Starry-Fisherman-Spaghetti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$257

Unrealized P&L

-$262

Hit rate

15.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$138

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 09-17 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

56% 29% +$1,306

Sports

22% 0% -$623

Politics

14% 0% -$216

Crypto

8% 0% -$210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+1,776	$200	4¢	$74	-$126	09-17 22:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+370	$100	16¢	$57	-$43	05-12 00:13
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+4,378	$100	0¢	$7	-$93	05-12 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$208	769	769	+0	open	—	05-20 01:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$200	05-12 00:57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$200	1,776	0	+1,776	open	—	09-17 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$200	1,719	0	+1,719	Down	-$200	05-12 17:49
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	4,346	0	+4,346	No	-$200	06-30 03:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$194	385	385	+0	No	-$6	05-20 16:32
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$173	5,406	0	+5,406	No	-$173	07-05 02:15
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$150	1,326	0	+1,326	Yes	+$1,176	06-29 23:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$100	556	0	+556	No	-$100	09-11 20:03
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$100	6,715	0	+6,715	open	—	05-12 00:14
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	4,167	0	+4,167	No	-$100	07-01 22:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	05-12 00:13
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$100	4,378	0	+4,378	open	—	05-12 00:13
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$100	482	0	+482	No	-$100	07-05 02:12
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	1	$90	476	0	+476	Yes	+$386	06-25 16:54
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	2	$78	416	0	+416	No	-$78	06-26 03:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$50	1,270	0	+1,270	Yes	-$50	05-20 20:09
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$50	07-04 21:10
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	1	$50	200	0	+200	Yes	+$150	06-26 03:37
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	1	$50	333	0	+333	No	-$50	07-04 21:10
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	1	$50	179	0	+179	No	-$50	06-29 23:57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$50	1,064	0	+1,064	No	-$50	06-29 23:58
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	862	0	+862	No	-$50	07-01 22:48
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	1	$50	417	0	+417	No	-$50	06-26 03:35
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	1	$50	263	0	+263	No	-$50	06-29 23:57
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$50	217	0	+217	No	-$50	06-26 02:37
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$43	215	0	+215	Yes	+$172	06-29 18:49
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	2	$20	177	0	+177	Yes	-$10	05-12 00:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	36	0	+36	No	-$10	05-12 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 22:55:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x468e62…
09-11 20:03:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xd93f6c…
08-12 15:54:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x68d2cb…
07-05 02:15:02	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,406	3¢	$173	0x6a66ef…
07-05 02:12:53	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	482	21¢	$100	0x0954dc…
07-04 21:10:38	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x5823a3…
07-04 21:10:31	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x199870…
07-01 22:48:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	862	6¢	$50	0xca2d8b…
07-01 22:47:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0xcb6dc7…
06-30 03:00:16	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,592	4¢	$100	0x84c684…
06-29 23:58:47	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x59c82d…
06-29 23:58:40	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,064	5¢	$50	0x1e285c…
06-29 23:57:26	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x4ec2a1…
06-29 23:57:11	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x8c5df3…
06-29 18:49:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	215	20¢	$43	0x14f789…
06-28 14:09:43	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x794c7f…
06-26 03:37:31	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xabdfa7…
06-26 03:35:59	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xa4bf17…
06-26 03:33:16	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x4b1495…
06-26 02:39:47	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	104	27¢	$28	0x6cb3cd…
06-26 02:37:05	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x383e27…
06-25 16:54:28	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	476	19¢	$90	0xf570c9…
06-25 16:52:32	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,754	6¢	$100	0x82e54a…
05-20 20:09:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,270	4¢	$50	0x3d09de…
05-20 16:32:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	24¢	$94	0x2be1ed…
05-20 01:58:30	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	769	14¢	$108	0x8591e0…
05-12 17:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,552	6¢	$100	0xf527e6…
05-12 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2652b6…
05-12 12:38:05	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x8006eb…
05-12 00:57:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0xdc320c…
05-12 00:14:06	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,715	1¢	$100	0x4f17dc…
05-12 00:13:50	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,378	2¢	$100	0xc6e7c8…
05-12 00:13:08	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x18fef4…
05-12 00:11:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x22245c…
05-12 00:09:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8a755c…
05-12 00:07:57	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x5deb93…
05-12 00:05:32	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3183f7…