Realized P&L
+$7.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$563
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
160
Trades
1,817
lifetime
Volume
$195.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$7.04K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 11-13 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
87% 68% +$6,482
Other
10% 63% +$975
Sports
4% 60% +$89
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,850 $2,977 92¢ $3.5K +$545 11-12 01:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,050 $1,004 97¢ $1.0K +$13 11-10 15:38
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? No +572 $480 86¢ $489 +$9 11-11 12:40
Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record? Yes +426 $370 98¢ $417 +$46 11-04 10:29
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026? No +489 $328 70¢ $340 +$12 11-13 12:38
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +400 $320 78¢ $310 -$10 11-13 02:33
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +400 $332 76¢ $304 -$28 11-11 15:44
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +250 $210 91¢ $228 +$18 11-05 23:29
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? No +215 $181 91¢ $196 +$15 11-13 23:47
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No +400 $220 47¢ $188 -$32 11-04 02:39
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +200 $58 16¢ $33 -$25 11-06 02:34