Burly-Watcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$63

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-10 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

75% 96% +$12

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 50% -$4

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No		+63	$63	99¢	$63	+$0	10-10 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$522	262	262	+0	No	+$2	06-04 02:41
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	1	$355	356	0	+356	No	+$1	03-08 04:48
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	8	$340	177	177	+0	No	+$0	02-04 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	05-16 08:06
will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$319	320	0	+320	No	+$1	02-07 10:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$226	227	0	+227	No	+$1	04-12 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$221	112	112	+0	No	+$1	05-20 06:44
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$196	196	0	+196	No	+$0	07-19 07:12
will solana reach 200 january 5 11	1	$178	178	0	+178	No	+$0	01-09 05:53
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$172	173	0	+173	No	+$1	06-03 07:51
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	05-11 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	05-19 06:27
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	08-04 08:27
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	05-11 06:55
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	01-16 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-19 06:27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	09-02 07:09
ted cruz of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 140 159	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	04-12 06:17
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	05-16 08:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	01-09 05:55
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-09 05:54
bitcoin above 88k on february 9	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-07 10:18
khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60plus	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	04-12 06:14
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	05-11 06:53
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	01-09 05:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	10-10 12:43
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-18 10:51
will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-08 04:49
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-23 09:30
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-19 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 12:44:40	Will BNB reach $1,200 in October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0bc3c…
10-10 12:43:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xf71458…
09-23 09:30:26	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a2c06…
09-02 07:11:16	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x209f40…
09-02 07:10:30	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60fa9d…
09-02 07:09:43	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb129dc…
08-04 08:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ecc7e…
08-04 08:27:27	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x448b7a…
07-29 10:56:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc8170b…
07-19 07:12:37	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x9fdc59…
07-19 07:11:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f737b…
06-04 02:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0x6c6799…
06-03 07:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0xf398f9…
06-03 07:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x425e4a…
05-20 06:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x64dd1b…
05-19 06:28:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x870f23…
05-19 06:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x15bfcb…
05-19 06:27:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xa01d8e…
05-16 08:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3d858a…
05-16 08:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x2418b4…
05-11 06:55:53	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x4091ec…
05-11 06:54:12	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xa1b2df…
05-11 06:53:33	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xc507be…
04-12 06:18:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x13adfb…
04-12 06:17:35	ted cruz of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 140 159	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x707392…
04-12 06:14:35	khamenei of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60plus	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3b4244…
03-18 10:51:39	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x839b69…
03-08 04:49:39	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x08a549…
03-08 04:48:37	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x059087…
02-07 10:18:47	bitcoin above 88k on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f85b7…
02-07 10:17:25	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x8b02f1…
02-04 18:33:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x5002f0…
02-04 18:33:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x334689…
02-04 18:33:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x09c781…
02-04 14:28:04	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x246b6e…
02-04 13:23:56	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x2deb85…
02-04 07:09:50	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xe7a022…
02-04 01:45:20	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb860be…
01-27 07:21:33	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2258c4…
01-16 12:19:46	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x674655…
01-16 12:18:10	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x63946a…
01-09 05:55:26	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd8826b…
01-09 05:54:46	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x12db19…
01-09 05:54:14	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31afde…
01-09 05:53:40	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xaa449d…