Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,353

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 04-06 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

87% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-17

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	40	$3.9K	4,334	1,976	+2,358	open	—	02-16 23:10
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	63	$3.6K	7,647	7,647	+0	open	—	02-14 12:46
will israel strike gaza on february 26 2026	18	$3.4K	4,645	0	+4,645	open	—	02-26 16:10
will israel strike gaza on february 23 2026	13	$2.0K	1,351	1,347	+4	open	—	02-26 14:15
will israel strike gaza on february 27 2026	16	$1.5K	1,897	1,353	+545	open	—	02-27 10:57
will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	17	$1.3K	959	959	+0	open	—	03-01 23:47
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	770	770	+0	open	—	02-26 14:49
will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	29	$1.3K	1,479	359	+1,120	open	—	02-19 07:06
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	20	$1.2K	1,159	1,055	+104	open	—	02-09 21:59
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	10	$1.2K	2,811	2,811	+0	open	—	02-26 05:53
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	25	$1.2K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	02-08 17:30
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	11	$1.1K	926	926	+0	open	—	01-30 12:25
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	22	$1.1K	870	870	+0	open	—	02-02 14:31
will israel strike gaza on february 5 2026	9	$1.0K	811	811	+0	open	—	02-05 17:57
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	12	$983	924	984	-60	open	—	02-05 12:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$946	861	861	+0	open	—	02-22 09:56
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	20	$919	1,464	1,464	+0	open	—	02-08 08:06
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	20	$919	2,578	56	+2,522	open	—	03-08 22:50
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	11	$894	639	639	+0	open	—	02-03 15:38
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	18	$802	1,189	1,306	-117	open	—	02-04 20:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 24 2026	6	$783	486	486	+0	open	—	02-26 13:13
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	38	$779	946	241	+705	open	—	03-13 12:40
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	10	$708	909	909	+0	open	—	01-29 22:33
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	17	$630	1,355	1,355	+0	open	—	02-07 22:23
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	9	$621	744	0	+744	open	—	02-01 11:39
will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	14	$617	499	499	+0	open	—	02-19 06:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$595	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-01 11:07
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$579	510	510	+0	open	—	03-09 22:55
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	7	$578	417	197	+219	open	—	03-02 00:48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$529	35,284	4,963	+30,321	open	—	03-13 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-06 16:29:03	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x8e24bc…
04-06 16:25:29	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x29996d…
04-06 16:25:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	43¢	$28	0xd38ed2…
04-06 16:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x70c22e…
04-06 15:38:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	257	26¢	$67	0x82d203…
04-01 11:19:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0xc24f72…
04-01 11:18:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa5218b…
04-01 11:17:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3996a6…
04-01 11:17:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x08475c…
04-01 11:17:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc1f732…
04-01 11:13:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x94a13c…
04-01 11:07:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x713d29…
04-01 11:07:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	234	26¢	$61	0x02b5c9…
04-01 11:05:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6e73ac…
04-01 11:05:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	113	32¢	$36	0x4b1222…
04-01 10:00:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x1867ff…
04-01 10:00:27	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	142	23¢	$33	0xa4d53a…
03-31 11:32:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0xf15bb8…
03-30 03:00:38	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xe76397…
03-29 20:04:46	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9acb1c…
03-29 19:54:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x0eab46…
03-29 19:52:36	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0xde9eb0…
03-29 07:17:30	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x1f81ff…
03-27 15:03:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x842374…
03-27 14:59:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x96edbe…
03-27 14:58:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	33¢	$15	0x1e09d2…
03-27 14:57:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x2e2292…
03-25 19:08:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x806290…
03-24 15:29:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x268b2c…
03-23 21:13:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	36	63¢	$22	0x2f2255…
03-23 21:12:57	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$22	0x920fc2…
03-23 21:07:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	153	62¢	$95	0x40f1f3…
03-23 21:07:17	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	435	22¢	$96	0xf0761a…
03-23 21:05:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x2d75a6…
03-23 21:04:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	119	62¢	$74	0x03bfbd…
03-23 21:04:37	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	187	40¢	$75	0xc26ef4…
03-23 20:22:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x75f34c…
03-23 16:55:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x613f94…
03-23 16:41:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfeaead…
03-23 16:31:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3be5d7…
03-23 16:29:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x9b0763…
03-23 16:13:27	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	192	12¢	$23	0x3ae27f…
03-23 16:13:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0xfcb7e3…
03-22 02:58:39	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf229f7…
03-19 12:26:25	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9c43db…
03-19 05:51:59	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x9e78c4…
03-19 02:28:05	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc3f0f6…
03-16 22:04:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x1f23e3…
03-16 15:05:05	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa5c84b…
03-16 14:59:19	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	192	12¢	$23	0x11629d…
03-16 14:59:05	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x6f68bb…
03-16 14:58:51	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x531363…
03-16 14:54:53	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xce650f…
03-16 14:54:15	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xdb0d59…
03-16 14:52:17	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x78d7ec…
03-16 14:46:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	BUY	145	38¢	$55	0xcac9ad…
03-16 14:44:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x04297e…
03-16 14:43:27	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x82131c…
03-13 12:40:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x9b5867…
03-13 12:40:17	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xa157c9…
03-10 20:20:19	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	106	75¢	$80	0xcfb7ef…
03-10 20:20:01	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	117	68¢	$80	0x5955c0…
03-10 14:48:03	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdc6097…
03-10 13:02:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	13,333	0¢	$40	0x22db73…
03-10 13:02:43	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0x024fd4…
03-10 12:41:51	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc9e6b4…
03-10 12:39:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	734	1¢	$10	0xd005d4…
03-10 11:02:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5,484	2¢	$110	0x050191…
03-10 11:02:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	4,770	2¢	$91	0x2b68c5…
03-10 11:01:37	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xc8e2b2…
03-10 10:53:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0x353c02…
03-10 10:53:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	166	27¢	$45	0x71a192…
03-10 09:08:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,589	3¢	$40	0x4a555d…
03-10 09:07:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	82	70¢	$57	0xd6f8d7…
03-10 07:51:25	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xf103c7…
03-10 07:49:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x00f569…
03-10 07:47:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x86c427…
03-10 07:42:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x338270…
03-10 07:40:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc95fc0…
03-10 07:39:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x7e9764…
03-10 07:39:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,524	3¢	$46	0xe03d7a…
03-10 07:34:29	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0x447367…
03-09 23:46:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0xa43338…
03-09 23:14:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,345	4¢	$50	0x848e7a…
03-09 22:55:39	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	78	78¢	$61	0xfce88c…
03-09 22:47:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x511059…
03-09 22:47:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xc16401…
03-09 21:54:55	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd4e8af…
03-09 21:23:13	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x91be30…
03-09 19:13:41	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x35f829…
03-09 19:12:53	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf59027…
03-09 19:12:39	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x171777…
03-09 19:12:29	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa17a70…
03-09 19:12:13	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3f16ba…
03-09 18:13:27	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x45bbe6…
03-09 18:13:11	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x4a3f80…
03-09 15:04:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	293	32¢	$94	0xf7bdb1…
03-09 13:43:41	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x445b0c…
03-09 13:39:47	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x134907…
03-09 13:39:27	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x44cf58…