Nervous-Tremor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$77

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved (90d)

2,380

Trades (90d)

4,648

6,734 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$28.7K

$56.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-05 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

100% 90% -$23

Politics

0% 75% -$8

Crypto

0% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$20

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-2	-$1	12¢	$-0	+$1	05-28 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?	5	$210	494	492	+2	Yes	+$10	07-15 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 14?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	07-14 01:12
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	13	$195	220	220	+0	No change	-$30	09-30 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 22?	4	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	06-22 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?	2	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	06-21 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12?	4	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	06-12 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 27?	5	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	06-27 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-29 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?	6	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-28 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 24?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-24 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	3	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-12 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?	9	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-28 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 23?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-23 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 23?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$5	06-23 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 21?	3	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-21 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?	3	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-24 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 30?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-30 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 27?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-27 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 23?	4	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-23 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-13 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-26 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-25 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 27?	3	$74	39	39	-0	No	+$4	06-27 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-25 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	3	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	06-12 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 25?	4	$74	39	39	-0	No	+$4	06-25 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 24?	3	$74	39	39	-0	No	+$4	06-24 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?	4	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	06-23 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?	5	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	06-26 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 25?	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	06-25 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:00:05	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x474243…
10-05 10:51:14	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x43c0f6…
10-05 06:57:13	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x1e0448…
10-05 06:22:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0363b8…
10-05 05:53:19	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa83f3a…
10-05 05:49:46	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3b3b86…
10-05 04:23:08	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x30987c…
10-05 04:21:28	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5ba840…
10-04 08:32:05	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xc7ba86…
10-04 06:10:10	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8114b4…
10-03 01:23:02	Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf09585…
10-02 01:34:14	will newt gingrich attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x48b462…
09-30 05:20:24	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	No change	SELL	80	57¢	$46	0x83001e…
09-29 20:07:50	Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x100ce0…
09-29 20:05:00	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	SELL	140	26¢	$37	0xc6f0b8…
09-29 19:04:18	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	No change	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xbbf715…
09-29 19:01:45	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5e6ebd…
09-29 19:01:38	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xda65e7…
09-29 18:57:57	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3bff95…
09-29 18:57:32	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x134636…
09-29 18:54:24	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x17c48a…
09-29 18:50:45	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x26ba2e…
09-29 18:45:20	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0b5953…
09-29 18:44:57	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x9c186b…
09-29 18:21:39	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbc5ae4…
09-29 18:21:33	no change or hike 25 bps favored on october 27	Hike 25 bps	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xedd5bd…
09-29 17:19:33	will gpt sol output price be 20 or above in 2026	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x2127ac…
09-25 22:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd92972…
09-25 21:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf597a7…
09-25 21:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf082e1…
09-25 20:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe54a36…
09-25 19:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x88508e…
09-25 17:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6c6542…
09-25 17:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9a8be9…
09-25 16:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcfb615…
09-25 16:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x407d92…
09-25 13:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x402732…
09-25 12:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x74896c…
09-25 11:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1baefe…
09-25 10:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfc1143…
09-25 10:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d885e…
09-25 08:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x24ff9c…
09-25 08:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7a7d30…
09-25 08:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe300d1…
09-25 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x99d43f…
09-25 07:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa66723…
09-25 07:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x007524…
09-25 07:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x22ec35…
09-25 06:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf59510…
09-25 04:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd49c98…
09-25 04:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfaa529…
09-25 04:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa8c164…
09-25 01:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1d40bd…
09-25 00:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0bf43d…
09-25 00:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa56674…
09-25 00:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1527b3…
09-25 00:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x316c12…
09-24 23:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa209c3…
09-24 22:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c2144…
09-24 22:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb311f0…
09-24 21:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f98f7…
09-24 20:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf81cf0…
09-24 19:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe9ff18…
09-24 19:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xee030c…
09-24 19:01:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x878ebd…
09-24 18:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfdf6cd…
09-24 16:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5a9b81…
09-24 16:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on September 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x893221…
09-24 15:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55a658…
09-24 15:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd97afd…
09-24 15:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x07da19…
09-24 14:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfff1ad…
09-24 14:36:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x57a0d2…
09-24 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3dd55b…
09-24 14:25:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7eb504…
09-24 14:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xff20ba…
09-24 13:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x682e7b…
09-24 13:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcf9c27…
09-24 12:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd3dab9…
09-24 11:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x997a68…
09-24 10:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d6e92…
09-24 09:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x33f86f…
09-24 09:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa78c0f…
09-24 09:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x30dccf…
09-24 09:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7b8046…
09-24 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x362c7f…
09-24 08:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2971fd…
09-24 08:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x92198a…
09-24 08:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaf378b…
09-24 07:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5a371f…
09-24 07:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf3a324…
09-24 07:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x134144…
09-24 06:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe322e7…
09-24 06:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4775c3…
09-24 06:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc9bb7a…
09-24 06:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xda2c7c…
09-24 05:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xfa9399…
09-24 05:35:38	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xadd337…
09-24 05:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb9f384…
09-24 05:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x467ffb…