Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$40,490

Trades

2,841

Unique wallets

417

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

82¢

Latest NO mid

18¢

End date

2026-10-02

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-02 21:00

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +2,000 Lively-Authenticity +1,937 Moral-Roof +1,304 Impolite-Sister +1,229 (anon) +1,222 Vague-Hourglass +1,100 Leading-Altar +1,057 Loving-Confidentiality +1,010

NO holders

Bleak-Opinion +5,503 Illiterate-Counterforce +5,002 Victorious-Recess +3,030 Whirlwind-Facsimile +2,869 (anon) +1,667 (anon) +1,440 Leading-Altar +1,057 Deadly-Champion +935

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.7¢ (top1%: 88% YES on $21.3K vs crowd: 85% YES on $38.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	115	$21.2K	$4.3K	+$17.0K
🐬 Dolphin	118	$9.0K	$1.1K	+$7.9K
🐟 Fish	109	$2.5K	$397	+$2.1K
🦐 Shrimp	75	$209	$170	+$39

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	103	$18.8K	$2.5K	+$16.3K
🏆 Top 5%	51	$2.8K	$134	+$2.7K
✅ Top 10%	19	$284	$28	+$256
Median	24	$62	$16	+$47
Below median	75	$600	$141	+$459
⚠️ Bottom 10%	48	$712	$175	+$537
🔻 Bottom 5%	47	$6.3K	$239	+$6.0K
💀 Bottom 1%	50	$3.4K	$2.7K	+$638

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303	Down	+5,503	$170	$170	64	10-02 20:57
Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb	Down	+5,002	$738	$738	78	10-02 20:53
Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468	Down	+3,030	$729	$731	35	10-02 20:50
Whirlwind-Facsimile 0x064a…245d	Down	+2,869	$58	$58	19	10-02 20:58
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Up	+2,000	$1,980	$1,980	1	10-02 20:57
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+1,937	$1,439	$1,439	9	10-02 20:50
(anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f	Down	+1,667	$171	$171	28	10-02 20:54
(anonymous) 0x5380…d4b3	Down	+1,440	$322	$322	1	10-02 20:48
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+1,304	$1,283	$1,283	6	10-02 20:57
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+1,229	$945	$945	9	10-02 20:49
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+1,222	$934	$934	10	10-02 20:49
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+1,100	$863	$863	32	10-02 20:47
Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67	Down	+1,057	$164	$164	40	10-02 20:55
Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67	Up	+1,057	$899	$899	28	10-02 20:55
Loving-Confidentiality 0x68d3…d1b0	Up	+1,010	$940	$940	6	10-02 20:55
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Up	+1,010	$843	$843	55	10-02 20:57
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+1,009	$803	$803	33	10-02 20:52
(anonymous) 0x4c2b…c79b	Up	+1,000	$925	$925	4	10-02 20:54
(anonymous) 0xd52c…683b	Up	+1,000	$940	$940	4	10-02 20:54
Substantial-Biscuit 0xeef3…2f9b	Up	+1,000	$938	$938	4	10-02 20:54
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Up	+998	$835	$835	51	10-02 20:58
(anonymous) 0x089c…a611	Up	+992	$772	$772	4	10-02 20:47
Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da	Down	+935	$107	$107	60	10-02 20:57
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Down	+934	$105	$105	57	10-02 20:57
Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb	Up	+906	$888	$888	4	10-02 20:57
Rapid-Definition 0x85fc…8700	Up	+900	$521	$521	2	10-02 20:46
(anonymous) 0x071a…7400	Down	+796	$40	$40	8	10-02 20:53
Compassionate-Leverage 0x48e5…a482	Up	+711	$552	$552	17	10-02 20:47
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+708	$558	$558	6	10-02 20:49
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b	Up	+657	$493	$493	5	10-02 20:48
Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd	Down	+598	$84	$84	39	10-02 20:56
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Up	+584	$439	$1,129	41	10-02 20:57
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Up	+571	$513	$513	36	10-02 20:57
Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd	Up	+562	$482	$482	35	10-02 20:57
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Up	+552	$396	$396	14	10-02 20:48
(anonymous) 0x6454…93b4	Down	+527	$121	$121	2	10-02 20:49
Aromatic-Promise 0x6655…fca6	Down	+527	$128	$128	2	10-02 20:47
(anonymous) 0x2d5f…5ec0	Up	+526	$500	$500	1	10-02 20:52
Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433	Down	+503	$178	$181	10	10-02 20:57
(anonymous) 0x49f4…a9e1	Up	+500	$468	$468	4	10-02 20:54
(anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d	Down	+500	$110	$110	2	10-02 20:46
True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f	Down	+456	$30	$30	15	10-02 20:52
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Down	+456	$198	$198	10	10-02 20:45
Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739	Down	+431	$68	$68	27	10-02 20:55
Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859	Up	+429	$400	$400	2	10-02 20:56
Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739	Up	+427	$361	$361	15	10-02 20:55
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	Up	+417	$409	$409	2	10-02 20:57
(anonymous) 0x08cb…d5aa	Down	+407	$53	$53	8	10-02 20:51
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	Up	+390	$306	$306	4	10-02 20:47
Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f	Down	+360	$125	$125	7	10-02 20:46
(anonymous) 0xa4eb…393f	Down	+323	$3	$3	1	10-02 20:57
Faithful-Time 0x487d…03f5	Down	+300	$129	$129	7	10-02 20:46
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Down	+300	$138	$138	5	10-02 20:45
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+296	$102	$102	9	10-02 20:46
(anonymous) 0xf548…c20e	Down	+281	$49	$49	33	10-02 20:55
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Down	+266	$120	$120	1	10-02 20:45
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+265	$50	$50	16	10-02 20:58
(anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff	Down	+240	$51	$51	17	10-02 20:49
Compassionate-Leverage 0x48e5…a482	Down	+211	$69	$69	5	10-02 20:47
(anonymous) 0x89e8…9f7b	Down	+204	$26	$26	24	10-02 20:57