Loving-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.92K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

6,436

Trades

17,316

lifetime

Volume

$279.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-26 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$3,708

Other

0% 30% -$213

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 466 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	8	$943	1,020	+1,020	Down	+$72	10-02 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$940	1,010	+1,010	Up	+$70	10-02 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	6	$938	965	+965	Up	+$27	10-02 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	6	$906	965	+965	Up	+$59	10-02 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	17	$880	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$120	09-20 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$862	960	+960	Up	+$98	10-02 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 22:00 UTC	7	$860	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$140	09-19 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC	33	$860	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$140	09-21 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$845	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$155	09-19 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	5	$840	1,000	+1,000	Down	-$840	09-21 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	6	$836	965	+965	Up	+$129	10-02 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$832	1,000	+1,000	Up	-$832	09-20 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$830	865	+865	Down	+$35	10-02 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$825	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$175	09-19 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	13	$823	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$177	09-20 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	8	$821	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$179	09-21 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:00 UTC	2	$819	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$180	09-21 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	12	$818	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$182	09-20 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	10	$805	820	+820	Up	+$10	10-02 04:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:45 UTC	11	$801	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$199	09-21 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$792	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$208	09-20 12:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:30 UTC	4	$791	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$209	09-21 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$790	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$210	09-20 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	5	$786	815	+815	Up	+$29	10-02 09:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC	3	$786	1,000	+1,000	Down	-$786	09-19 23:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:15 UTC	9	$785	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$215	09-21 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$779	810	+810	Down	+$31	10-03 04:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:45 UTC	2	$774	1,000	+1,000	Up	-$774	09-21 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	3	$769	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$231	09-19 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$751	865	+865	Down	+$114	10-02 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7d0f55…
10-26 23:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3f40a4…
10-26 23:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1eedf2…
10-26 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x006926…
10-26 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x220c16…
10-26 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x7202a3…
10-26 23:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xbfa97f…
10-26 23:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xb0127a…
10-26 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xfdedbe…
10-26 22:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x39a7a1…
10-26 22:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1eb8fa…
10-26 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb76a74…
10-26 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x24e73d…
10-26 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7b8373…
10-26 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb4a663…
10-26 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb58449…
10-26 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x450e48…
10-26 21:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x15b882…
10-26 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6c3023…
10-26 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x91ed04…
10-26 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x50375a…
10-26 21:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3ef292…
10-26 21:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xd79b82…
10-26 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xd3ed64…
10-26 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x015e63…
10-26 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5b0f3d…
10-26 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7cb097…
10-26 21:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x647802…
10-26 21:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xbb96ee…
10-26 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf95dbb…
10-26 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9d975f…
10-26 21:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x555453…
10-26 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfb307b…
10-26 21:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x5af597…
10-26 21:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xb22c7a…
10-26 21:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xffe9d4…
10-26 21:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xa74c76…
10-26 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0b5852…
10-26 20:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa634cc…
10-26 20:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x67f245…
10-26 20:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa6430a…
10-26 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x1114a6…
10-26 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x45ad30…
10-26 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x907abe…
10-26 20:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8efe52…
10-26 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x215e07…
10-26 20:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1cd0bf…
10-26 20:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb203d9…
10-26 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfbc119…
10-26 20:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8b9d0e…
10-26 20:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x663d16…
10-26 20:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x445d87…
10-26 20:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x534dbd…
10-26 20:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x4690ae…
10-26 19:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x67548c…
10-26 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xbfa13d…
10-26 18:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc0384f…
10-26 18:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0bf1ca…
10-26 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd80a49…
10-26 17:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1322c9…
10-26 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9012ac…
10-26 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc216d0…
10-26 17:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb9ae2c…
10-26 17:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7c4631…
10-26 17:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xcd42ed…
10-26 17:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x930fbe…
10-26 17:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xae14ca…
10-26 17:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbd2293…
10-26 11:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x39668a…
10-26 11:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaa3789…
10-26 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc2ee3b…
10-26 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x48fda4…
10-26 11:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x13aa87…
10-26 11:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x92257b…
10-26 00:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xae32ec…
10-26 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb62359…
10-26 00:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x0a0c30…
10-26 00:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x155ee9…
10-26 00:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x32c79e…
10-26 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x30608a…
10-26 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf0d1eb…
10-26 00:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xac2e9f…
10-25 23:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xde6ccd…
10-25 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x706bb8…
10-25 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6a645b…
10-25 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x673657…
10-25 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7fc579…
10-25 23:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4898f2…
10-25 23:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xfd4489…
10-25 23:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x15f7f9…
10-25 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc1e2c1…
10-25 23:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda9ebf…
10-25 23:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x41a00d…
10-25 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd51b2d…
10-25 23:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x57154c…
10-25 23:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa90084…
10-25 23:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa8093b…
10-25 23:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7b0599…
10-25 23:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbf59b2…
10-25 23:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xceddb3…