Realized P&L
-$1.90K
Unrealized P&L
+$842
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
121
Trades
830
lifetime
Volume
$195.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$8.37K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-29 13:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
66% 80% +$323
Other
30% 74% +$1,225
Crypto
2% 0% -$2,471
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
1% 50% -$820
Sports
0% 33% -$160
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,775 88¢ $1.8K -$5 10-28 21:21
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +1,000 $940 96¢ $955 +$15 10-25 13:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $741 78¢ $775 +$34 10-25 16:50
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +1,000 $735 74¢ $740 +$5 10-29 13:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +750 $578 92¢ $694 +$115 10-28 21:22
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +500 $435 98¢ $492 +$58 10-19 19:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $435 98¢ $488 +$52 10-13 15:29
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +460 $396 99¢ $455 +$59 09-30 09:34
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +465 $103 92¢ $428 +$325 10-19 19:54
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +400 $305 98¢ $394 +$89 10-23 11:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +500 $397 78¢ $392 -$4 10-28 17:45
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +750 $600 48¢ $364 -$236 10-25 11:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +300 $253 88¢ $264 +$11 10-28 17:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -500 -$190 17¢ $-86 +$105 09-23 14:33
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +50 $40 100¢ $50 +$9 10-08 12:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 10-28 17:44
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $13 93¢ $9 -$3 10-26 21:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4 -$140 98¢ $3 +$144 10-23 09:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$70 100¢ $0 +$70 10-17 08:36