Crazy-Icon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$70

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

816

Trades

28,993

lifetime

Volume

$1.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-29 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Politics

75% 65% +$8,170

Other

24% 49% +$2,933

Crypto

1% 31% +$32

Tech

0% 100% +$293

Sports

0% 22% -$668

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+12,608	$82	0¢	$13	-$70	10-04 00:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1,093	$225.8K	178,529	192,886	-14,357	No	+$186	02-28 03:35
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	877	$95.2K	178,454	176,420	+2,034	No	+$145	02-25 02:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1,448	$88.6K	625,123	611,464	+13,659	Yes	+$1,359	02-28 23:57
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	683	$55.9K	149,650	141,468	+8,182	No	+$16	02-23 21:45
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	184	$49.9K	36,692	31,453	+5,239	Yes	+$163	02-28 09:21
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	430	$40.5K	190,453	174,200	+16,253	No	-$332	02-25 20:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	250	$32.8K	36,688	38,431	-1,743	Yes	-$734	03-08 21:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	384	$27.6K	76,819	82,524	-5,705	No	+$893	03-06 05:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	186	$24.0K	32,187	34,391	-2,204	Yes	+$1,968	02-28 06:35
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	341	$21.0K	73,293	84,982	-11,689	No	+$331	02-21 08:41
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	945	$16.0K	327,804	334,837	-7,033	No	+$720	02-10 02:32
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	502	$14.5K	128,979	149,966	-20,987	No	+$583	02-22 17:48
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	694	$13.5K	180,181	180,181	+0	No	+$210	06-14 16:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	919	$12.8K	249,542	279,137	-29,595	No	+$318	02-21 03:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	339	$11.1K	196,294	212,592	-16,298	Yes	+$559	03-01 01:55
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	154	$10.5K	64,047	56,461	+7,586	No	-$108	02-26 18:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	105	$10.4K	14,393	17,580	-3,187	No	+$772	03-18 05:27
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1,731	$9.8K	268,302	272,656	-4,354	No	+$452	04-19 05:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	756	$9.6K	565,510	440,520	+124,990	No	-$1,159	03-30 01:42
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	279	$8.4K	101,621	115,090	-13,469	Yes	+$1,433	02-28 07:34
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	758	$8.3K	151,030	191,924	-40,894	No	+$1,107	02-13 05:59
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	163	$7.2K	6,906	6,032	+874	Yes	-$406	02-21 01:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2	55	$6.9K	3,662	3,490	+172	No	+$59	03-23 01:25
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	685	$6.7K	223,482	247,054	-23,572	No	+$255	02-19 03:26
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	53	$6.5K	31,172	31,172	+0	Yes	+$156	06-09 10:22
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	93	$5.8K	6,010	5,634	+376	Yes	+$599	03-13 20:30
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	187	$5.3K	96,741	96,741	-0	No	+$247	06-14 05:10
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	118	$5.2K	13,094	15,262	-2,168	Yes	-$1,432	03-09 22:18
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	18	$4.8K	2,670	2,670	+0	Yes	+$92	07-19 22:46
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	81	$4.7K	6,664	5,088	+1,576	Yes	-$1,241	04-08 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:01:43	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,555	0¢	$11	0x9c15b8…
10-29 05:01:32	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,444	0¢	$9	0xa6c390…
10-28 20:28:25	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,702	1¢	$28	0x370e6d…
10-28 19:03:31	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,592	0¢	$11	0xab53d9…
10-28 18:58:25	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	852	0¢	$3	0x01b994…
10-28 18:57:07	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8fb90b…
10-28 18:54:19	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	852	1¢	$5	0xaab476…
10-28 02:51:42	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x693a08…
10-28 02:42:42	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xb0d5f4…
10-26 23:02:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,444	100¢	$4,440	0xac539d…
10-16 02:09:43	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xe2e000…
10-16 01:35:36	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x4eb233…
10-16 01:35:34	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0xbb0817…
10-16 01:34:42	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x1ec39a…
10-16 01:33:46	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4832fb…
10-16 01:33:45	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x52221a…
10-16 01:33:45	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x15d69e…
10-16 01:33:45	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x00043d…
10-16 01:33:43	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfca39d…
10-16 01:33:43	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbcb41d…
10-16 01:33:42	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xbc3719…
10-16 01:33:42	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x499e39…
10-16 01:31:49	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x64025f…
10-16 01:18:52	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x2db13a…
10-16 01:14:25	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0xfe16a0…
10-08 04:45:59	Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?	No	BUY	2,062	1¢	$21	0x38975e…
10-08 04:45:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?	No	BUY	2,020	1¢	$20	0x244dc1…
10-08 04:25:32	Will MrBeast's next video get 176 million or more views on day 5?	No	BUY	239	1¢	$2	0x535c96…
10-07 04:02:09	Will MrBeast's next video get 147 million or more views on day 4?	No	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0xc35e3f…
10-07 04:01:53	Will MrBeast's next video get 147 million or more views on day 4?	No	BUY	2,758	1¢	$28	0xe7078f…
10-06 06:30:15	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	97	2¢	$1	0x720ba8…
10-06 06:25:40	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	928	2¢	$14	0x613988…
10-06 05:26:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x53982d…
10-05 21:15:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc1bb8a…
10-05 21:13:56	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	744	2¢	$14	0xce3508…
10-05 20:59:16	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	1,861	2¢	$37	0x039553…
10-05 20:01:04	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xbe10bd…
10-05 19:10:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x35d0fa…
10-05 18:09:40	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xffc95c…
10-05 11:50:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x3f2413…
10-05 11:50:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$8	0x884da2…
10-05 05:21:05	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xd89821…
10-05 04:24:47	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc85d6d…
10-05 01:10:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5,922	0¢	$24	0x9139fd…
10-04 22:38:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	108	5¢	$5	0xf79c1c…
10-04 22:30:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x2dd93f…
10-04 22:03:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xfdc382…
10-04 20:42:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x7cfa28…
10-04 20:17:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x607159…
10-04 20:17:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44a216…
10-04 20:17:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4419c6…
10-04 20:17:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3ec2f8…
10-04 20:17:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xdc4991…
10-04 20:17:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8e4ae7…
10-04 20:17:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x308eb4…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	260	1¢	$3	0xf14d45…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd78f12…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xa0f153…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7a6277…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x4c2cf6…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x4150c9…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x31ac26…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2eb0ed…
10-04 20:17:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x1c3933…
10-04 19:41:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf7e0a1…
10-04 19:41:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 120 and 130 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1f40a5…
10-04 19:24:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3,222	1¢	$32	0x659a3f…
10-04 17:54:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2,584	1¢	$26	0x666df3…
10-04 00:33:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xc6fa79…
10-04 00:33:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x7d523e…
10-04 00:33:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x0cdd25…
09-29 17:32:23	Will Curacao win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x0716ce…
09-28 06:35:05	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xe20492…
09-28 06:35:05	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x78f961…
09-28 06:35:05	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x52f382…
09-26 16:09:15	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x48f8f6…
09-26 16:09:15	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x451638…
09-26 06:52:00	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc8b475…
09-26 06:51:48	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe81954…
09-25 05:42:44	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x64fec4…
09-25 05:42:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcc41fd…
09-25 00:16:11	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x31d17d…
09-23 16:07:20	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9ae89e…
09-23 14:31:10	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x8199c7…
09-23 12:05:52	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8225db…
09-23 12:05:50	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc37c3e…
09-22 17:17:18	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9a0b77…
09-22 17:17:18	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x29dfef…
09-21 11:12:21	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x127f36…
09-20 16:04:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9742c5…
09-20 16:04:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x901eeb…
09-20 16:04:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x327531…
09-20 14:44:45	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf7d0cc…
09-19 10:51:56	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x8b4e17…
09-19 10:43:50	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6cb553…
09-19 10:43:50	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5d01ae…
09-19 10:43:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xfdc579…
09-19 10:43:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xe4b679…
09-19 10:43:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x340c18…
09-18 13:37:00	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x7b895f…