Substantial-Biscuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$347

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$5	05-08 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	+10	$5	90¢	$9	+$4	05-08 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	+10	$5	50¢	$5	$-0	05-08 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3536c8…
05-08 15:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xef110c…
05-08 14:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x30d103…
05-08 14:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbfc380…
05-08 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x818047…
05-08 13:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x88fa7c…
05-08 13:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x736c00…
05-08 13:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe265cc…
05-08 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc717f…
05-08 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a2f3c…
05-08 10:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x827d6c…
05-08 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x228146…
05-08 09:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa872e0…
05-08 09:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfb0137…
05-08 09:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ef302…
05-08 09:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x84a762…
05-08 09:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf7dd22…
05-08 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcb896e…
05-08 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa5a7c1…
05-08 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x826bce…
05-08 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfc11f4…
05-08 08:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeaaf41…
05-08 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdf9986…
05-08 07:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x8ab4ef…
05-08 07:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x422dbb…
05-08 07:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x303bbf…
05-08 06:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd5b746…
05-08 06:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1f7f1d…
05-08 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xccfd31…
05-08 06:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x208ec2…
05-08 06:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd3d75…
05-08 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xcd72ae…
05-08 06:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4fade0…
05-08 06:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa6c7bc…
05-08 05:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd3d7f8…
05-08 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6fa5bb…
05-08 05:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xddf7a3…
05-08 05:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcc1d01…
05-08 05:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x03c530…
05-08 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e0461…
05-08 04:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x143812…
05-08 04:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x190373…
05-08 04:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x208056…
05-08 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x08ffdc…
05-08 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x75a0de…
05-08 03:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb3aeff…
05-08 03:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfbcad4…
05-08 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x923b7c…
05-08 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x113403…
05-08 03:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e1cf3…
05-08 03:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd047a3…
05-07 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x03f3ec…
05-07 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x57d0d4…
05-07 22:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd5a496…
05-07 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18192b…
05-07 21:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4819b4…
05-07 20:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd2653b…
05-07 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd69e15…
05-07 11:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe3c4b0…
05-07 11:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x425994…
05-07 11:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x35ffdc…
05-07 11:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2e30cc…
05-07 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b18d1…
05-07 10:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x752fbe…
05-07 10:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6be494…
05-07 10:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1d493d…
05-07 09:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x423f2a…
05-07 09:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xbbc72f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	68	$32.3K	936	05-08 15:10
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	66	$9.21K	828	05-08 15:05
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	66	$2.37K	566	05-08 15:05
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	64	$1.49K	246	05-08 15:05
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	63	$58.3K	747	05-08 15:05
Questionable-Miter 0x7b55…8f95	63	$3.54K	509	05-08 15:05
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	63	$2.59K	258	05-08 15:05
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	63	$2.23K	226	05-08 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	+$4	05-08 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-08 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-08 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-08 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-08 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-08 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-08 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-08 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-08 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-08 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-08 09:15