Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.95K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$51.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-13 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

40% 32% -$1,867

Politics

30% 33% -$3,655

Other

25% 46% -$469

Crypto

4% 25% +$175

Tech

2% 0% -$133

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+700	$42	0¢	$2	-$40	04-28 17:11
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-1,575	-$16	0¢	$-2	+$14	05-16 03:02
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-561	-$9	0¢	$-1	+$8	05-16 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	217	$12.1K	31,830	24,192	+7,638	No	-$3,153	01-29 23:55
spx up or down on january 7 2026	35	$4.7K	10,168	3,207	+6,961	Down	+$269	01-07 20:48
nfl la car 2026 01 10	22	$3.3K	4,559	3,368	+1,191	Rams	-$75	01-11 00:39
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	Seahawks	+$240	01-18 03:10
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	22	$2.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	Broncos	+$350	01-18 00:52
nfl buf den 2026 01 17 spread home 1pt5	14	$2.0K	3,100	775	+2,325	Broncos	-$1,085	01-18 00:54
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	12	$1.6K	4,913	7,200	-2,287	No	+$439	01-14 21:56
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	2	$1.5K	1,656	4,656	-3,000	80k	+$649	01-16 19:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	13	$1.3K	963	1,000	-37	No	-$2	01-18 03:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$1.3K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	10-09 03:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$1.3K	2,236	3,836	-1,600	No	+$164	01-16 14:34
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	2	$1.2K	0	8,146	-8,146	No	+$1,238	01-11 00:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	28	$1.1K	3,802	3,802	+0	open	—	06-19 01:24
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	9	$800	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$800	05-02 01:26
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	9	$718	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	10-09 03:54
iran strike on israel by january 15	2	$672	356	356	+0	No	+$39	01-18 02:14
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$650	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	-$650	06-19 06:01
nfl buf den 2026 01 17 total 46pt5	2	$644	1,300	0	+1,300	Over	+$656	01-14 21:41
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	26	$626	4,064	0	+4,064	No	-$626	05-05 19:54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$542	1,900	0	+1,900	No	-$542	05-03 22:10
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$540	1,000	0	+1,000	Chicago Cubs	+$460	05-08 23:44
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	29	$530	6,791	0	+6,791	No	-$530	01-18 03:01
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	6	$528	1,600	0	+1,600	49ers	+$1,072	01-07 20:50
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	10	$504	1,800	0	+1,800	Under 5.5	-$504	05-04 22:50
nfl no atl 2026 01 04 spread home 3pt5	64	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Saints	+$500	01-04 15:46
iran strike on israel by january 31	1	$489	801	0	+801	No	+$312	01-14 21:15
will tyler shough be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 166	9	$450	5,294	0	+5,294	No	-$450	01-04 20:49
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	6	$444	3,970	0	+3,970	No	-$444	01-18 04:16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$430	1,000	0	+1,000	Boston Red Sox	-$430	05-08 23:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$407	700	0	+700	Yes	-$407	01-09 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:31:13	Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x979190…
10-13 07:45:59	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x805802…
10-13 06:50:16	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xaea86d…
10-11 10:50:57	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	39¢	$6	0x5b22c6…
10-11 10:20:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x34f13f…
10-11 07:43:39	Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	488	11¢	$54	0x07f093…
10-10 12:24:55	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	144	39¢	$56	0x5191a5…
10-10 12:01:52	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4ade00…
10-10 12:01:52	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x24a8b6…
10-10 12:01:52	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x17608a…
10-10 12:01:49	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4251e0…
10-10 12:01:04	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x24846a…
10-10 12:01:04	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1c79c4…
10-10 12:01:01	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xbb2775…
10-10 11:59:12	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe5a884…
10-10 11:57:25	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x53d141…
10-10 11:57:22	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x2154b6…
10-10 11:55:43	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7872cb…
10-10 11:52:19	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd4c98f…
10-10 11:52:19	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9228b5…
10-10 11:52:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7961e3…
10-10 11:52:13	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1d5cab…
10-10 11:51:19	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7f6b51…
10-10 11:51:19	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0de999…
10-10 11:50:34	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xbd30ad…
10-10 11:50:34	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x87c993…
10-10 11:50:34	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0e4069…
10-10 11:47:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x81ba15…
10-10 11:47:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x116c94…
10-10 11:44:28	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x3c9dbf…
10-10 11:43:28	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x4c7084…
10-10 11:43:24	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdcf6b4…
10-10 11:40:43	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9c20cd…
10-10 11:40:40	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xc5ccb0…
10-10 11:40:39	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xda84fc…
10-10 11:31:48	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xf6a4e9…
10-10 11:29:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9b0250…
10-10 11:29:15	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xac44c0…
10-10 11:29:15	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x368e9d…
10-10 11:29:09	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7e1e46…
10-10 11:28:31	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9c8fc1…
10-10 11:28:24	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7bd095…
10-10 11:28:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x7453e8…
10-10 11:07:55	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	328	39¢	$128	0x018209…
10-10 11:04:00	Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x66a754…
10-09 03:54:41	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2,550	4¢	$112	0x7eb99a…
10-09 03:54:23	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	2,200	8¢	$166	0x347f54…
06-19 06:01:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0xa01c53…
06-19 01:24:55	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,802	12¢	$439	0xb83eb1…
06-18 10:25:53	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	85	25¢	$21	0x7c6287…
06-18 10:25:37	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	183	25¢	$46	0xbd4cdb…
06-18 10:25:29	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	1,372	25¢	$343	0x4a3804…
06-18 10:25:08	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xd08339…
06-18 10:25:08	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xcb9eb4…
06-18 10:25:04	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xa83453…
06-17 18:04:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x3acd8e…
06-16 01:28:43	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	180	26¢	$47	0xbd0c55…
06-13 08:51:24	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7f3d8d…
06-11 23:32:46	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	SELL	787	14¢	$110	0xdca29f…
06-05 18:01:28	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$13	0x9e9833…
05-18 02:35:17	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x33488b…
05-17 21:29:30	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xab4b3d…
05-17 20:19:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x1e5eda…
05-17 18:24:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0xdbc17d…
05-17 17:55:42	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa700b9…
05-17 17:24:02	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	15¢	$41	0xf432e9…
05-17 16:05:31	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x6ae5cc…
05-17 15:29:07	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0xaa3e98…
05-17 14:42:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xc22fed…
05-17 13:59:12	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	871	10¢	$87	0x8c1b0a…
05-17 09:09:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	15¢	$63	0xb33064…
05-17 02:36:01	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3357dc…
05-17 02:20:23	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xce0595…
05-16 22:51:28	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	15¢	$28	0x5d8c5b…
05-16 22:47:00	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x83c1f5…
05-16 19:29:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x157b0d…
05-16 17:14:58	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	129	10¢	$13	0x38f687…
05-16 14:19:41	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x380152…
05-16 12:46:19	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xcade1b…
05-16 11:32:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x399a98…
05-16 10:58:40	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x7cebf6…
05-16 09:50:37	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0x6c2d2a…
05-16 09:01:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x85866c…
05-16 08:56:50	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x73ca44…
05-16 08:16:33	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4c210d…
05-16 07:44:56	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xec7e63…
05-16 04:07:51	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6cb08d…
05-16 04:03:22	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x9afe3c…
05-16 03:48:10	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x7a5d17…
05-16 03:02:24	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	561	2¢	$9	0xbb6cb2…
05-16 03:02:15	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,575	1¢	$16	0x9e42a4…
05-16 03:02:00	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x22c978…
05-13 19:05:40	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	378	6¢	$21	0xf1525c…
05-08 23:44:08	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0xa649bd…
05-08 23:28:07	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x7721a3…
05-08 23:27:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x46f2f9…
05-08 23:26:24	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x84a82a…
05-08 23:26:22	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb379f7…
05-08 23:13:35	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	622	6¢	$34	0x4c0624…
05-08 23:09:11	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	19¢	$285	0x4522e4…