Faint-Towel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.7%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$9.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

36% 25% $-1

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	13	$538	418	418	+0	open	—	04-04 22:05
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	4	$309	160	160	+0	open	—	04-21 10:09
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	9	$306	412	412	+0	open	—	04-27 02:32
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	9	$304	304	304	+0	open	—	04-12 18:00
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$292	152	152	+0	open	—	04-10 02:31
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$273	143	143	+0	open	—	03-31 08:16
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	4	$230	118	118	+0	open	—	04-26 01:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$176	257	257	+0	open	—	05-11 14:26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$167	242	242	+0	open	—	05-07 03:00
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$163	83	83	+0	open	—	04-30 21:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$161	83	83	+0	open	—	05-12 01:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$161	85	85	+0	open	—	05-12 15:56
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	6	$160	254	254	+0	open	—	03-24 03:09
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	04-24 05:17
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	3	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	04-28 02:04
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$158	83	83	+0	open	—	04-24 20:37
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-26 09:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	3	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	04-25 20:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-29 18:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-30 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	3	$149	77	76	+1	open	—	03-18 16:10
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$149	77	77	+0	open	—	03-17 22:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$148	360	256	+104	open	—	05-10 21:41
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$148	145	145	+0	open	—	04-04 16:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	04-27 21:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$146	75	75	+0	open	—	05-13 03:45
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$145	77	77	+0	open	—	03-23 10:32
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	04-23 22:30
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$144	75	75	+0	open	—	04-23 12:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$143	76	76	+0	open	—	04-15 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:28:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x6ac68a…
06-08 08:28:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	91¢	$35	0x2cafb0…
05-19 12:17:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xfe28a1…
05-19 12:17:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe88d1f…
05-19 05:24:19	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x449e39…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x70541d…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x4d6ef0…
05-13 03:45:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0xcc4182…
05-13 00:39:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x208184…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xf6137c…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xaeba3c…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$80	0x1a6c20…
05-12 01:42:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x426a98…
05-12 01:38:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xd09129…
05-12 01:37:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0xd1d413…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	83	97¢	$80	0x16bd72…
05-11 14:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x18efd7…
05-11 04:02:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	4¢	$8	0xda63a6…
05-11 02:09:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0xda5d9a…
05-11 02:09:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$4	0x43e8e8…
05-10 21:41:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$1	0xe8a3ec…
05-10 19:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xe4a4c3…
05-10 19:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$2	0x39e640…
05-10 08:07:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	4¢	$3	0x5b045e…
05-10 05:17:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xc91dc8…
05-10 05:17:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x9bb75a…
05-09 11:00:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x7aa1d4…
05-09 10:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	4¢	$5	0x216907…
05-09 08:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	3¢	$6	0x89571d…
05-08 21:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0xd02374…
05-08 21:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5ef295…
05-08 18:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x43e6e8…
05-07 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	3¢	$5	0x707f7a…
05-07 19:43:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0xd57070…
05-07 04:20:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x6907f3…
05-07 03:00:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x08f10b…
05-07 01:46:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x0372d8…
05-06 14:35:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0xfe5dd2…
05-06 14:35:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$1	0x42966c…
05-06 12:46:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe8713d…
05-06 12:46:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x67538a…
05-06 12:46:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x0facd6…
05-06 00:52:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xefc379…
05-05 21:52:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xb81e78…
05-05 21:52:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	2¢	$2	0x4048b1…
05-05 20:18:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	2¢	$3	0xd82837…
05-03 18:11:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	2¢	$1	0xc47b78…
05-03 16:46:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$1	0xb88396…
05-03 11:35:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	4¢	$7	0x5434b6…
05-03 09:40:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$5	0x89a356…
05-03 09:40:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x5ed20f…
05-02 10:05:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xa8f051…
05-02 10:05:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	3¢	$4	0x489f9e…
05-02 09:02:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$4	0x8b4171…
05-02 09:02:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0xc9a57e…
04-30 21:09:24	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0xc4d0eb…
04-30 18:12:32	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xeb0829…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x74b195…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6be6fa…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1e6a97…
04-30 07:44:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x536a9c…
04-29 18:42:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd64011…
04-29 18:42:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x977036…
04-29 15:52:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xbde25d…
04-28 02:06:24	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x1f4a9e…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x60cf15…
04-27 21:36:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x5a0bd7…
04-27 18:47:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xbbf895…
04-27 12:13:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	6¢	$9	0xcbcbad…
04-27 10:46:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0xb7e609…
04-27 10:46:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x65661f…
04-27 05:54:06	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xe18afe…
04-27 03:09:18	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x32e766…
04-27 02:32:40	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0x6e3f9c…
04-26 21:19:16	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x8c610a…
04-26 13:31:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x4eab4a…
04-26 13:31:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x75bcac…
04-26 13:31:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0x3d6dc5…
04-26 12:01:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xf7cf17…
04-26 12:01:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa7478c…
04-26 12:01:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0x91af29…
04-26 09:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0xae07c9…
04-26 07:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x7df55c…
04-26 01:54:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x5846cf…
04-25 23:55:20	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xa201b0…
04-25 20:09:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xe4914e…
04-25 20:09:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xb8bb4c…
04-25 17:28:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0xc11f7d…
04-25 07:39:44	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	1¢	$2	0xb2907b…
04-25 05:30:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$2	0xa2c5ac…
04-25 04:36:30	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0xbe41ed…
04-25 03:05:38	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x8e0192…
04-24 20:37:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0xdcafae…
04-24 18:46:22	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0x0e97ee…
04-24 08:27:44	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	2¢	$3	0xba3850…
04-24 07:20:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0xa3fda2…
04-24 05:17:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0x63fbf0…
04-24 03:22:52	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x6c489c…
04-23 22:30:34	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xcfc0e1…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xc545a3…