	07-19 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:48:58	Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0xeca658…
10-29 01:33:13	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xe5038d…
10-29 01:32:19	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x1b5be7…
10-29 01:18:46	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xa12d9c…
10-29 01:18:37	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x4e03fc…
10-29 01:18:35	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	94	9¢	$8	0x03003d…
10-29 01:13:08	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xe42d7a…
10-29 01:05:58	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xbd5e8f…
10-29 01:05:58	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x806b8f…
10-29 01:05:58	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$8	0x4504fb…
10-29 00:31:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd5d8d2…
10-29 00:31:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x632105…
10-29 00:31:53	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x72f06f…
10-28 23:50:28	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	SELL	92	14¢	$13	0x676d31…
10-28 21:41:50	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	SELL	60	14¢	$9	0xeca801…
10-28 20:07:44	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe560ae…
10-28 19:14:46	Will FUT Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x21e1b7…
10-28 16:55:07	Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$6	0x257c41…
10-28 16:27:25	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0x8b32d9…
10-28 16:17:43	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	49	22¢	$11	0xcbf00f…
10-28 13:09:25	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	62	17¢	$10	0x8bba36…
10-28 12:48:52	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x3401f5…
10-28 12:48:40	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x7d4fab…
10-28 12:31:10	Will Como qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5a391a…
10-28 10:56:14	Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0x88f207…
10-28 10:34:04	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x521000…
10-28 10:20:53	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x021543…
10-28 09:33:19	Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9909ba…
10-28 09:33:08	Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$5	0xd329b5…
10-28 09:33:08	Will Jean Silva fight Kevin Vallejos next?	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x50dcde…
10-28 09:28:17	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0x43ba3b…
10-28 09:15:35	W15 Neuquén: Camila Eluney Kilapi vs Alisa Danilova	Camila Eluney Kilapi	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x0d356b…
10-28 09:14:53	W15 Neuquén: Camila Eluney Kilapi vs Alisa Danilova	Camila Eluney Kilapi	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xcb4e6e…
10-28 08:40:16	Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins	Paine Lions	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x46a2aa…
10-28 08:40:10	Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins	Paine Lions	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x827b5d…
10-28 08:27:53	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	SELL	54	22¢	$12	0xf54120…
10-28 08:00:11	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x9aa5ac…
10-28 07:58:04	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	SELL	103	12¢	$12	0x3a0634…
10-28 07:44:22	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf1f3cc…
10-28 07:44:22	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xed57cc…
10-28 07:44:22	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x5535df…
10-28 07:44:22	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x445e88…
10-28 07:44:22	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x374739…
10-28 07:44:19	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x39eed2…
10-28 07:09:14	Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xa59631…
10-28 07:09:14	Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa26294…
10-28 06:30:49	Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x3c66a6…
10-28 05:13:16	Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins	Paine Lions	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xd65225…
10-28 04:30:10	Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xfbd415…
10-28 04:29:59	Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?	Yes	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xe804d1…
10-28 03:13:39	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x59eaa6…
10-28 02:40:18	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x8fa44d…
10-28 02:31:05	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x6834a4…
10-28 02:03:15	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x1cc5bf…
10-28 01:20:05	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x071c61…
10-28 00:59:23	Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$14	0xcbea2e…
10-28 00:42:15	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xd83ae5…
10-28 00:25:53	Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x0bb731…
10-28 00:24:21	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	SELL	61	19¢	$12	0x9779e8…
10-28 00:16:20	Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x64def3…
10-27 23:10:21	Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x1c758e…
10-27 22:33:02	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0x3c28c4…
10-27 22:01:12	Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf5aa69…
10-27 21:24:24	Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x19c5ed…
10-27 21:24:17	Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x39a89e…
10-27 20:55:23	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	15¢	$13	0x261dae…
10-27 19:09:50	Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xcc2eba…
10-27 19:08:35	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x39bec6…
10-27 18:34:14	Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x4dc503…
10-27 17:37:33	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb45a9e…
10-27 17:03:35	Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x3ed735…
10-27 17:03:08	Will Miami Hurricanes advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game?	No	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x30b0c7…
10-27 16:28:14	Spread: Olympiacos B.C. (-4.5)	Besiktas	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x6b924a…
10-27 15:41:26	Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x141ce4…
10-27 15:19:38	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x082257…
10-27 15:09:02	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfa9e15…
10-27 15:08:03	Spread: Olympiacos B.C. (-4.5)	Besiktas	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x4fc5e2…
10-27 14:49:09	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xd9d78c…
10-27 13:52:56	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x33686d…
10-27 13:52:50	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x6aeea4…
10-27 13:38:00	WTT Champions: Xingtong Chen vs Margaryta Pesotska	Margaryta Pesotska	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xd4213b…
10-27 11:59:50	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xbcbda1…
10-27 11:22:59	Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xe2b187…
10-27 11:19:38	Will FUT Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x787182…
10-27 11:08:42	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x9124a6…
10-27 11:02:14	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x860f3c…
10-27 10:54:18	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x007d55…
10-27 10:50:24	Will Louisville win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc7b41d…
10-27 10:48:33	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x82a819…
10-27 10:47:50	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x4cbd38…
10-27 10:24:48	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x0b49dc…
10-27 09:53:18	Will FUT Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x5263ed…
10-27 09:19:00	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd4c527…
10-27 09:19:00	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x95280e…
10-27 09:17:17	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x520c2b…
10-27 07:40:44	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x95fa86…
10-27 07:34:29	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x293556…
10-27 07:33:48	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	SELL	102	7¢	$8	0x2a4e35…
10-27 07:27:30	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xddb463…
10-27 06:43:35	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x53f877…