Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$8.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-14 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

86% 95% +$94

Tech

5% 100% +$3

Sports

5% 83% -$35

Politics

4% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No		+100	$87	82¢	$82	-$5	10-14 10:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$1.0K	638	638	+0	Yes	-$7	07-14 12:44
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$726	368	368	+0	No	+$3	03-04 14:02
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	4	$589	310	310	+0	No	+$12	01-16 05:51
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	9	$527	269	269	+0	No	+$6	01-08 15:40
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	7	$448	227	227	+0	No	+$2	01-04 16:16
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	2	$358	180	180	+0	No	+$2	03-06 17:20
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	5	$333	180	180	+0	No	+$9	01-29 07:45
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	6	$321	175	175	+0	No	+$5	01-19 12:08
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	6	$297	150	150	+0	No	+$3	01-17 11:37
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	4	$272	140	140	+0	No	+$3	01-13 06:22
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	5	$267	140	140	+0	No	+$1	01-14 13:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$257	150	150	+0	No	+$33	06-06 05:39
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	2	$256	130	130	+0	No	+$3	01-07 17:16
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	2	$253	130	130	+0	No	+$2	01-07 07:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$246	124	124	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 15:09
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	2	$237	121	121	+0	No	+$4	01-06 05:35
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 520 539	2	$224	114	114	+0	No	+$4	01-02 15:40
nba bos sac 2026 01 01	2	$219	110	110	+0	Celtics	+$1	01-02 05:50
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	4	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$2	09-07 12:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$170	200	0	+200	Yes	+$30	02-07 13:55
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$168	170	0	+170	No	+$2	02-02 14:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	08-15 10:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$124	126	0	+126	No	+$2	04-20 07:45
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	4	$120	128	0	+128	No	+$8	01-06 07:36
nba por sas 2026 04 19	2	$100	100	0	+100	Spurs	+$0	04-20 03:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	10-14 10:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$70	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 10:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	0	200	-200	No	+$20	06-20 03:29
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18	0	100	-100	No	+$18	06-20 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 10:37:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xe2d7bb…
09-07 12:29:48	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x351125…
08-26 18:03:04	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x9e007b…
08-26 17:08:31	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66ffe8…
08-26 12:05:40	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6188f8…
08-15 10:48:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x6e202e…
08-10 13:54:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xce00c0…
07-14 12:44:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	93¢	$87	0x40f912…
07-14 12:44:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x0da7eb…
07-14 12:44:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0xf784f9…
07-06 11:22:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x4d1da8…
07-06 04:25:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x716d06…
06-24 13:53:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x840cea…
06-21 22:22:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x6fa259…
06-20 17:58:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	190	77¢	$146	0x4a9c02…
06-20 16:59:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	77¢	$37	0xcaeb59…
06-20 03:29:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0xfb45f5…
06-20 03:29:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x1decf6…
06-20 03:29:17	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x5cace4…
06-20 03:29:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xcfb558…
06-20 03:28:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x300b4f…
06-18 10:08:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0x7339cd…
06-17 13:14:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xad8742…
06-13 10:54:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x7c5b46…
06-12 02:32:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb4479d…
06-11 17:47:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe0ab47…
06-11 17:30:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb9566e…
06-06 05:39:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7a6ad9…
06-04 23:33:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x843877…
06-01 04:12:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x024169…
05-28 14:16:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x4c8f97…
05-28 14:13:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc8d4ac…
05-28 09:16:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x769fca…
05-28 08:23:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x5bd080…
05-22 15:17:13	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x29b172…
04-20 07:45:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x5c498a…
04-20 03:15:42	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xaf2ebc…
04-20 03:15:40	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7fd4b2…
03-25 15:09:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xa16e9c…
03-17 07:09:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0x822675…
03-06 17:20:55	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xc5a391…
03-06 05:51:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xa54949…
03-04 14:02:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	131	99¢	$129	0x7f4517…
03-04 13:50:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x96ff3c…
03-04 04:26:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0x4ffc37…
02-27 07:29:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x316b86…
02-27 07:23:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xb9c206…
02-23 13:11:36	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xc3eac4…
02-07 13:55:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x48506b…
02-02 14:02:36	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x5f6956…
01-29 07:45:00	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0x62400d…
01-29 07:44:56	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x9c5347…
01-29 07:44:46	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xfb286a…
01-29 07:44:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x6be494…
01-28 21:51:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	No	BUY	180	90¢	$162	0x6232d8…
01-19 12:08:56	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	SELL	175	93¢	$163	0x83db56…
01-19 08:27:54	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	81	90¢	$73	0x51623c…
01-19 08:27:04	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x043075…
01-19 08:24:18	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xbbafe7…
01-19 08:20:22	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xf94a66…
01-19 08:20:22	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x5726ff…
01-17 11:37:14	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x9b597d…
01-17 11:37:12	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bc124…
01-17 11:34:32	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x5afc23…
01-16 11:08:56	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xe89ad2…
01-16 10:28:24	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8cdf24…
01-16 10:26:40	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x0be010…
01-16 05:51:14	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	No	SELL	160	97¢	$155	0x5798a8…
01-15 17:10:12	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	No	BUY	160	92¢	$147	0xb7ebaa…
01-15 09:01:50	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	No	SELL	150	97¢	$146	0xbf61d4…
01-15 08:30:56	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 480 499	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x7c2a16…
01-14 13:24:24	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	SELL	114	96¢	$109	0x116729…
01-14 12:16:10	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x9abdeb…
01-14 12:15:12	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x89a755…
01-14 12:14:28	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xac15cd…
01-13 15:14:41	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x66d903…
01-13 06:22:43	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xfba032…
01-13 06:22:23	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x889863…
01-13 06:22:19	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xba1e1f…
01-12 07:29:40	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x47f552…
01-08 15:40:48	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x0fe395…
01-08 09:34:49	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x97a4b5…
01-08 08:54:59	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xd1a553…
01-08 08:53:07	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0xc38656…
01-08 08:52:59	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x9d526d…
01-08 08:52:27	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf41177…
01-08 08:52:21	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xb77e2c…
01-08 06:07:57	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x359a62…
01-08 05:46:15	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 440 459	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb85350…
01-07 17:16:13	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x132027…
01-07 09:25:41	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	BUY	130	97¢	$127	0x6e39f3…
01-07 07:24:23	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0xd48f5d…
01-07 05:18:43	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x189a10…
01-06 07:36:37	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x942c07…
01-06 07:36:37	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x23d70a…
01-06 07:36:03	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x5963b9…
01-06 07:22:03	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x66ee3f…
01-06 05:35:05	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xd83bd7…
01-05 01:48:37	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0x8fb3ae…
01-04 16:16:49	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x41a47e…