Smooth-Abrogation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

17 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$49

$61 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$11	35	+35	Up	+$24	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$8	42	+42	Up	$-8	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$7	31	+31	Up	+$24	05-06 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$7	26	+26	Up	$-7	05-06 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$6	71	+71	open	—	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$6	65	+65	Up	$-6	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$3	18	+18	Down	$-3	05-06 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$3	19	+19	Up	+$15	05-06 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$3	16	+16	Down	$-3	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$3	18	+18	Up	$-3	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$3	22	+22	Down	$-3	05-05 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0x74bec2…
05-06 05:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0xb53463…
05-06 05:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xa0d6b6…
05-06 05:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xa6faa5…
05-06 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x9088a6…
05-06 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x969a98…
05-06 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x3eb282…
05-06 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x77d876…
05-06 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xb5eb4d…
05-06 01:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x1575aa…
05-06 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xc80ee2…
05-06 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x29a785…
05-05 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x49fae0…
05-05 07:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xf2693a…
05-05 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc9bc9f…
05-04 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xa48d3b…
05-04 20:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xcc6c11…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.73K	111	05-06 06:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$1.69K	81	05-06 06:40
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.53K	33	05-06 06:44
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$1.71K	145	05-06 06:44
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	9	$1.33K	31	05-06 06:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$1.08K	96	05-06 06:44
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	9	$646	25	05-06 06:44
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	8	$1.58K	281	05-06 06:44