Scary-Export — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

1,881

Trades

2,142

lifetime

Volume

$7.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-09 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% -$56

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+11	$3	18¢	$2	-$1	07-21 06:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$8	04-27 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	04-29 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-28 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-28 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-01 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-29 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-27 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-29 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-01 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	04-28 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-28 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-28 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-01 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$8	04-27 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-28 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-01 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-27 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:35 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-23 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:45 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	-$5	04-23 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-30 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	04-30 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-27 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-28 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-30 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	04-29 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	04-29 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-27 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	04-26 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	04-27 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 13:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x57f820…
09-09 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x803e16…
09-09 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x151160…
09-09 12:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0dae6e…
09-09 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xda0cff…
09-09 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1eaff7…
09-09 04:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xb5993f…
09-08 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x6a8796…
09-08 12:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x025a88…
09-08 12:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb77c10…
09-08 08:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x754321…
09-08 05:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0181e2…
09-08 05:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xf1bd09…
09-07 15:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x15df7b…
09-07 05:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xae2890…
09-07 02:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x07a96b…
09-07 00:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x88cca1…
09-06 23:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe18b38…
09-05 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbc8cf3…
09-04 21:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf20f08…
09-04 21:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0ce35a…
09-04 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf613f0…
09-04 16:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x65c688…
09-04 16:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x65265a…
09-04 15:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x33c877…
09-04 15:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb61b73…
09-04 03:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf4aa41…
09-03 15:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x28bf55…
09-03 14:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x36248e…
09-03 14:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x13576b…
09-03 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x0d4308…
09-03 07:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9ecb0e…
09-03 02:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xcb4a97…
09-02 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1837fe…
09-02 18:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xbab937…
09-02 16:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x447a5d…
09-02 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbc00e9…
09-02 15:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xdb49c2…
09-02 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x6ecfc0…
09-02 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe41063…
09-02 15:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x9338fe…
09-02 14:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x95e3f0…
09-02 14:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x895f8b…
09-02 14:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xbe28d7…
09-02 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x51d52c…
09-02 13:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x29fbde…
09-02 13:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbfa722…
09-02 12:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xba14a3…
09-02 11:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe29662…
09-02 11:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x1ea55a…
09-02 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x24a01d…
09-01 19:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x991ee6…
09-01 16:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x1068de…
09-01 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf55964…
09-01 13:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xef21b3…
09-01 09:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa82c5a…
08-31 20:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x6f193f…
08-31 20:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x66a8ed…
08-31 15:30:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x19e072…
08-31 15:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x20bb92…
08-31 15:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x9281de…
08-31 14:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xdde563…
08-31 14:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd82695…
08-31 14:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9be9f9…
08-31 14:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x10fa50…
08-31 14:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x178cd2…
08-31 14:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x977747…
08-31 13:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5a21c3…
08-31 13:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7e158c…
08-31 13:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x85fbe5…
08-31 12:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xacfbec…
08-31 12:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb12de9…
08-31 12:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x8cb5b6…
08-30 23:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x098f3b…
08-30 23:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0d9af4…
08-30 23:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1a7cba…
08-30 23:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xbfef8f…
08-30 23:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x22d412…
08-30 23:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xb4b499…
08-30 23:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7270ce…
08-30 22:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5b3a31…
08-30 21:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa4880a…
08-30 20:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x735247…
08-30 16:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xdfd357…
08-30 16:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcfd375…
08-30 13:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x31c460…
08-28 20:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x894943…
08-28 16:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2147dc…
08-28 16:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xe31d15…
08-28 16:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x848018…
08-28 16:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xc9fd8e…
08-28 15:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x8183c8…
08-28 14:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7db4eb…
08-28 14:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xba500b…
08-28 14:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5f3541…
08-28 14:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7608d4…
08-28 14:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xa91a13…
08-28 13:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xf2bfd5…
08-28 12:21:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x088f88…
08-28 11:26:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbdaba9…