Substantial-Biscuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

5,980

Trades

15,529

lifetime

Volume

$389.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-26 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 56% -$4,567

Other

1% 44% +$293

Sports

0% 39% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte1	2	$1.6K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$610	06-17 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	18	$1.2K	735	735	+0	Up	-$71	10-19 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC	4	$1.0K	750	750	+0	Up	-$381	09-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 05:30 UTC	4	$968	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$32	09-27 05:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 04:30 UTC	4	$967	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$33	09-27 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$954	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	-$788	10-23 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 00:30 UTC	4	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$50	09-27 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 13:15 UTC	9	$949	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$51	09-27 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:00 UTC	8	$944	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$56	09-27 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$938	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$62	10-02 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$929	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$71	10-02 18:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 06:30 UTC	4	$921	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$79	09-27 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$919	944	0	+944	Up	+$25	10-02 08:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 13:45 UTC	4	$903	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$97	09-27 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$100	10-23 00:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:15 UTC	4	$894	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$106	09-27 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	3	$893	950	0	+950	Up	+$57	10-02 02:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 16:30 UTC	4	$891	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$109	09-27 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	9	$886	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$114	10-23 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$880	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$120	09-20 21:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:45 UTC	3	$875	900	0	+900	Up	+$25	09-27 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	7	$873	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$127	10-23 03:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 00:15 UTC	4	$865	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$135	09-27 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$862	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$138	09-18 21:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 22:00 UTC	2	$860	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$140	09-19 22:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC	38	$860	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$140	09-21 08:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 15:30 UTC	4	$858	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$142	09-27 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$854	950	0	+950	Up	+$96	10-02 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	11	$850	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$150	09-14 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$850	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$850	09-13 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xc014fe…
10-26 23:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x72fbc1…
10-26 23:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xada34b…
10-26 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x567e07…
10-26 23:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0xef548d…
10-26 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0xc2bfde…
10-26 23:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0x6f3405…
10-26 23:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x75b9a5…
10-26 22:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x1f6757…
10-26 22:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1d0b0a…
10-26 22:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x4019c1…
10-26 21:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xaeb796…
10-26 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x7599f9…
10-26 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xe3de75…
10-26 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x36c1e1…
10-26 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x030339…
10-26 21:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x3706de…
10-26 21:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0xc2d37b…
10-26 21:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xebdcfc…
10-26 21:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x4bc58a…
10-26 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x8a5319…
10-26 21:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x68fac7…
10-26 21:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xbe3f57…
10-26 21:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x8f9f36…
10-26 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x9ae2d3…
10-26 21:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xf2f594…
10-26 21:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0xcf3640…
10-26 21:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x64838f…
10-26 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0xe49721…
10-26 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x064fb5…
10-26 21:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xe49aed…
10-26 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x575950…
10-26 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xe0330e…
10-26 21:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xd9203a…
10-26 21:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x28f632…
10-26 21:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xc7ac02…
10-26 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x1695c9…
10-26 20:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xfcdc32…
10-26 20:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x143c40…
10-26 20:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xe73ac6…
10-26 20:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x84a52d…
10-26 20:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x1637a0…
10-26 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x60b9c9…
10-26 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0xd193cf…
10-26 20:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xf4a690…
10-26 20:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x385558…
10-26 20:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xdad0e8…
10-26 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x197fd9…
10-26 20:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x770f5c…
10-26 20:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x62f3f4…
10-26 20:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7b54e8…
10-26 20:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xa15f97…
10-26 20:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x86b4b5…
10-26 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xbc5767…
10-26 19:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0x9ced5e…
10-26 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x417c04…
10-26 18:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xbf6ee6…
10-26 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x8a3ee0…
10-26 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7bf729…
10-26 17:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	75¢	$26	0xde52fa…
10-26 17:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x2ba782…
10-26 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x00d6d0…
10-26 17:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x048a0c…
10-26 17:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x8e7fa6…
10-26 17:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x591d65…
10-26 17:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xcb94ef…
10-26 17:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x9eab3d…
10-26 17:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x6b2c9d…
10-26 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x3af375…
10-26 11:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xde09f9…
10-26 11:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xdcfd32…
10-26 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x15ce15…
10-26 11:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xce87a8…
10-26 11:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x0851bc…
10-26 11:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x55939d…
10-26 00:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x9f4897…
10-26 00:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xc61e78…
10-26 00:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc0b6b4…
10-26 00:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x141e86…
10-26 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x1afed6…
10-26 00:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x7d3b62…
10-26 00:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x783eac…
10-25 23:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xe2240e…
10-25 23:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x0f99a9…
10-25 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0xbddad1…
10-25 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x174226…
10-25 23:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xc3b02a…
10-25 23:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x278b9f…
10-25 23:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6cdefd…
10-25 23:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9a746f…
10-25 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x27f829…
10-25 23:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x081aca…
10-25 23:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xe1571b…
10-25 23:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x0698b9…
10-25 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf42c42…
10-25 23:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x5f0d4c…
10-25 23:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x3795f4…
10-25 23:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x97d1a9…
10-25 23:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x926336…
10-25 23:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x551e03…