Probable-Plum — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

19

Trades

35

lifetime

Volume

$260

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	-15	$-16	99¢	$-15	+$1	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+10	$8	100¢	$10	+$2	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	+5	$5	82¢	$4	$-1	05-05 15:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$32	10	25	-15	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$22	5	20	-15	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-04 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-05 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$3	0	25	-25	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$2	0	10	-10	Up	+$2	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	0	10	-10	Up	+$2	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	0	10	-10	Up	+$1	05-05 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb1fc13…
05-05 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3415b2…
05-05 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x4a73db…
05-05 15:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1b782f…
05-05 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1afd9a…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xbd2ca7…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x56a29c…
05-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9304cb…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xe6aecf…
05-05 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x527753…
05-05 15:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdeb607…
05-05 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x91a2c2…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x92fcc9…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf9d997…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x01899b…
05-05 06:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3a6bef…
05-05 03:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xfdac62…
05-05 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x515f38…
05-05 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x01ec0a…
05-05 01:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6a3826…
05-05 01:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22b926…
05-05 00:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbb98b2…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd1a4cd…
05-05 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x966643…
05-04 23:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x69408b…
05-04 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf0b552…
05-04 23:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x68051f…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x791301…
05-04 22:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe499f9…
05-04 22:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0cd588…
05-04 22:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8ff284…
05-04 21:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x364be8…
05-04 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1e35ea…
05-04 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7d6f46…
05-04 20:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeef470…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$5.09K	122	05-05 16:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$3.88K	118	05-05 16:27
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	17	$663	49	05-05 16:27
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	16	$2.12K	29	05-05 15:57
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$1.01K	97	05-05 16:27
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$658	49	05-05 16:27
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	14	$1.04K	167	05-05 15:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$814	76	05-05 15:59

Vike AI

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