Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-10 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

47% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-20	$-2	30¢	$-6	$-3	06-15 07:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	15	$1.6K	820	820	-0	open	—	03-07 05:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$564	300	300	+0	open	—	04-25 10:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$559	370	370	+0	open	—	04-24 09:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$525	330	330	+0	open	—	04-15 15:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$493	320	320	+0	open	—	04-12 06:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$433	530	530	+0	open	—	02-27 14:40
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	3	$394	210	210	+0	open	—	04-09 15:44
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	12	$327	380	250	+130	open	—	04-28 08:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$309	170	170	+0	open	—	07-01 09:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$307	160	160	+0	open	—	07-10 11:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	05-22 02:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$296	150	150	+0	open	—	06-09 23:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$273	180	180	+0	open	—	05-07 14:26
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	2	$229	240	0	+240	open	—	04-11 14:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$204	210	0	+210	open	—	03-28 16:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$174	220	56	+164	open	—	05-07 13:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	05-12 16:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$115	230	200	+30	open	—	03-30 14:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 17:46
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$27	38	0	+38	open	—	04-28 07:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-07 14:32
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 02:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-08 04:08
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 14:12
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 06:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$2	0	20	-20	open	—	06-15 07:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$0	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 11:42:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	160	96¢	$154	0xa6e01d…
07-06 07:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	160	96¢	$154	0x5f7e9e…
07-01 09:51:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	170	92¢	$156	0x4ff458…
06-23 21:38:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0x4f4636…
06-15 07:04:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcfd195…
06-09 23:16:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x80e12d…
06-03 21:43:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x2e2098…
05-22 02:11:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xa02e48…
05-17 11:30:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x528f73…
05-17 10:32:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x07b103…
05-12 16:44:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x23a7d5…
05-08 04:08:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb4dc75…
05-07 14:32:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1898cf…
05-07 14:26:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	112	76¢	$84	0x4380e9…
05-07 14:25:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xf938ad…
05-07 14:24:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x56624f…
05-07 14:01:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	180	76¢	$138	0xc98a91…
05-07 13:53:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	48	64¢	$31	0x4e70dc…
05-07 13:53:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x4391eb…
05-07 13:48:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	220	63¢	$139	0xc238bf…
05-06 14:21:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x276acd…
04-28 08:26:04	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x648338…
04-28 08:15:10	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xb25181…
04-28 08:06:32	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xdfec9a…
04-28 07:56:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x6e2cbe…
04-28 07:55:12	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0xf87138…
04-28 06:31:46	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x246baa…
04-28 06:30:46	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	52	26¢	$13	0xf135eb…
04-28 06:30:42	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x4a3d4e…
04-28 06:27:52	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3fe8e1…
04-26 08:51:30	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x982af8…
04-26 08:45:50	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa08501…
04-26 08:42:52	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	126	74¢	$93	0xeb1525…
04-26 08:37:14	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xa4da94…
04-26 08:37:14	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0x7576cc…
04-26 08:22:16	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	156	74¢	$115	0x69b155…
04-25 10:51:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x183a04…
04-24 11:10:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x18481f…
04-24 09:48:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	370	77¢	$285	0x34c76b…
04-24 09:23:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	370	74¢	$274	0x8ca550…
04-15 15:15:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	330	82¢	$271	0x1f9a8c…
04-14 14:32:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	330	77¢	$254	0x53218d…
04-13 17:46:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbb4eb9…
04-12 15:06:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1f4fc9…
04-12 07:45:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xdc57de…
04-12 07:45:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xa0f47a…
04-12 06:22:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	320	78¢	$250	0xf77e21…
04-12 06:20:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	320	76¢	$243	0x9512f2…
04-11 14:46:49	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	Yes	BUY	193	95¢	$184	0x5c1640…
04-11 13:56:35	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xd6fd08…
04-09 15:44:55	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	90¢	$190	0xfb1004…
04-04 06:35:15	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0xfffc46…
04-04 00:28:55	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x6b3bfe…
03-30 14:37:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xee84f3…
03-30 14:37:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdb852d…
03-28 16:10:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xbd4211…
03-27 16:33:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0d416c…
03-27 15:26:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9ce0bf…
03-27 15:26:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x748c9f…
03-16 14:12:37	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x108786…
03-16 02:51:01	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c0937…
03-15 23:21:47	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xf6032e…
03-10 15:35:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xce6797…
03-10 15:35:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xfb6871…
03-10 15:35:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	177	19¢	$34	0x235b36…
03-10 15:30:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xabc21d…
03-07 05:08:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	175	98¢	$171	0xcec936…
03-07 04:54:19	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x37f71a…
03-06 17:33:23	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x11d46e…
03-06 17:29:45	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x086c31…
03-06 17:27:03	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9810ea…
03-06 17:26:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x72ca1c…
03-06 17:26:43	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc00747…
03-06 17:26:13	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7d209b…
03-06 17:13:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x43edae…
03-05 09:47:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	240	98¢	$235	0xc2e20f…
03-05 04:08:47	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x92b337…
03-03 04:45:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	240	98¢	$235	0x794a78…
03-03 00:19:37	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0xf9b5ff…
03-02 16:37:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x56a774…
03-02 15:11:33	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2336c4…
03-02 10:03:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x51f737…
03-01 08:25:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc8eb1c…
02-27 14:40:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x572021…
02-27 14:40:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	330	24¢	$79	0x6b42de…
02-27 10:16:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x7f5c3d…
02-27 08:59:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	330	6¢	$20	0xd8a782…