Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-27 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

30% — —

Politics

17% 67% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No		-10	$-9	94¢	$-9	$-0	06-27 20:02
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-9	$-8	94¢	$-8	$-0	06-22 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	4	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 05:56
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	3	$123	180	0	+180	open	—	03-29 07:51
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	2	$120	70	55	+15	open	—	03-24 09:42
bitcoin above 80k on march 27	4	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	03-24 05:56
bitcoin above 76k on march 31	3	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 01:51
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$68	70	0	+70	open	—	03-23 07:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 31	2	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	03-30 01:51
ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	7	$45	17	53	-36	open	—	03-14 05:24
tim walz charged by march 31	5	$45	17	41	-24	open	—	03-14 05:26
bitcoin above 80k on march 30	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	03-24 07:34
ethereum above 2200 on march 26	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	03-24 05:57
will russia enter borova by march 31	5	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	03-14 05:18
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	4	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	03-24 06:44
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	3	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	03-24 06:07
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	3	$29	9	33	-24	open	—	03-19 14:46
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	4	$29	9	33	-24	open	—	03-09 07:41
us strike on colombia by march 31	7	$29	8	32	-24	open	—	03-11 08:58
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$26	19	10	+8	open	—	03-05 13:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$26	18	9	+8	open	—	03-04 16:08
bitcoin above 76k on march 30	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	03-24 07:59
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$24	0	48	-48	open	—	03-14 05:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	03-01 02:40
bitcoin above 74k on march 30	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	03-24 07:57
ethereum above 2200 on march 23	1	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	03-20 03:30
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 00:29
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 13:54
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 18:39
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	3	$18	9	21	-12	open	—	03-10 14:29
will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-11 16:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-04 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 20:02:29	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x090395…
06-25 13:02:10	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf917b7…
06-25 12:58:07	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9161a5…
06-22 22:24:50	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x303f0d…
04-01 05:24:31	ethereum above 2100 on april 1	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5b6e97…
03-31 20:29:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x63c322…
03-31 18:15:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x408183…
03-31 17:18:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 1	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6f1b6e…
03-30 01:51:32	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x272f44…
03-30 01:51:16	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x2417d5…
03-29 07:51:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x9e0e57…
03-29 06:44:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xc97e73…
03-29 06:32:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xdbe07b…
03-25 11:29:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x24832a…
03-25 11:29:45	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xc72f3a…
03-25 08:36:35	bitcoin above 76k on march 31	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x1c2fa6…
03-24 09:42:05	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x044ed3…
03-24 07:59:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 30	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb761d5…
03-24 07:57:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 30	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x6ce3fd…
03-24 07:41:13	ethereum above 2300 on march 27	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x034fcf…
03-24 07:34:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 30	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xe347fe…
03-24 06:44:25	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xf14b98…
03-24 06:07:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x91917f…
03-24 05:57:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 26	No	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xd9e318…
03-24 05:56:57	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xda3def…
03-24 05:56:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x830598…
03-23 12:57:17	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x13d51a…
03-23 12:22:33	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x005f29…
03-23 11:18:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x60dbd4…
03-23 11:18:09	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x32258b…
03-23 11:17:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 27	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x71f12e…
03-23 11:17:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x51dc93…
03-23 11:12:55	ethereum above 2200 on march 26	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xab769e…
03-23 11:12:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 27	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x980c19…
03-23 11:12:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x673626…
03-23 07:26:17	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xeac129…
03-21 14:12:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xe7446a…
03-21 14:12:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0xcb49da…
03-21 13:08:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x45dfc0…
03-20 13:25:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 23	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf6f972…
03-20 03:30:53	ethereum above 2200 on march 23	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x1c4832…
03-19 14:46:43	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x0eb8b6…
03-19 08:02:17	Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x867de1…
03-18 14:55:47	us confirms havana syndromecausing device by march 31	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x0462b4…
03-15 15:34:09	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x1d330e…
03-15 01:48:29	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9fa35a…
03-14 16:04:57	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x39b4f6…
03-14 14:37:03	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd0f8a9…
03-14 14:27:25	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x20f8c1…
03-14 13:43:15	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x40f0bb…
03-14 09:20:19	will one battle after another win best original score at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3b71f9…
03-14 08:17:01	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x40c754…
03-14 07:36:51	will one battle after another win best original score at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xe36540…
03-14 07:17:39	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x2ae640…
03-14 06:51:45	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x54a49a…
03-14 06:46:45	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbe9aec…
03-14 06:38:27	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x912dc0…
03-14 06:27:31	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc1a755…
03-14 06:22:21	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x86d3ac…
03-14 05:33:55	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0x51a1b4…
03-14 05:27:57	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xd573ec…
03-14 05:27:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x63adb8…
03-14 05:26:29	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x7ed229…
03-14 05:24:55	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6743e9…
03-14 05:24:07	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x51b46b…
03-14 05:21:51	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x567548…
03-14 05:20:59	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe40a67…
03-14 05:18:21	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x073fa3…
03-14 05:11:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xfdec55…
03-14 05:11:23	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x467a35…
03-14 04:58:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xcaf6a5…
03-14 04:33:29	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x38d3ea…
03-13 07:07:33	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd24b82…
03-12 15:14:15	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87d7fa…
03-11 16:15:01	will the sp 500 index lose at least 5 on any day in q1	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfbacbc…
03-11 08:58:23	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6dc41f…
03-11 07:45:07	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5f6c4a…
03-11 02:15:37	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4d734…
03-10 16:17:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x17c3c9…
03-10 14:29:23	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x37d841…
03-10 14:03:41	Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdcf047…
03-10 08:46:07	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6f7745…
03-09 12:39:27	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	No	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0x37cc5b…
03-09 07:41:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x5bce96…
03-08 02:40:33	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x682fb6…
03-08 02:36:01	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x401be4…
03-07 19:12:59	will leonardo dicaprio attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x83dce6…
03-07 16:22:25	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x22fe3f…
03-07 12:38:17	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x8000db…
03-07 09:44:59	will maru reach 900m in q1	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x00996f…
03-07 05:10:27	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xec41d3…
03-07 03:33:39	will trump attend ufc 326	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xbb6ef8…
03-06 11:56:01	us strike on colombia by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x35913a…
03-06 10:39:41	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xf2a5a6…
03-06 09:39:27	tim walz charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x05be43…
03-06 04:52:41	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xd4f8f6…
03-06 04:39:13	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x32a1c2…
03-05 13:17:59	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6b43bb…
03-04 18:35:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0afad4…
03-04 16:08:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdafa45…