Worthless-Storytelling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

239

Trades

884

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Sports

67% 60% -$92

Other

32% 56% -$25

Politics

1% 67% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+80	$4	6¢	$5	+$1	10-05 12:06
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+333	$4	1¢	$5	+$1	10-15 08:39
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$4	6¢	$4	+$0	10-15 08:38
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	+42	$1	10¢	$4	+$4	09-24 08:17
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+29	$4	12¢	$4	$0	10-15 08:37
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	08-21 11:59
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	+0	-$10	51¢	$0	+$10	10-08 03:45
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	+0	-$1	18¢	$0	+$1	10-21 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	13	$51	31	38	-7	Yes	$0	05-04 20:27
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	17	$47	273	392	-119	Yes	-$104	10-12 02:25
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	10	$32	108	108	+0	open	—	10-08 03:45
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	8	$30	57	72	-16	Yes	-$4	10-12 02:41
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$29	76	76	+0	Yes	+$5	06-04 02:49
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	8	$26	18	25	-7	Yes	+$1	05-22 00:43
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	10	$25	20	28	-8	No	-$3	03-21 15:02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$23	28	19	+9	Yes	+$6	05-30 17:30
Will the Cleveland Guardians clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	6	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	08-09 23:25
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	11	$18	30	30	+0	No	+$2	03-22 14:51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$18	30	0	+30	Yes	+$13	07-16 13:47
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	9	$17	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	08-31 18:31
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?	5	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	10-25 19:23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	07-15 17:41
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	6	$15	7	14	-7	No	-$2	03-21 18:51
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	7	$15	228	228	+0	No	+$1	09-02 16:07
Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	5	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	10-25 20:21
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	6	$14	226	226	+0	No	+$2	09-06 12:47
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	4	$14	23	23	+0	open	—	10-16 03:37
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$14	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-20 18:13
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	3	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	07-06 19:40
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	3	$13	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 23:58
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	6	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	10-15 08:25
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	4	$13	100	100	+0	No	+$1	09-07 22:37
will the seahawks win the 2026 nfc championship	6	$13	11	18	-8	Yes	-$4	01-25 23:46
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	5	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 20:28
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	6	$13	39	39	+0	open	—	10-21 03:40
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$13	128	128	+0	open	—	10-29 15:58
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$12	25	34	-9	No	+$2	04-13 00:17
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	4	$12	11	11	+0	No	+$0	02-09 01:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:17:51	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x1a207f…
10-29 15:58:08	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0x9279f2…
10-28 07:15:11	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x03e03f…
10-25 20:21:15	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x1f45fa…
10-25 19:29:51	Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xb361b7…
10-25 19:23:39	Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa6e9ab…
10-25 18:23:02	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xec25fa…
10-22 09:41:50	Will Club Brugge finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	56	12¢	$6	0x588b16…
10-21 19:34:45	Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$5	0xcd5978…
10-21 09:05:06	Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0x3778dc…
10-21 08:59:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x150b65…
10-21 08:55:56	Will Aston Villa finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x96b853…
10-21 08:46:24	Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xe2b182…
10-21 08:35:06	Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4dc3a9…
10-21 08:33:32	Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x4d3abd…
10-21 08:31:14	Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x554a21…
10-21 08:29:09	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc7763d…
10-21 08:28:12	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0cc098…
10-21 08:27:18	Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x76581a…
10-21 08:25:39	Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa098d2…
10-21 08:24:39	Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x655826…
10-21 08:22:14	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x1e73ac…
10-21 03:40:26	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x1362ea…
10-20 21:00:41	Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$6	0x065831…
10-20 18:13:23	Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$10	0x23a0d1…
10-19 02:51:02	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xf136a5…
10-19 02:50:23	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x1bf5d9…
10-18 20:17:08	Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xb94c03…
10-18 19:50:26	Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xbfe011…
10-18 17:20:32	Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xa665ca…
10-17 13:20:50	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x3dd592…
10-16 03:37:13	Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x2a47fd…
10-15 08:56:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x1a243e…
10-15 08:55:32	Will Bodø/Glimt finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xe0ad26…
10-15 08:55:08	Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x0ace94…
10-15 08:54:34	Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x0047a5…
10-15 08:53:47	Will Bodø/Glimt finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x7ca0ca…
10-15 08:53:02	Will Club Brugge finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x090f7e…
10-15 08:51:46	will sporting cp finish top 8 in ucl league phase	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xf71052…
10-15 08:50:53	Will Aston Villa finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x97a501…
10-15 08:49:40	will real madrid finish top 8 in ucl league phase	No	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xfe8339…
10-15 08:47:11	Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xe29389…
10-15 08:45:55	Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x3dc699…
10-15 08:40:46	Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0x937746…
10-15 08:39:40	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0x6f8fcc…
10-15 08:38:37	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x3de8d6…
10-15 08:37:55	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x9015b5…
10-15 08:36:26	Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfec873…
10-15 08:27:55	Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xf206ec…
10-15 08:26:38	Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdf3022…
10-15 08:25:44	Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x051ad9…
10-15 08:24:10	Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x6f9d65…
10-15 01:31:46	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xc37115…
10-15 00:11:52	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xfe9776…
10-13 14:23:58	Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x050222…
10-12 02:41:36	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x1411ee…
10-12 02:25:06	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xae9bce…
10-11 14:00:36	Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x9f5207…
10-09 10:23:39	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0x56581b…
10-09 02:19:18	Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x68acaa…
10-08 03:59:25	Will Golden State Valkyries advance to the Finals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x429beb…
10-08 03:45:01	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x4b9b4a…
10-08 03:12:20	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x34b01e…
10-08 01:37:41	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x6c31e1…
10-06 21:41:15	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x1a4dbf…
10-05 12:33:20	Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xb190ad…
10-05 12:32:23	Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xdad027…
10-05 12:30:07	Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa77bee…
10-05 12:28:04	Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x31c1d6…
10-05 12:26:17	Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x37a190…
10-05 12:21:47	Will the Indianapolis Colts make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x48f96c…
10-05 12:21:04	Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xff5365…
10-05 12:19:04	Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5e4c98…
10-05 12:17:29	Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb1cfff…
10-05 12:17:07	Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4e402d…
10-05 12:12:23	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x23adfa…
10-05 12:11:34	Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xdeb9d3…
10-05 12:07:38	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xf63e35…
10-05 12:06:49	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xd91dbd…
10-05 12:04:04	Will Golden State Valkyries advance to the Finals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf850d6…
10-05 12:03:41	Will Golden State Valkyries advance to the Finals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7e318b…
10-05 12:02:56	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x59cd44…
10-05 10:59:07	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xadb7b6…
10-05 10:57:26	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdcf971…
10-04 23:23:53	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x2667ba…
10-04 22:36:29	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0xef58a5…
10-04 03:52:23	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x64ca5b…
09-30 01:28:38	Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x7d4c79…
09-30 01:26:09	Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x2a7523…
09-29 21:51:00	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	168	1¢	$1	0xbd94ff…
09-29 18:34:57	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x16fd50…
09-29 18:33:27	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xc30fb5…
09-29 18:33:18	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x287120…
09-29 18:33:05	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xdcac86…
09-29 18:32:51	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x695087…
09-29 17:43:45	Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x82b5a9…
09-29 02:57:53	Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x14987b…
09-28 12:49:27	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xa075b7…
09-28 12:44:11	Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdb5c64…
09-28 12:33:51	Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xeec984…